Simulation of Pan-Evaporation Using Penman and Hamon Equations and Artificial Intelligence Techniques

The evaporation losses are very high in warm-arid regions and their accurate evaluation is vital for the sustainable management of water resources. The assessment of such losses involves extremely difficult and original tasks because of the scarcity of data in countries with an arid climate. The mai...

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Main Authors: Abdul Razzaq Ghumman, Mohammed Jamaan, Afaq Ahmad, Md. Shafiquzzaman, Husnain Haider, Ibrahim Saleh Al Salamah, Yousry Mahmoud Ghazaw
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-03-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/6/793
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author Abdul Razzaq Ghumman
Mohammed Jamaan
Afaq Ahmad
Md. Shafiquzzaman
Husnain Haider
Ibrahim Saleh Al Salamah
Yousry Mahmoud Ghazaw
author_facet Abdul Razzaq Ghumman
Mohammed Jamaan
Afaq Ahmad
Md. Shafiquzzaman
Husnain Haider
Ibrahim Saleh Al Salamah
Yousry Mahmoud Ghazaw
author_sort Abdul Razzaq Ghumman
collection DOAJ
description The evaporation losses are very high in warm-arid regions and their accurate evaluation is vital for the sustainable management of water resources. The assessment of such losses involves extremely difficult and original tasks because of the scarcity of data in countries with an arid climate. The main objective of this paper is to develop models for the simulation of pan-evaporation with the help of Penman and Hamon’s equations, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), and the Artificial Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The results from five types of ANN models with different training functions were compared to find the best possible training function. The impact of using various input variables was investigated as an original contribution of this research. The average temperature and mean wind speed were found to be the most influential parameters. The estimation of parameters for Penman and Hamon’s equations was quite a daunting task. These parameters were estimated using a state of the art optimization algorithm, namely General Reduced Gradient Technique. The results of the Penman and Hamon’s equations, ANN, and ANFIS were compared. Thirty-eight years (from 1980 to 2018) of manually recorded pan-evaporation data regarding mean daily values of a month, including the relative humidity, wind speed, sunshine duration, and temperature, were collected from three gauging stations situated in Al Qassim, Saudi Arabia. The Nash and Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) and Mean Square Error (MSE) evaluated the performance of pan-evaporation modeling techniques. The study shows that the ANFIS simulation results were better than those of ANN and Penman and Hamon’s equations. The findings of the present research will help managers, engineers, and decision makers to sustainability manage natural water resources in warm-arid regions.
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spelling doaj.art-3e67097881b942ae9bbab3f7b281c0912023-11-21T10:27:29ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412021-03-0113679310.3390/w13060793Simulation of Pan-Evaporation Using Penman and Hamon Equations and Artificial Intelligence TechniquesAbdul Razzaq Ghumman0Mohammed Jamaan1Afaq Ahmad2Md. Shafiquzzaman3Husnain Haider4Ibrahim Saleh Al Salamah5Yousry Mahmoud Ghazaw6Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Qassim University, Buraydah 51431, Saudi ArabiaGraduate Student, Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Qassim University, Buraydah 51431, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Engineering and Technology, Taxila 47080, PakistanDepartment of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Qassim University, Buraydah 51431, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Qassim University, Buraydah 51431, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Qassim University, Buraydah 51431, Saudi ArabiaCivil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University, Alexandria 21544, EgyptThe evaporation losses are very high in warm-arid regions and their accurate evaluation is vital for the sustainable management of water resources. The assessment of such losses involves extremely difficult and original tasks because of the scarcity of data in countries with an arid climate. The main objective of this paper is to develop models for the simulation of pan-evaporation with the help of Penman and Hamon’s equations, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), and the Artificial Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The results from five types of ANN models with different training functions were compared to find the best possible training function. The impact of using various input variables was investigated as an original contribution of this research. The average temperature and mean wind speed were found to be the most influential parameters. The estimation of parameters for Penman and Hamon’s equations was quite a daunting task. These parameters were estimated using a state of the art optimization algorithm, namely General Reduced Gradient Technique. The results of the Penman and Hamon’s equations, ANN, and ANFIS were compared. Thirty-eight years (from 1980 to 2018) of manually recorded pan-evaporation data regarding mean daily values of a month, including the relative humidity, wind speed, sunshine duration, and temperature, were collected from three gauging stations situated in Al Qassim, Saudi Arabia. The Nash and Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) and Mean Square Error (MSE) evaluated the performance of pan-evaporation modeling techniques. The study shows that the ANFIS simulation results were better than those of ANN and Penman and Hamon’s equations. The findings of the present research will help managers, engineers, and decision makers to sustainability manage natural water resources in warm-arid regions.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/6/793reduced gradientwarm-aridpan-evaporationNeural NetworksNeuro Fuzzyrelative humidity
spellingShingle Abdul Razzaq Ghumman
Mohammed Jamaan
Afaq Ahmad
Md. Shafiquzzaman
Husnain Haider
Ibrahim Saleh Al Salamah
Yousry Mahmoud Ghazaw
Simulation of Pan-Evaporation Using Penman and Hamon Equations and Artificial Intelligence Techniques
Water
reduced gradient
warm-arid
pan-evaporation
Neural Networks
Neuro Fuzzy
relative humidity
title Simulation of Pan-Evaporation Using Penman and Hamon Equations and Artificial Intelligence Techniques
title_full Simulation of Pan-Evaporation Using Penman and Hamon Equations and Artificial Intelligence Techniques
title_fullStr Simulation of Pan-Evaporation Using Penman and Hamon Equations and Artificial Intelligence Techniques
title_full_unstemmed Simulation of Pan-Evaporation Using Penman and Hamon Equations and Artificial Intelligence Techniques
title_short Simulation of Pan-Evaporation Using Penman and Hamon Equations and Artificial Intelligence Techniques
title_sort simulation of pan evaporation using penman and hamon equations and artificial intelligence techniques
topic reduced gradient
warm-arid
pan-evaporation
Neural Networks
Neuro Fuzzy
relative humidity
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/6/793
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