Reconciling Macroeconomic Determinants with Stock Market Performance in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries: an ARDL Approach

Prior studies have adduced unstable macroeconomic factors to stock price movement overtime but the relationship between the duo remained unsettled. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique was used to reconcile the macroeconomic determinants with performance of stock markets in selected Sub-S...

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Main Authors: Kareem Arikewuyo, Akeem Adekunle Adeyemi, Eunice Titilayo Omodara, Lateef Adewale Yunusa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Warsaw 2020-10-01
Series:Journal of Banking and Financial Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://press.wz.uw.edu.pl/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1037&context=jbfe
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author Kareem Arikewuyo
Akeem Adekunle Adeyemi
Eunice Titilayo Omodara
Lateef Adewale Yunusa
author_facet Kareem Arikewuyo
Akeem Adekunle Adeyemi
Eunice Titilayo Omodara
Lateef Adewale Yunusa
author_sort Kareem Arikewuyo
collection DOAJ
description Prior studies have adduced unstable macroeconomic factors to stock price movement overtime but the relationship between the duo remained unsettled. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique was used to reconcile the macroeconomic determinants with performance of stock markets in selected Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) covering the period of 1999:1–2017:4. It was found that macroeconomic indicators were essential in determining stock market performance in Nigeria while South African stock market did not show any predictable linkage but the contemporaneous effect of oil price changes on stock market performance in selected SSA. The study, therefore, recommended that countries in SSA should reduce overdependence on oil to minimize external influence in order to promote stability of the stock markets.
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spelling doaj.art-3f2b739662b74337bd6260fcb15cd08d2024-12-02T06:17:22ZengUniversity of WarsawJournal of Banking and Financial Economics2353-68452020-10-0120201233910.7172/2353-6845.jbfe.2020.1.2Reconciling Macroeconomic Determinants with Stock Market Performance in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries: an ARDL ApproachKareem Arikewuyo0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0439-8859 Akeem Adekunle Adeyemi1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2625-4781 Eunice Titilayo Omodara2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6242-5184 Lateef Adewale Yunusa3https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7958-8844Southwestern University, Okun-Owa, NigeriaOlabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye, NigeriaOlabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye, NigeriaOlabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye, Nigeria Prior studies have adduced unstable macroeconomic factors to stock price movement overtime but the relationship between the duo remained unsettled. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique was used to reconcile the macroeconomic determinants with performance of stock markets in selected Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) covering the period of 1999:1–2017:4. It was found that macroeconomic indicators were essential in determining stock market performance in Nigeria while South African stock market did not show any predictable linkage but the contemporaneous effect of oil price changes on stock market performance in selected SSA. The study, therefore, recommended that countries in SSA should reduce overdependence on oil to minimize external influence in order to promote stability of the stock markets.https://press.wz.uw.edu.pl/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1037&context=jbfemacroeconomic determinantsstock market performanceexternal shocksub-saharan africa
spellingShingle Kareem Arikewuyo
Akeem Adekunle Adeyemi
Eunice Titilayo Omodara
Lateef Adewale Yunusa
Reconciling Macroeconomic Determinants with Stock Market Performance in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries: an ARDL Approach
Journal of Banking and Financial Economics
macroeconomic determinants
stock market performance
external shock
sub-saharan africa
title Reconciling Macroeconomic Determinants with Stock Market Performance in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries: an ARDL Approach
title_full Reconciling Macroeconomic Determinants with Stock Market Performance in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries: an ARDL Approach
title_fullStr Reconciling Macroeconomic Determinants with Stock Market Performance in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries: an ARDL Approach
title_full_unstemmed Reconciling Macroeconomic Determinants with Stock Market Performance in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries: an ARDL Approach
title_short Reconciling Macroeconomic Determinants with Stock Market Performance in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries: an ARDL Approach
title_sort reconciling macroeconomic determinants with stock market performance in selected sub saharan african countries an ardl approach
topic macroeconomic determinants
stock market performance
external shock
sub-saharan africa
url https://press.wz.uw.edu.pl/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1037&context=jbfe
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