Load Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Station Considering Multi-Source Information and User Decision Modification

In view of the current multi-source information scenario, this paper proposes a decision-making method for electric vehicle charging stations (EVCSs) based on prospect theory, which considers payment cost, time cost, and route factors, and is used for electric vehicle (EV) owners to make decisions w...

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Main Authors: Zhiyuan Zhuang, Xidong Zheng, Zixing Chen, Tao Jin, Zengqin Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-09-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/19/7021
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author Zhiyuan Zhuang
Xidong Zheng
Zixing Chen
Tao Jin
Zengqin Li
author_facet Zhiyuan Zhuang
Xidong Zheng
Zixing Chen
Tao Jin
Zengqin Li
author_sort Zhiyuan Zhuang
collection DOAJ
description In view of the current multi-source information scenario, this paper proposes a decision-making method for electric vehicle charging stations (EVCSs) based on prospect theory, which considers payment cost, time cost, and route factors, and is used for electric vehicle (EV) owners to make decisions when the vehicle’s electricity is low. Combined with the multi-source information architecture composed of an information layer, algorithm layer, and model layer, the load of EVCSs in the region is forecast. In this paper, the Monte Carlo method is used to test the IEEE-30 model and the traffic network based on it, and the spatial and temporal distribution of charging load in the region is obtained, which verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results show that EVCS load forecasting based on the prospect theory under the influence of multi-source information will have an impact on the space–time distribution of the EVCS load, which is more consistent with the decisions of EV owners in reality.
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spelling doaj.art-3e70c565e69d4ac684ada11e3aa6d6c42023-11-23T20:11:49ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732022-09-011519702110.3390/en15197021Load Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Station Considering Multi-Source Information and User Decision ModificationZhiyuan Zhuang0Xidong Zheng1Zixing Chen2Tao Jin3Zengqin Li4College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, ChinaChina Railway Electric Industry Co., Ltd., Baoding 071051, ChinaIn view of the current multi-source information scenario, this paper proposes a decision-making method for electric vehicle charging stations (EVCSs) based on prospect theory, which considers payment cost, time cost, and route factors, and is used for electric vehicle (EV) owners to make decisions when the vehicle’s electricity is low. Combined with the multi-source information architecture composed of an information layer, algorithm layer, and model layer, the load of EVCSs in the region is forecast. In this paper, the Monte Carlo method is used to test the IEEE-30 model and the traffic network based on it, and the spatial and temporal distribution of charging load in the region is obtained, which verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results show that EVCS load forecasting based on the prospect theory under the influence of multi-source information will have an impact on the space–time distribution of the EVCS load, which is more consistent with the decisions of EV owners in reality.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/19/7021load forecastelectric vehicleprospect theorymulti-source information
spellingShingle Zhiyuan Zhuang
Xidong Zheng
Zixing Chen
Tao Jin
Zengqin Li
Load Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Station Considering Multi-Source Information and User Decision Modification
Energies
load forecast
electric vehicle
prospect theory
multi-source information
title Load Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Station Considering Multi-Source Information and User Decision Modification
title_full Load Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Station Considering Multi-Source Information and User Decision Modification
title_fullStr Load Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Station Considering Multi-Source Information and User Decision Modification
title_full_unstemmed Load Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Station Considering Multi-Source Information and User Decision Modification
title_short Load Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Station Considering Multi-Source Information and User Decision Modification
title_sort load forecast of electric vehicle charging station considering multi source information and user decision modification
topic load forecast
electric vehicle
prospect theory
multi-source information
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/19/7021
work_keys_str_mv AT zhiyuanzhuang loadforecastofelectricvehiclechargingstationconsideringmultisourceinformationanduserdecisionmodification
AT xidongzheng loadforecastofelectricvehiclechargingstationconsideringmultisourceinformationanduserdecisionmodification
AT zixingchen loadforecastofelectricvehiclechargingstationconsideringmultisourceinformationanduserdecisionmodification
AT taojin loadforecastofelectricvehiclechargingstationconsideringmultisourceinformationanduserdecisionmodification
AT zengqinli loadforecastofelectricvehiclechargingstationconsideringmultisourceinformationanduserdecisionmodification