The Mann-Kendall Test for Temperature Trends in Some Selected Stations in Iraq

   In this paper, Mann-Kendall test was used to investigate the existence of possible deterministic and stochastic climatic trends in (Baghdad,Basrah,Mosul,Al-Qaim) stations. The statistical test was applied to annual monthly mean of temperatures for the period (19932009). The values of S-statistic...

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Main Author: Amani I. Al-Tmimi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Baghdad 2017-04-01
Series:Ibn Al-Haitham Journal for Pure and Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jih.uobaghdad.edu.iq/index.php/j/article/view/509
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author Amani I. Al-Tmimi
author_facet Amani I. Al-Tmimi
author_sort Amani I. Al-Tmimi
collection DOAJ
description    In this paper, Mann-Kendall test was used to investigate the existence of possible deterministic and stochastic climatic trends in (Baghdad,Basrah,Mosul,Al-Qaim) stations. The statistical test was applied to annual monthly mean of temperatures for the period (19932009). The values of S-statistic were (62, 44, 52, 64) by comparing these values with the table of null probability values for S we get a probability of (0.002, 0.026, 0.010, 0.002) this result is less than α for the 95% confidence level (α = 0.05) indicating a significant result at this level of confidence. Concluded that an increasing trend in concentration is present at the 95% confidence level and the variance of the S-statistic is calculated and it is compared to the table of null probability values for Z and our conclusion reject the null, there is an increasing of trend.
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spelling doaj.art-3e02fab82eb84605a3996df5d45d4f3d2022-12-22T00:11:37ZengUniversity of BaghdadIbn Al-Haitham Journal for Pure and Applied Sciences1609-40422521-34072017-04-01261The Mann-Kendall Test for Temperature Trends in Some Selected Stations in IraqAmani I. Al-Tmimi    In this paper, Mann-Kendall test was used to investigate the existence of possible deterministic and stochastic climatic trends in (Baghdad,Basrah,Mosul,Al-Qaim) stations. The statistical test was applied to annual monthly mean of temperatures for the period (19932009). The values of S-statistic were (62, 44, 52, 64) by comparing these values with the table of null probability values for S we get a probability of (0.002, 0.026, 0.010, 0.002) this result is less than α for the 95% confidence level (α = 0.05) indicating a significant result at this level of confidence. Concluded that an increasing trend in concentration is present at the 95% confidence level and the variance of the S-statistic is calculated and it is compared to the table of null probability values for Z and our conclusion reject the null, there is an increasing of trend. https://jih.uobaghdad.edu.iq/index.php/j/article/view/509Mann-Kendall test, mean monthly temperatures, Iraq
spellingShingle Amani I. Al-Tmimi
The Mann-Kendall Test for Temperature Trends in Some Selected Stations in Iraq
Ibn Al-Haitham Journal for Pure and Applied Sciences
Mann-Kendall test, mean monthly temperatures, Iraq
title The Mann-Kendall Test for Temperature Trends in Some Selected Stations in Iraq
title_full The Mann-Kendall Test for Temperature Trends in Some Selected Stations in Iraq
title_fullStr The Mann-Kendall Test for Temperature Trends in Some Selected Stations in Iraq
title_full_unstemmed The Mann-Kendall Test for Temperature Trends in Some Selected Stations in Iraq
title_short The Mann-Kendall Test for Temperature Trends in Some Selected Stations in Iraq
title_sort mann kendall test for temperature trends in some selected stations in iraq
topic Mann-Kendall test, mean monthly temperatures, Iraq
url https://jih.uobaghdad.edu.iq/index.php/j/article/view/509
work_keys_str_mv AT amaniialtmimi themannkendalltestfortemperaturetrendsinsomeselectedstationsiniraq
AT amaniialtmimi mannkendalltestfortemperaturetrendsinsomeselectedstationsiniraq