Learning to communicate risk information in groups

Despite vigorous research on risk communication, little is known about the social forces that drive these choices. Erev, Wallsten, & Neal (1991) showed that forecasters learn to select verbal or numerical probability estimates as a function of which mode yields on average the larger group payoff...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hsuchi Ting, Thomas S. Wallsten
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2008-12-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500001601/type/journal_article
_version_ 1797696332478021632
author Hsuchi Ting
Thomas S. Wallsten
author_facet Hsuchi Ting
Thomas S. Wallsten
author_sort Hsuchi Ting
collection DOAJ
description Despite vigorous research on risk communication, little is known about the social forces that drive these choices. Erev, Wallsten, & Neal (1991) showed that forecasters learn to select verbal or numerical probability estimates as a function of which mode yields on average the larger group payoffs. We extend the result by investigating the effect of group size on the speed with which forecasters converge on the better communication mode. On the basis of social facilitation theory we hypothesized that small groups induce less arousal and anxiety among their members than do large groups when performing new tasks, and therefore that forecasters in small groups will learn the better communication mode more quickly. This result obtained in Experiment 1, which compared groups of size 3 to groups of size 5 or 6. To test whether social loafing rather than social facilitation was mediating the effects, Experiment 2 compared social to personal feedback holding group size constant at 3 members. Learning was faster in the personal feedback condition, suggesting that social facilitation rather than loafing underlay the results.
first_indexed 2024-03-12T03:24:51Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3e7e4f2d8bcc428c849475a0bdb947e7
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1930-2975
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-12T03:24:51Z
publishDate 2008-12-01
publisher Cambridge University Press
record_format Article
series Judgment and Decision Making
spelling doaj.art-3e7e4f2d8bcc428c849475a0bdb947e72023-09-03T13:42:56ZengCambridge University PressJudgment and Decision Making1930-29752008-12-01365966610.1017/S1930297500001601Learning to communicate risk information in groupsHsuchi Ting0Thomas S. Wallsten1Department of Psychology, University of MarylandDepartment of Psychology, University of MarylandDespite vigorous research on risk communication, little is known about the social forces that drive these choices. Erev, Wallsten, & Neal (1991) showed that forecasters learn to select verbal or numerical probability estimates as a function of which mode yields on average the larger group payoffs. We extend the result by investigating the effect of group size on the speed with which forecasters converge on the better communication mode. On the basis of social facilitation theory we hypothesized that small groups induce less arousal and anxiety among their members than do large groups when performing new tasks, and therefore that forecasters in small groups will learn the better communication mode more quickly. This result obtained in Experiment 1, which compared groups of size 3 to groups of size 5 or 6. To test whether social loafing rather than social facilitation was mediating the effects, Experiment 2 compared social to personal feedback holding group size constant at 3 members. Learning was faster in the personal feedback condition, suggesting that social facilitation rather than loafing underlay the results.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500001601/type/journal_articleprobabilitiesprobability judgmentrisk communicationgroup size
spellingShingle Hsuchi Ting
Thomas S. Wallsten
Learning to communicate risk information in groups
Judgment and Decision Making
probabilities
probability judgment
risk communication
group size
title Learning to communicate risk information in groups
title_full Learning to communicate risk information in groups
title_fullStr Learning to communicate risk information in groups
title_full_unstemmed Learning to communicate risk information in groups
title_short Learning to communicate risk information in groups
title_sort learning to communicate risk information in groups
topic probabilities
probability judgment
risk communication
group size
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500001601/type/journal_article
work_keys_str_mv AT hsuchiting learningtocommunicateriskinformationingroups
AT thomasswallsten learningtocommunicateriskinformationingroups