External and Internal Shocks and the Movement of Palm Oil Price: SVAR Evidence from Malaysia

Movements in palm oil price give important signals to various stakeholders of the palm oil industry in Malaysia. Thus, understanding external and internal factors that may affect the palm oil price is vital to the industry players for sustainability of their activities. This study investigates relat...

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Main Authors: Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi, Zulkefly Abdul Karim, Noor Amirah Zaidon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-12-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/10/1/7
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author Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi
Zulkefly Abdul Karim
Noor Amirah Zaidon
author_facet Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi
Zulkefly Abdul Karim
Noor Amirah Zaidon
author_sort Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi
collection DOAJ
description Movements in palm oil price give important signals to various stakeholders of the palm oil industry in Malaysia. Thus, understanding external and internal factors that may affect the palm oil price is vital to the industry players for sustainability of their activities. This study investigates relative importance of external and internal shocks on the movement of palm oil price in Malaysia. Employing a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model on quarterly data from 1990 to 2019, the findings reveal that external shocks are more dominant in affecting the palm oil price. Shocks to the crude oil price, the prices of substitution goods (soybeans oil, rapeseed oil, and sunflower oil), the world palm oil price, and foreign income significantly affect the palm oil price in the short and medium run. The results also indicate that a shock to soybean oil price has a more profound effect on the palm oil price than a shock to rapeseed oil or sunflower oil prices, respectively. Likewise, shocks to incomes from India as well as from Netherlands create greater impacts on the palm oil price than a shock to income from the other trading partners, respectively. The study has shown the importance of external factors in affecting the palm oil industry.
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spelling doaj.art-3f009e029a314eafb59ab890710b713c2023-11-23T13:31:56ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992021-12-01101710.3390/economies10010007External and Internal Shocks and the Movement of Palm Oil Price: SVAR Evidence from MalaysiaMohd Azlan Shah Zaidi0Zulkefly Abdul Karim1Noor Amirah Zaidon2Center for Sustainable and Inclusive Development Studies, Faculty of Economics and Management, University Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), Bangi 43600, MalaysiaCenter for Sustainable and Inclusive Development Studies, Faculty of Economics and Management, University Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), Bangi 43600, MalaysiaCenter for Sustainable and Inclusive Development Studies, Faculty of Economics and Management, University Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), Bangi 43600, MalaysiaMovements in palm oil price give important signals to various stakeholders of the palm oil industry in Malaysia. Thus, understanding external and internal factors that may affect the palm oil price is vital to the industry players for sustainability of their activities. This study investigates relative importance of external and internal shocks on the movement of palm oil price in Malaysia. Employing a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model on quarterly data from 1990 to 2019, the findings reveal that external shocks are more dominant in affecting the palm oil price. Shocks to the crude oil price, the prices of substitution goods (soybeans oil, rapeseed oil, and sunflower oil), the world palm oil price, and foreign income significantly affect the palm oil price in the short and medium run. The results also indicate that a shock to soybean oil price has a more profound effect on the palm oil price than a shock to rapeseed oil or sunflower oil prices, respectively. Likewise, shocks to incomes from India as well as from Netherlands create greater impacts on the palm oil price than a shock to income from the other trading partners, respectively. The study has shown the importance of external factors in affecting the palm oil industry.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/10/1/7palm oil pricedomestic shocksforeign shocksMalaysiaSVAR model
spellingShingle Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi
Zulkefly Abdul Karim
Noor Amirah Zaidon
External and Internal Shocks and the Movement of Palm Oil Price: SVAR Evidence from Malaysia
Economies
palm oil price
domestic shocks
foreign shocks
Malaysia
SVAR model
title External and Internal Shocks and the Movement of Palm Oil Price: SVAR Evidence from Malaysia
title_full External and Internal Shocks and the Movement of Palm Oil Price: SVAR Evidence from Malaysia
title_fullStr External and Internal Shocks and the Movement of Palm Oil Price: SVAR Evidence from Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed External and Internal Shocks and the Movement of Palm Oil Price: SVAR Evidence from Malaysia
title_short External and Internal Shocks and the Movement of Palm Oil Price: SVAR Evidence from Malaysia
title_sort external and internal shocks and the movement of palm oil price svar evidence from malaysia
topic palm oil price
domestic shocks
foreign shocks
Malaysia
SVAR model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/10/1/7
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