Development of prediction models to estimate extubation time and midterm recovery time of ophthalmic patients undergoing general anesthesia: a cross-sectional study

Abstract Background To develop prediction models for extubation time and midterm recovery time estimation in ophthalmic patients who underwent general anesthesia. Methods Totally 1824 ophthalmic patients who received general anesthesia at Joint Shantou International Eye Center were included. They we...

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Main Authors: Xuan Huang, Ronghui Tan, Jian-Wei Lin, Gonghui Li, Jianying Xie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-03-01
Series:BMC Anesthesiology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12871-023-02021-3
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author Xuan Huang
Ronghui Tan
Jian-Wei Lin
Gonghui Li
Jianying Xie
author_facet Xuan Huang
Ronghui Tan
Jian-Wei Lin
Gonghui Li
Jianying Xie
author_sort Xuan Huang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background To develop prediction models for extubation time and midterm recovery time estimation in ophthalmic patients who underwent general anesthesia. Methods Totally 1824 ophthalmic patients who received general anesthesia at Joint Shantou International Eye Center were included. They were divided into a training dataset of 1276 samples, a validation dataset of 274 samples and a check dataset of 274 samples. Up to 85 to 87 related factors were collected for extubation time and midterm recovery time analysis, respectively, including patient factors, anesthetic factors, surgery factors and laboratory examination results. First, multiple linear regression was used for predictor selection. Second, different methods were used to develop predictive models for extubation time and midterm recovery time respectively. Finally, the models’ generalization abilities were evaluated using a same check dataset with MSE, RMSE, MAE, MAPE, R-Squared and CCC. Results The fuzzy neural network achieved the highest R-Squared of 0.956 for extubation time prediction and 0.885 for midterm recovery time, and the RMSE value was 6.637 and 9.285, respectively. Conclusion The fuzzy neural network developed in this study had good generalization performance in predicting both extubation time and midterm recovery time of ophthalmic patients undergoing general anesthesia. Trial registration This study is prospectively registered in the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, registration number: CHiCRT2000036416, registration date: August 23, 2020.
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spelling doaj.art-3f67999420fd466f88a885a952510df02023-03-22T12:12:27ZengBMCBMC Anesthesiology1471-22532023-03-0123111710.1186/s12871-023-02021-3Development of prediction models to estimate extubation time and midterm recovery time of ophthalmic patients undergoing general anesthesia: a cross-sectional studyXuan Huang0Ronghui Tan1Jian-Wei Lin2Gonghui Li3Jianying Xie4Joint Shantou International Eye Centre of Shantou University and the Chinese University of Hong KongJoint Shantou International Eye Centre of Shantou University and the Chinese University of Hong KongJoint Shantou International Eye Centre of Shantou University and the Chinese University of Hong KongJoint Shantou International Eye Centre of Shantou University and the Chinese University of Hong KongJoint Shantou International Eye Centre of Shantou University and the Chinese University of Hong KongAbstract Background To develop prediction models for extubation time and midterm recovery time estimation in ophthalmic patients who underwent general anesthesia. Methods Totally 1824 ophthalmic patients who received general anesthesia at Joint Shantou International Eye Center were included. They were divided into a training dataset of 1276 samples, a validation dataset of 274 samples and a check dataset of 274 samples. Up to 85 to 87 related factors were collected for extubation time and midterm recovery time analysis, respectively, including patient factors, anesthetic factors, surgery factors and laboratory examination results. First, multiple linear regression was used for predictor selection. Second, different methods were used to develop predictive models for extubation time and midterm recovery time respectively. Finally, the models’ generalization abilities were evaluated using a same check dataset with MSE, RMSE, MAE, MAPE, R-Squared and CCC. Results The fuzzy neural network achieved the highest R-Squared of 0.956 for extubation time prediction and 0.885 for midterm recovery time, and the RMSE value was 6.637 and 9.285, respectively. Conclusion The fuzzy neural network developed in this study had good generalization performance in predicting both extubation time and midterm recovery time of ophthalmic patients undergoing general anesthesia. Trial registration This study is prospectively registered in the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, registration number: CHiCRT2000036416, registration date: August 23, 2020.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12871-023-02021-3Delayed Emergence from AnesthesiaPrediction ModelFuzzy Neural NetworkExtubation TimeMidterm Recovery TimeRisk Factors
spellingShingle Xuan Huang
Ronghui Tan
Jian-Wei Lin
Gonghui Li
Jianying Xie
Development of prediction models to estimate extubation time and midterm recovery time of ophthalmic patients undergoing general anesthesia: a cross-sectional study
BMC Anesthesiology
Delayed Emergence from Anesthesia
Prediction Model
Fuzzy Neural Network
Extubation Time
Midterm Recovery Time
Risk Factors
title Development of prediction models to estimate extubation time and midterm recovery time of ophthalmic patients undergoing general anesthesia: a cross-sectional study
title_full Development of prediction models to estimate extubation time and midterm recovery time of ophthalmic patients undergoing general anesthesia: a cross-sectional study
title_fullStr Development of prediction models to estimate extubation time and midterm recovery time of ophthalmic patients undergoing general anesthesia: a cross-sectional study
title_full_unstemmed Development of prediction models to estimate extubation time and midterm recovery time of ophthalmic patients undergoing general anesthesia: a cross-sectional study
title_short Development of prediction models to estimate extubation time and midterm recovery time of ophthalmic patients undergoing general anesthesia: a cross-sectional study
title_sort development of prediction models to estimate extubation time and midterm recovery time of ophthalmic patients undergoing general anesthesia a cross sectional study
topic Delayed Emergence from Anesthesia
Prediction Model
Fuzzy Neural Network
Extubation Time
Midterm Recovery Time
Risk Factors
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12871-023-02021-3
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