Spurious Memory in Non-Equilibrium Stochastic Models of Imitative Behavior

The origin of the long-range memory in non-equilibrium systems is still an open problem as the phenomenon can be reproduced using models based on Markov processes. In these cases, the notion of spurious memory is introduced. A good example of Markov processes with spurious memory is a stochastic pro...

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Main Authors: Vygintas Gontis, Aleksejus Kononovicius
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2017-07-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/19/8/387
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author Vygintas Gontis
Aleksejus Kononovicius
author_facet Vygintas Gontis
Aleksejus Kononovicius
author_sort Vygintas Gontis
collection DOAJ
description The origin of the long-range memory in non-equilibrium systems is still an open problem as the phenomenon can be reproduced using models based on Markov processes. In these cases, the notion of spurious memory is introduced. A good example of Markov processes with spurious memory is a stochastic process driven by a non-linear stochastic differential equation (SDE). This example is at odds with models built using fractional Brownian motion (fBm). We analyze the differences between these two cases seeking to establish possible empirical tests of the origin of the observed long-range memory. We investigate probability density functions (PDFs) of burst and inter-burst duration in numerically-obtained time series and compare with the results of fBm. Our analysis confirms that the characteristic feature of the processes described by a one-dimensional SDE is the power-law exponent 3 / 2 of the burst or inter-burst duration PDF. This property of stochastic processes might be used to detect spurious memory in various non-equilibrium systems, where observed macroscopic behavior can be derived from the imitative interactions of agents.
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spelling doaj.art-3e1409ed77d64c18be3b881ea1721bd32022-12-22T04:23:13ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002017-07-0119838710.3390/e19080387e19080387Spurious Memory in Non-Equilibrium Stochastic Models of Imitative BehaviorVygintas Gontis0Aleksejus Kononovicius1Institute of Theoretical Physics and Astronomy, Vilnius University, Saulėtekio al. 3, 10257 Vilnius, LithuaniaInstitute of Theoretical Physics and Astronomy, Vilnius University, Saulėtekio al. 3, 10257 Vilnius, LithuaniaThe origin of the long-range memory in non-equilibrium systems is still an open problem as the phenomenon can be reproduced using models based on Markov processes. In these cases, the notion of spurious memory is introduced. A good example of Markov processes with spurious memory is a stochastic process driven by a non-linear stochastic differential equation (SDE). This example is at odds with models built using fractional Brownian motion (fBm). We analyze the differences between these two cases seeking to establish possible empirical tests of the origin of the observed long-range memory. We investigate probability density functions (PDFs) of burst and inter-burst duration in numerically-obtained time series and compare with the results of fBm. Our analysis confirms that the characteristic feature of the processes described by a one-dimensional SDE is the power-law exponent 3 / 2 of the burst or inter-burst duration PDF. This property of stochastic processes might be used to detect spurious memory in various non-equilibrium systems, where observed macroscopic behavior can be derived from the imitative interactions of agents.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/19/8/387spurious memorynon-equilibrium systemsagent-based modelingstochastic modelingMarkov processesfirst passage times
spellingShingle Vygintas Gontis
Aleksejus Kononovicius
Spurious Memory in Non-Equilibrium Stochastic Models of Imitative Behavior
Entropy
spurious memory
non-equilibrium systems
agent-based modeling
stochastic modeling
Markov processes
first passage times
title Spurious Memory in Non-Equilibrium Stochastic Models of Imitative Behavior
title_full Spurious Memory in Non-Equilibrium Stochastic Models of Imitative Behavior
title_fullStr Spurious Memory in Non-Equilibrium Stochastic Models of Imitative Behavior
title_full_unstemmed Spurious Memory in Non-Equilibrium Stochastic Models of Imitative Behavior
title_short Spurious Memory in Non-Equilibrium Stochastic Models of Imitative Behavior
title_sort spurious memory in non equilibrium stochastic models of imitative behavior
topic spurious memory
non-equilibrium systems
agent-based modeling
stochastic modeling
Markov processes
first passage times
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/19/8/387
work_keys_str_mv AT vygintasgontis spuriousmemoryinnonequilibriumstochasticmodelsofimitativebehavior
AT aleksejuskononovicius spuriousmemoryinnonequilibriumstochasticmodelsofimitativebehavior