Stride-TCN for Energy Consumption Forecasting and Its Optimization

Forecasting, commonly used in econometrics, meteorology, or energy consumption prediction, is the field of study that deals with time series data to predict future trends. Former studies have revealed that both traditional statistical models and recent deep learning-based approaches have achieved go...

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Main Authors: Le Hoang Anh, Gwang Hyun Yu, Dang Thanh Vu, Jin Sul Kim, Jung Il Lee, Jun Churl Yoon, Jin Young Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-09-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/19/9422
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author Le Hoang Anh
Gwang Hyun Yu
Dang Thanh Vu
Jin Sul Kim
Jung Il Lee
Jun Churl Yoon
Jin Young Kim
author_facet Le Hoang Anh
Gwang Hyun Yu
Dang Thanh Vu
Jin Sul Kim
Jung Il Lee
Jun Churl Yoon
Jin Young Kim
author_sort Le Hoang Anh
collection DOAJ
description Forecasting, commonly used in econometrics, meteorology, or energy consumption prediction, is the field of study that deals with time series data to predict future trends. Former studies have revealed that both traditional statistical models and recent deep learning-based approaches have achieved good performance in forecasting. In particular, temporal convolutional networks (TCNs) have proved their effectiveness in several time series benchmarks. However, presented TCN models are too heavy to deploy on resource-constrained systems, such as edge devices. As a resolution, this study proposes a stride–dilation mechanism for TCN that favors a lightweight model yet still achieves on-pair accuracy with the heavy counterparts. We also present the Chonnam National University (CNU) Electric Power Consumption dataset, the dataset of energy consumption measured at CNU by smart meters every hour. The experimental results indicate that our best model reduces the mean squared error by 32.7%, whereas the model size is only 1.6% compared to the baseline TCN.
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spelling doaj.art-3f59fb3bd4f64a59851739da876daadf2023-11-23T19:39:15ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172022-09-011219942210.3390/app12199422Stride-TCN for Energy Consumption Forecasting and Its OptimizationLe Hoang Anh0Gwang Hyun Yu1Dang Thanh Vu2Jin Sul Kim3Jung Il Lee4Jun Churl Yoon5Jin Young Kim6Department of ICT Convergence System Engineering, Chonnam National University, 77, Yongbong-ro, Buk-gu, Gwangju 61186, KoreaDepartment of ICT Convergence System Engineering, Chonnam National University, 77, Yongbong-ro, Buk-gu, Gwangju 61186, KoreaDepartment of ICT Convergence System Engineering, Chonnam National University, 77, Yongbong-ro, Buk-gu, Gwangju 61186, KoreaDepartment of ICT Convergence System Engineering, Chonnam National University, 77, Yongbong-ro, Buk-gu, Gwangju 61186, KoreaKorea Electric Power Research Institute (KEPRI), 105, Munji-ro, Yuseong-ku, Daejeon 34056, KoreaKorea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO), 55, Jeollyeok-ro, Jeollanam-do, Naju-si 58322, KoreaDepartment of ICT Convergence System Engineering, Chonnam National University, 77, Yongbong-ro, Buk-gu, Gwangju 61186, KoreaForecasting, commonly used in econometrics, meteorology, or energy consumption prediction, is the field of study that deals with time series data to predict future trends. Former studies have revealed that both traditional statistical models and recent deep learning-based approaches have achieved good performance in forecasting. In particular, temporal convolutional networks (TCNs) have proved their effectiveness in several time series benchmarks. However, presented TCN models are too heavy to deploy on resource-constrained systems, such as edge devices. As a resolution, this study proposes a stride–dilation mechanism for TCN that favors a lightweight model yet still achieves on-pair accuracy with the heavy counterparts. We also present the Chonnam National University (CNU) Electric Power Consumption dataset, the dataset of energy consumption measured at CNU by smart meters every hour. The experimental results indicate that our best model reduces the mean squared error by 32.7%, whereas the model size is only 1.6% compared to the baseline TCN.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/19/9422temporal convolutional networksdeep learningtime-series forecasting
spellingShingle Le Hoang Anh
Gwang Hyun Yu
Dang Thanh Vu
Jin Sul Kim
Jung Il Lee
Jun Churl Yoon
Jin Young Kim
Stride-TCN for Energy Consumption Forecasting and Its Optimization
Applied Sciences
temporal convolutional networks
deep learning
time-series forecasting
title Stride-TCN for Energy Consumption Forecasting and Its Optimization
title_full Stride-TCN for Energy Consumption Forecasting and Its Optimization
title_fullStr Stride-TCN for Energy Consumption Forecasting and Its Optimization
title_full_unstemmed Stride-TCN for Energy Consumption Forecasting and Its Optimization
title_short Stride-TCN for Energy Consumption Forecasting and Its Optimization
title_sort stride tcn for energy consumption forecasting and its optimization
topic temporal convolutional networks
deep learning
time-series forecasting
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/19/9422
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