Using Serum Metabolomics to Predict Development of Anti-drug Antibodies in Multiple Sclerosis Patients Treated With IFNβ

Background: Neutralizing anti-drug antibodies (ADA) can greatly reduce the efficacy of biopharmaceuticals used to treat patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). However, the biological factors pre-disposing an individual to develop ADA are poorly characterized. Thus, there is an unmet clinical need fo...

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Main Authors: Kirsty E. Waddington, Artemis Papadaki, Leda Coelewij, Marsilio Adriani, Petra Nytrova, Eva Kubala Havrdova, Anna Fogdell-Hahn, Rachel Farrell, Pierre Dönnes, Inés Pineda-Torra, Elizabeth C. Jury
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Immunology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fimmu.2020.01527/full
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author Kirsty E. Waddington
Kirsty E. Waddington
Artemis Papadaki
Leda Coelewij
Leda Coelewij
Marsilio Adriani
Petra Nytrova
Eva Kubala Havrdova
Anna Fogdell-Hahn
Rachel Farrell
Pierre Dönnes
Pierre Dönnes
Inés Pineda-Torra
Elizabeth C. Jury
author_facet Kirsty E. Waddington
Kirsty E. Waddington
Artemis Papadaki
Leda Coelewij
Leda Coelewij
Marsilio Adriani
Petra Nytrova
Eva Kubala Havrdova
Anna Fogdell-Hahn
Rachel Farrell
Pierre Dönnes
Pierre Dönnes
Inés Pineda-Torra
Elizabeth C. Jury
author_sort Kirsty E. Waddington
collection DOAJ
description Background: Neutralizing anti-drug antibodies (ADA) can greatly reduce the efficacy of biopharmaceuticals used to treat patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). However, the biological factors pre-disposing an individual to develop ADA are poorly characterized. Thus, there is an unmet clinical need for biomarkers to predict the development of immunogenicity, and subsequent treatment failure. Up to 35% of MS patients treated with beta interferons (IFNβ) develop ADA. Here we use machine learning to predict immunogenicity against IFNβ utilizing serum metabolomics data.Methods: Serum samples were collected from 89 MS patients as part of the ABIRISK consortium—a multi-center prospective study of ADA development. Metabolites and ADA were quantified prior to and after IFNβ treatment. Thirty patients became ADA positive during the first year of treatment (ADA+). We tested the efficacy of six binary classification models using 10-fold cross validation; k-nearest neighbors, decision tree, random forest, support vector machine and lasso (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator) logistic regression with and without interactions.Results: We were able to predict future immunogenicity from baseline metabolomics data. Lasso logistic regression with/without interactions and support vector machines were the most successful at identifying ADA+ or ADA– cases, respectively. Furthermore, patients who become ADA+ had a distinct metabolic response to IFNβ in the first 3 months, with 29 differentially regulated metabolites. Machine learning algorithms could also predict ADA status based on metabolite concentrations at 3 months. Lasso logistic regressions had the greatest proportion of correct classifications [F1 score (accuracy measure) = 0.808, specificity = 0.913]. Finally, we hypothesized that serum lipids could contribute to ADA development by altering immune-cell lipid rafts. This was supported by experimental evidence demonstrating that, prior to IFNβ exposure, lipid raft-associated lipids were differentially expressed between MS patients who became ADA+ or remained ADA–.Conclusion: Serum metabolites are a promising biomarker for prediction of ADA development in MS patients treated with IFNβ, and could provide novel insight into mechanisms of immunogenicity.
