Relationship between FDI Inflows and Export Performance: An Empirical Investigation by Considering Structural Breaks

The present study examines the relationship between FDI inflows and export performance in Bangladesh by considering the issue of structural breaks utilizing annual time-series data from 1972 to 2019. In the study, unit root tests were conducted without (ADF test and PP test) and with (ZA test and LP...

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Main Authors: Sayed Farrukh Ahmed, A. K. M. Mohsin, Syed Far Abid Hossain
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-02-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/11/3/73
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author Sayed Farrukh Ahmed
A. K. M. Mohsin
Syed Far Abid Hossain
author_facet Sayed Farrukh Ahmed
A. K. M. Mohsin
Syed Far Abid Hossain
author_sort Sayed Farrukh Ahmed
collection DOAJ
description The present study examines the relationship between FDI inflows and export performance in Bangladesh by considering the issue of structural breaks utilizing annual time-series data from 1972 to 2019. In the study, unit root tests were conducted without (ADF test and PP test) and with (ZA test and LP test) the presence of probable structural breaks in the dataset. A Johansen test of co-integration was employed to determine whether the variables were co-integrated. The VECM was used for determining the sources of causation and the directions of the causal relationships between the variables. Since all the variables were integrated of order one, <i>I</i>(1), with breaks (confirmed by ZA and LP unit root tests), a Johansen test of co-integration was applied to identify whether the variables were co-integrated. The results of the Johansen co-integration test confirmed that three variables (LRGDPGR, LRFDI, and LREX) have a long-run equilibrium relationship or cointegrating relation. Finally, the VECM suggests the evidence of a positive and unidirectional causal relation from REX to RFDI in Bangladesh. An important uniqueness of this study lies in its application of the methodological issues of incorporating structural breaks, which could have significant implications for investigating the said relationship.
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spelling doaj.art-3e167177a61b4255bc702e9411c866182023-11-17T10:40:50ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992023-02-011137310.3390/economies11030073Relationship between FDI Inflows and Export Performance: An Empirical Investigation by Considering Structural BreaksSayed Farrukh Ahmed0A. K. M. Mohsin1Syed Far Abid Hossain2Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Business and Entrepreneurship, Daffodil International University, Dhaka 1341, BangladeshDepartment of Business Administration, Faculty of Business and Entrepreneurship, Daffodil International University, Dhaka 1341, BangladeshBRAC Business School, BRAC University, 66, Mohakhali, Dhaka 1212, BangladeshThe present study examines the relationship between FDI inflows and export performance in Bangladesh by considering the issue of structural breaks utilizing annual time-series data from 1972 to 2019. In the study, unit root tests were conducted without (ADF test and PP test) and with (ZA test and LP test) the presence of probable structural breaks in the dataset. A Johansen test of co-integration was employed to determine whether the variables were co-integrated. The VECM was used for determining the sources of causation and the directions of the causal relationships between the variables. Since all the variables were integrated of order one, <i>I</i>(1), with breaks (confirmed by ZA and LP unit root tests), a Johansen test of co-integration was applied to identify whether the variables were co-integrated. The results of the Johansen co-integration test confirmed that three variables (LRGDPGR, LRFDI, and LREX) have a long-run equilibrium relationship or cointegrating relation. Finally, the VECM suggests the evidence of a positive and unidirectional causal relation from REX to RFDI in Bangladesh. An important uniqueness of this study lies in its application of the methodological issues of incorporating structural breaks, which could have significant implications for investigating the said relationship.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/11/3/73FDIexport performancestructural breakVECMBangladesh
spellingShingle Sayed Farrukh Ahmed
A. K. M. Mohsin
Syed Far Abid Hossain
Relationship between FDI Inflows and Export Performance: An Empirical Investigation by Considering Structural Breaks
Economies
FDI
export performance
structural break
VECM
Bangladesh
title Relationship between FDI Inflows and Export Performance: An Empirical Investigation by Considering Structural Breaks
title_full Relationship between FDI Inflows and Export Performance: An Empirical Investigation by Considering Structural Breaks
title_fullStr Relationship between FDI Inflows and Export Performance: An Empirical Investigation by Considering Structural Breaks
title_full_unstemmed Relationship between FDI Inflows and Export Performance: An Empirical Investigation by Considering Structural Breaks
title_short Relationship between FDI Inflows and Export Performance: An Empirical Investigation by Considering Structural Breaks
title_sort relationship between fdi inflows and export performance an empirical investigation by considering structural breaks
topic FDI
export performance
structural break
VECM
Bangladesh
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/11/3/73
work_keys_str_mv AT sayedfarrukhahmed relationshipbetweenfdiinflowsandexportperformanceanempiricalinvestigationbyconsideringstructuralbreaks
AT akmmohsin relationshipbetweenfdiinflowsandexportperformanceanempiricalinvestigationbyconsideringstructuralbreaks
AT syedfarabidhossain relationshipbetweenfdiinflowsandexportperformanceanempiricalinvestigationbyconsideringstructuralbreaks