Estimating North Korea's GNP by Physical Indicators Approach (Written in Korean)

The most difficult problem one faces in estimating North Korea's GNP is the lack of basic national income data. In addition, there is no appropriate foreign exchange rate available to convert North Korea's GNP to dollar values. The physical indicators method is particularly useful in estim...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: 전, 홍택
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Korea Development Institute 1992-04-01
Series:KDI Journal of Economic Policy
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.23895/kdijep.1992.14.1.167
_version_ 1819131068172730368
author 전, 홍택
author_facet 전, 홍택
author_sort 전, 홍택
collection DOAJ
description The most difficult problem one faces in estimating North Korea's GNP is the lack of basic national income data. In addition, there is no appropriate foreign exchange rate available to convert North Korea's GNP to dollar values. The physical indicators method is particularly useful in estimating North Korean GNP because it requires only a modest amount of data and obtains dollar GNP directly by applying a relationship between physical indicators and GNP, which is estimated from reference countries, to physical indicators of North Korea. The estimated result of North Korean GNP in 1990 is 2 7.1 billion dollars and per capita GNP 1,268 dollars. The trade participation ratio (Trade/GNP) implied by the GNP estimate was plausible and so was the ratio of fiscal expenditure to GNP. This paper examined the physical indicators method's logic, the quality of the North Korean data that was used in the estimation, and the plausibility of estimation result. Relatively simple data requirement, comparative ease of computation and plausible estimation results suggest that use of physical indicators method could enhance the reliability of North Korean GNP estimate.
first_indexed 2024-12-22T09:09:37Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3ef90d13956f49dfb42d158211fc4b78
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2586-2995
2586-4130
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-22T09:09:37Z
publishDate 1992-04-01
publisher Korea Development Institute
record_format Article
series KDI Journal of Economic Policy
spelling doaj.art-3ef90d13956f49dfb42d158211fc4b782022-12-21T18:31:29ZengKorea Development InstituteKDI Journal of Economic Policy2586-29952586-41301992-04-0114116718910.23895/kdijep.1992.14.1.167Estimating North Korea's GNP by Physical Indicators Approach (Written in Korean)전, 홍택The most difficult problem one faces in estimating North Korea's GNP is the lack of basic national income data. In addition, there is no appropriate foreign exchange rate available to convert North Korea's GNP to dollar values. The physical indicators method is particularly useful in estimating North Korean GNP because it requires only a modest amount of data and obtains dollar GNP directly by applying a relationship between physical indicators and GNP, which is estimated from reference countries, to physical indicators of North Korea. The estimated result of North Korean GNP in 1990 is 2 7.1 billion dollars and per capita GNP 1,268 dollars. The trade participation ratio (Trade/GNP) implied by the GNP estimate was plausible and so was the ratio of fiscal expenditure to GNP. This paper examined the physical indicators method's logic, the quality of the North Korean data that was used in the estimation, and the plausibility of estimation result. Relatively simple data requirement, comparative ease of computation and plausible estimation results suggest that use of physical indicators method could enhance the reliability of North Korean GNP estimate.https://doi.org/10.23895/kdijep.1992.14.1.167
spellingShingle 전, 홍택
Estimating North Korea's GNP by Physical Indicators Approach (Written in Korean)
KDI Journal of Economic Policy
title Estimating North Korea's GNP by Physical Indicators Approach (Written in Korean)
title_full Estimating North Korea's GNP by Physical Indicators Approach (Written in Korean)
title_fullStr Estimating North Korea's GNP by Physical Indicators Approach (Written in Korean)
title_full_unstemmed Estimating North Korea's GNP by Physical Indicators Approach (Written in Korean)
title_short Estimating North Korea's GNP by Physical Indicators Approach (Written in Korean)
title_sort estimating north korea s gnp by physical indicators approach written in korean
url https://doi.org/10.23895/kdijep.1992.14.1.167
work_keys_str_mv AT jeonhongtaeg estimatingnorthkoreasgnpbyphysicalindicatorsapproachwritteninkorean