Temporal trends of preterm birth in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective study

Abstract Background Preterm birth is the leading cause of child mortality under 5 years of age. Temporal trends in preterm birth rates are highly heterogeneous among countries and little information exists for China. To address this data gap, we investigated annual changes in preterm birth incidence...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Changchang Li, Zhijiang Liang, Michael S. Bloom, Qiong Wang, Xiaoting Shen, Huanhuan Zhang, Suhan Wang, Weiqing Chen, Yan Lin, Qingguo Zhao, Cunrui Huang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2018-03-01
Series:Reproductive Health
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12978-018-0477-8
_version_ 1823941762227372032
author Changchang Li
Zhijiang Liang
Michael S. Bloom
Qiong Wang
Xiaoting Shen
Huanhuan Zhang
Suhan Wang
Weiqing Chen
Yan Lin
Qingguo Zhao
Cunrui Huang
author_facet Changchang Li
Zhijiang Liang
Michael S. Bloom
Qiong Wang
Xiaoting Shen
Huanhuan Zhang
Suhan Wang
Weiqing Chen
Yan Lin
Qingguo Zhao
Cunrui Huang
author_sort Changchang Li
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Preterm birth is the leading cause of child mortality under 5 years of age. Temporal trends in preterm birth rates are highly heterogeneous among countries and little information exists for China. To address this data gap, we investigated annual changes in preterm birth incidence rate and explored potential determinants of these changes in Shenzhen, China. Methods A total of 1.4 million live births, during 2003-2012, were included from the Shenzhen birth registry. Negative-binominal regression models were used to estimate the annual percent changes in incidence. To identify the potential determinants behind temporal trends, we estimated the contribution of each changing risk factor to changes in rate by calculating the difference in population-attributable risk fraction. Results Annual preterm birth incidence rates increased by 0.94% (95% CI 0.30%, 1.58%) overall, 3.60% (95% CI 2.73%, 4.48%) for medically induced, and 3.13% (95% CI 1.01%, 5.31%) for preterm premature rupture of membranes, but decreased by 2.34% (95% CI 1.62%, 3.06%) for spontaneous preterm labor. Higher maternal educational attainment (0.20 rate increase), lower proportion of inadequate prenatal care (0.15 rate reduction), more multipara (0.08 rate reduction), decreased proportion of preeclampsia or eclampsia (0.05 rate reduction), and larger proportion of young and older pregnant women (0.04 rate increase) were significant contributors to the overall change over time. Contributions of changing risk factors were different between preterm birth subtypes. Conclusions Preterm birth rate in Shenzhen, China increased overall during 2003-2012, although trends varied across three preterm birth subtypes. The rising rates were associated with changes in maternal education and age.
first_indexed 2024-12-17T04:31:12Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3e3d63f3c5824def811bc3f2bf2ce8a0
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1742-4755
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-17T04:31:12Z
publishDate 2018-03-01
publisher BMC
record_format Article
series Reproductive Health
spelling doaj.art-3e3d63f3c5824def811bc3f2bf2ce8a02022-12-21T22:03:32ZengBMCReproductive Health1742-47552018-03-0115111010.1186/s12978-018-0477-8Temporal trends of preterm birth in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective studyChangchang Li0Zhijiang Liang1Michael S. Bloom2Qiong Wang3Xiaoting Shen4Huanhuan Zhang5Suhan Wang6Weiqing Chen7Yan Lin8Qingguo Zhao9Cunrui Huang10Department of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen UniversityDepartment of Public Health, Guangdong Women and Children HospitalDepartments of Environmental Health Sciences and Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University at Albany, State University of New YorkDepartment of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen UniversityCenter for Reproductive Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen UniversityDepartment of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen UniversityDepartment of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen UniversityGuangzhou Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution and Health Risk Assessment, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen UniversityDepartment of Children Health Care, Shenzhen Women and Children HospitalDepartment of Public Health, Guangdong Women and Children HospitalDepartment of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen UniversityAbstract Background Preterm birth is the leading cause of child mortality under 5 years of age. Temporal trends in preterm birth rates are highly heterogeneous among countries and little information exists for China. To address this data gap, we investigated annual changes in preterm birth incidence rate and explored potential determinants of these changes in Shenzhen, China. Methods A total of 1.4 million live births, during 2003-2012, were included from the Shenzhen birth registry. Negative-binominal regression models were used to estimate the annual percent changes in incidence. To identify the potential determinants behind temporal trends, we estimated the contribution of each changing risk factor to changes in rate by calculating the difference in population-attributable risk fraction. Results Annual preterm birth incidence rates increased by 0.94% (95% CI 0.30%, 1.58%) overall, 3.60% (95% CI 2.73%, 4.48%) for medically induced, and 3.13% (95% CI 1.01%, 5.31%) for preterm premature rupture of membranes, but decreased by 2.34% (95% CI 1.62%, 3.06%) for spontaneous preterm labor. Higher maternal educational attainment (0.20 rate increase), lower proportion of inadequate prenatal care (0.15 rate reduction), more multipara (0.08 rate reduction), decreased proportion of preeclampsia or eclampsia (0.05 rate reduction), and larger proportion of young and older pregnant women (0.04 rate increase) were significant contributors to the overall change over time. Contributions of changing risk factors were different between preterm birth subtypes. Conclusions Preterm birth rate in Shenzhen, China increased overall during 2003-2012, although trends varied across three preterm birth subtypes. The rising rates were associated with changes in maternal education and age.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12978-018-0477-8Preterm birthIncidence rateTemporal trendMedically induced preterm birthSpontaneous preterm birthChina
spellingShingle Changchang Li
Zhijiang Liang
Michael S. Bloom
Qiong Wang
Xiaoting Shen
Huanhuan Zhang
Suhan Wang
Weiqing Chen
Yan Lin
Qingguo Zhao
Cunrui Huang
Temporal trends of preterm birth in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective study
Reproductive Health
Preterm birth
Incidence rate
Temporal trend
Medically induced preterm birth
Spontaneous preterm birth
China
title Temporal trends of preterm birth in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective study
title_full Temporal trends of preterm birth in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective study
title_fullStr Temporal trends of preterm birth in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective study
title_full_unstemmed Temporal trends of preterm birth in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective study
title_short Temporal trends of preterm birth in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective study
title_sort temporal trends of preterm birth in shenzhen china a retrospective study
topic Preterm birth
Incidence rate
Temporal trend
Medically induced preterm birth
Spontaneous preterm birth
China
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12978-018-0477-8
work_keys_str_mv AT changchangli temporaltrendsofpretermbirthinshenzhenchinaaretrospectivestudy
AT zhijiangliang temporaltrendsofpretermbirthinshenzhenchinaaretrospectivestudy
AT michaelsbloom temporaltrendsofpretermbirthinshenzhenchinaaretrospectivestudy
AT qiongwang temporaltrendsofpretermbirthinshenzhenchinaaretrospectivestudy
AT xiaotingshen temporaltrendsofpretermbirthinshenzhenchinaaretrospectivestudy
AT huanhuanzhang temporaltrendsofpretermbirthinshenzhenchinaaretrospectivestudy
AT suhanwang temporaltrendsofpretermbirthinshenzhenchinaaretrospectivestudy
AT weiqingchen temporaltrendsofpretermbirthinshenzhenchinaaretrospectivestudy
AT yanlin temporaltrendsofpretermbirthinshenzhenchinaaretrospectivestudy
AT qingguozhao temporaltrendsofpretermbirthinshenzhenchinaaretrospectivestudy
AT cunruihuang temporaltrendsofpretermbirthinshenzhenchinaaretrospectivestudy