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spelling doaj.art-3f18697f0ea04704bfe363826743d56e2022-12-22T03:39:04ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Immunology1664-32242020-07-011110.3389/fimmu.2020.01527544281Using Serum Metabolomics to Predict Development of Anti-drug Antibodies in Multiple Sclerosis Patients Treated With IFNβKirsty E. Waddington0Kirsty E. Waddington1Artemis Papadaki2Leda Coelewij3Leda Coelewij4Marsilio Adriani5Petra Nytrova6Eva Kubala Havrdova7Anna Fogdell-Hahn8Rachel Farrell9Pierre Dönnes10Pierre Dönnes11Inés Pineda-Torra12Elizabeth C. Jury13Centre for Rheumatology, University College London, London, United KingdomCentre for Cardiometabolic and Vascular Medicine, University College London, London, United KingdomCentre for Rheumatology, University College London, London, United KingdomCentre for Rheumatology, University College London, London, United KingdomCentre for Cardiometabolic and Vascular Medicine, University College London, London, United KingdomCentre for Rheumatology, University College London, London, United KingdomDepartment of Neurology and Centre of Clinical Neuroscience, General University Hospital and First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University in Prague, Prague, CzechiaDepartment of Neurology and Centre of Clinical Neuroscience, General University Hospital and First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University in Prague, Prague, CzechiaDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Center for Molecular Medicine (CMM), Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska University Hospital, Huddinge, SwedenDepartment of Neuroinflammation, University College London, Institute of Neurology and National Hospital of Neurology and Neurosurgery, London, United KingdomCentre for Rheumatology, University College London, London, United KingdomScicross AB, Skövde, SwedenCentre for Cardiometabolic and Vascular Medicine, University College London, London, United KingdomCentre for Rheumatology, University College London, London, United KingdomBackground: Neutralizing anti-drug antibodies (ADA) can greatly reduce the efficacy of biopharmaceuticals used to treat patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). However, the biological factors pre-disposing an individual to develop ADA are poorly characterized. Thus, there is an unmet clinical need for biomarkers to predict the development of immunogenicity, and subsequent treatment failure. Up to 35% of MS patients treated with beta interferons (IFNβ) develop ADA. Here we use machine learning to predict immunogenicity against IFNβ utilizing serum metabolomics data.Methods: Serum samples were collected from 89 MS patients as part of the ABIRISK consortium—a multi-center prospective study of ADA development. Metabolites and ADA were quantified prior to and after IFNβ treatment. Thirty patients became ADA positive during the first year of treatment (ADA+). We tested the efficacy of six binary classification models using 10-fold cross validation; k-nearest neighbors, decision tree, random forest, support vector machine and lasso (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator) logistic regression with and without interactions.Results: We were able to predict future immunogenicity from baseline metabolomics data. Lasso logistic regression with/without interactions and support vector machines were the most successful at identifying ADA+ or ADA– cases, respectively. Furthermore, patients who become ADA+ had a distinct metabolic response to IFNβ in the first 3 months, with 29 differentially regulated metabolites. Machine learning algorithms could also predict ADA status based on metabolite concentrations at 3 months. Lasso logistic regressions had the greatest proportion of correct classifications [F1 score (accuracy measure) = 0.808, specificity = 0.913]. Finally, we hypothesized that serum lipids could contribute to ADA development by altering immune-cell lipid rafts. This was supported by experimental evidence demonstrating that, prior to IFNβ exposure, lipid raft-associated lipids were differentially expressed between MS patients who became ADA+ or remained ADA–.Conclusion: Serum metabolites are a promising biomarker for prediction of ADA development in MS patients treated with IFNβ, and could provide novel insight into mechanisms of immunogenicity.https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fimmu.2020.01527/fullimmunogenicityanti-drug antibodiesmultiple sclerosismetabolomicscholesterolmachine learning
spellingShingle Kirsty E. Waddington
Kirsty E. Waddington
Artemis Papadaki
Leda Coelewij
Leda Coelewij
Marsilio Adriani
Petra Nytrova
Eva Kubala Havrdova
Anna Fogdell-Hahn
Rachel Farrell
Pierre Dönnes
Pierre Dönnes
Inés Pineda-Torra
Elizabeth C. Jury
Using Serum Metabolomics to Predict Development of Anti-drug Antibodies in Multiple Sclerosis Patients Treated With IFNβ
Frontiers in Immunology
immunogenicity
anti-drug antibodies
multiple sclerosis
metabolomics
cholesterol
machine learning
title Using Serum Metabolomics to Predict Development of Anti-drug Antibodies in Multiple Sclerosis Patients Treated With IFNβ
title_full Using Serum Metabolomics to Predict Development of Anti-drug Antibodies in Multiple Sclerosis Patients Treated With IFNβ
title_fullStr Using Serum Metabolomics to Predict Development of Anti-drug Antibodies in Multiple Sclerosis Patients Treated With IFNβ
title_full_unstemmed Using Serum Metabolomics to Predict Development of Anti-drug Antibodies in Multiple Sclerosis Patients Treated With IFNβ
title_short Using Serum Metabolomics to Predict Development of Anti-drug Antibodies in Multiple Sclerosis Patients Treated With IFNβ
title_sort using serum metabolomics to predict development of anti drug antibodies in multiple sclerosis patients treated with ifnβ
topic immunogenicity
anti-drug antibodies
multiple sclerosis
metabolomics
cholesterol
machine learning
url https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fimmu.2020.01527/full
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