Temporal and Spatial Variations in Provincial CO2 Emissions in China from 2005 to 2015 and Assessment of a Reduction Plan

This study calculated the provincial carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in China, analyzed the temporal and spatial variations in emissions, and determined the emission intensity from 2005 to 2015. The total emissions control was forecasted in 2015, and the reduction pressure of the 30 provinces in Chin...

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Main Authors: Xuankai Deng, Yanhua Yu, Yanfang Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2015-05-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/8/5/4549
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author Xuankai Deng
Yanhua Yu
Yanfang Liu
author_facet Xuankai Deng
Yanhua Yu
Yanfang Liu
author_sort Xuankai Deng
collection DOAJ
description This study calculated the provincial carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in China, analyzed the temporal and spatial variations in emissions, and determined the emission intensity from 2005 to 2015. The total emissions control was forecasted in 2015, and the reduction pressure of the 30 provinces in China was assessed based on historical emissions and the 12th five-year (2011–2015) reduction plan. Results indicate that CO2 emissions eventually increased and gradually decreased from east to west, whereas the emission intensity ultimately decreased and gradually increased from south to north. By the end of 2015, the total control of provincial emissions will increase significantly compared to the 2010 level, whereas the emission intensity will decrease. The provinces in the North, East, and South Coast regions will maintain the highest emission levels. The provinces in the Southwest and Northwest regions will experience a rapid growth rate of emissions. However, the national emission reduction target will nearly be achieved if all provinces can implement reduction targets as planned. Pressure indices show that the South Coast and Northwest regions are confronted with a greater reduction pressure of emission intensity. Finally, policy implications are provided for CO2 reductions in China.
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spelling doaj.art-3e9a3d6e246546f3983a56a986cf223c2022-12-22T03:59:38ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732015-05-01854549457110.3390/en8054549en8054549Temporal and Spatial Variations in Provincial CO2 Emissions in China from 2005 to 2015 and Assessment of a Reduction PlanXuankai Deng0Yanhua Yu1Yanfang Liu2School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, ChinaInstitute for Interdisciplinary Research, Jianghan University, Wuhan 430056, ChinaSchool of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, ChinaThis study calculated the provincial carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in China, analyzed the temporal and spatial variations in emissions, and determined the emission intensity from 2005 to 2015. The total emissions control was forecasted in 2015, and the reduction pressure of the 30 provinces in China was assessed based on historical emissions and the 12th five-year (2011–2015) reduction plan. Results indicate that CO2 emissions eventually increased and gradually decreased from east to west, whereas the emission intensity ultimately decreased and gradually increased from south to north. By the end of 2015, the total control of provincial emissions will increase significantly compared to the 2010 level, whereas the emission intensity will decrease. The provinces in the North, East, and South Coast regions will maintain the highest emission levels. The provinces in the Southwest and Northwest regions will experience a rapid growth rate of emissions. However, the national emission reduction target will nearly be achieved if all provinces can implement reduction targets as planned. Pressure indices show that the South Coast and Northwest regions are confronted with a greater reduction pressure of emission intensity. Finally, policy implications are provided for CO2 reductions in China.http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/8/5/4549CO2 emissionstotal controlreduction pressureregional differencesdistribution
spellingShingle Xuankai Deng
Yanhua Yu
Yanfang Liu
Temporal and Spatial Variations in Provincial CO2 Emissions in China from 2005 to 2015 and Assessment of a Reduction Plan
Energies
CO2 emissions
total control
reduction pressure
regional differences
distribution
title Temporal and Spatial Variations in Provincial CO2 Emissions in China from 2005 to 2015 and Assessment of a Reduction Plan
title_full Temporal and Spatial Variations in Provincial CO2 Emissions in China from 2005 to 2015 and Assessment of a Reduction Plan
title_fullStr Temporal and Spatial Variations in Provincial CO2 Emissions in China from 2005 to 2015 and Assessment of a Reduction Plan
title_full_unstemmed Temporal and Spatial Variations in Provincial CO2 Emissions in China from 2005 to 2015 and Assessment of a Reduction Plan
title_short Temporal and Spatial Variations in Provincial CO2 Emissions in China from 2005 to 2015 and Assessment of a Reduction Plan
title_sort temporal and spatial variations in provincial co2 emissions in china from 2005 to 2015 and assessment of a reduction plan
topic CO2 emissions
total control
reduction pressure
regional differences
distribution
url http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/8/5/4549
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AT yanhuayu temporalandspatialvariationsinprovincialco2emissionsinchinafrom2005to2015andassessmentofareductionplan
AT yanfangliu temporalandspatialvariationsinprovincialco2emissionsinchinafrom2005to2015andassessmentofareductionplan