Machine Learning-Based Modeling of Air Temperature in the Complex Environment of Yerevan City, Armenia

Machine learning (ML) was used to assess and predict urban air temperature (T<sub>air</sub>) considering the complexity of the terrain features in Yerevan (Armenia). The estimation was performed based on the Partial Least-Squares Regression (PLSR) model with a high number (30) of input v...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Garegin Tepanosyan, Shushanik Asmaryan, Vahagn Muradyan, Rima Avetisyan, Azatuhi Hovsepyan, Anahit Khlghatyan, Grigor Ayvazyan, Fabio Dell’Acqua
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/11/2795
_version_ 1797596822456238080
author Garegin Tepanosyan
Shushanik Asmaryan
Vahagn Muradyan
Rima Avetisyan
Azatuhi Hovsepyan
Anahit Khlghatyan
Grigor Ayvazyan
Fabio Dell’Acqua
author_facet Garegin Tepanosyan
Shushanik Asmaryan
Vahagn Muradyan
Rima Avetisyan
Azatuhi Hovsepyan
Anahit Khlghatyan
Grigor Ayvazyan
Fabio Dell’Acqua
author_sort Garegin Tepanosyan
collection DOAJ
description Machine learning (ML) was used to assess and predict urban air temperature (T<sub>air</sub>) considering the complexity of the terrain features in Yerevan (Armenia). The estimation was performed based on the Partial Least-Squares Regression (PLSR) model with a high number (30) of input variables. The relevant parameters include a newly purposed modification of spectral index IBI-SAVI, which turned out to strongly impact T<sub>air</sub> prediction together with land surface temperature (LST). Cross-validation analysis on temperature predictions across a station-centered 1000 m circular area revealed quite a high correlation (R<sup>2</sup><sub>Val</sub> = 0.77, RMSE<sub>Val</sub> = 1.58) between the predicted and measured T<sub>air</sub> from the test set. It was concluded the remote sensing is an effective tool to estimate T<sub>air</sub> distribution where a dense network of weather stations is not available. However, further developments will include incorporation of additional weather parameters from the weather stations, such as precipitation and wind speed, as well as the use of non-parametric ML techniques.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T02:58:26Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3f93a5cfa6b34b4f8e965966dccff056
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2072-4292
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-11T02:58:26Z
publishDate 2023-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Remote Sensing
spelling doaj.art-3f93a5cfa6b34b4f8e965966dccff0562023-11-18T08:28:47ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922023-05-011511279510.3390/rs15112795Machine Learning-Based Modeling of Air Temperature in the Complex Environment of Yerevan City, ArmeniaGaregin Tepanosyan0Shushanik Asmaryan1Vahagn Muradyan2Rima Avetisyan3Azatuhi Hovsepyan4Anahit Khlghatyan5Grigor Ayvazyan6Fabio Dell’Acqua7Centre for Ecological-Noosphere Studies, National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Abovyan Street 68, Yerevan 0025, ArmeniaCentre for Ecological-Noosphere Studies, National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Abovyan Street 68, Yerevan 0025, ArmeniaCentre for Ecological-Noosphere Studies, National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Abovyan Street 68, Yerevan 0025, ArmeniaCentre for Ecological-Noosphere Studies, National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Abovyan Street 68, Yerevan 0025, ArmeniaCentre for Ecological-Noosphere Studies, National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Abovyan Street 68, Yerevan 0025, ArmeniaCentre for Ecological-Noosphere Studies, National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Abovyan Street 68, Yerevan 0025, ArmeniaCentre for Ecological-Noosphere Studies, National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Abovyan Street 68, Yerevan 0025, ArmeniaDepartment of Electrical, Computer and Biomedical Engineering, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, ItalyMachine learning (ML) was used to assess and predict urban air temperature (T<sub>air</sub>) considering the complexity of the terrain features in Yerevan (Armenia). The estimation was performed based on the Partial Least-Squares Regression (PLSR) model with a high number (30) of input variables. The relevant parameters include a newly purposed modification of spectral index IBI-SAVI, which turned out to strongly impact T<sub>air</sub> prediction together with land surface temperature (LST). Cross-validation analysis on temperature predictions across a station-centered 1000 m circular area revealed quite a high correlation (R<sup>2</sup><sub>Val</sub> = 0.77, RMSE<sub>Val</sub> = 1.58) between the predicted and measured T<sub>air</sub> from the test set. It was concluded the remote sensing is an effective tool to estimate T<sub>air</sub> distribution where a dense network of weather stations is not available. However, further developments will include incorporation of additional weather parameters from the weather stations, such as precipitation and wind speed, as well as the use of non-parametric ML techniques.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/11/2795urban air temperatureland surface temperaturemultiple independent variablesurban heatremote sensing datamachine learning (ML)
spellingShingle Garegin Tepanosyan
Shushanik Asmaryan
Vahagn Muradyan
Rima Avetisyan
Azatuhi Hovsepyan
Anahit Khlghatyan
Grigor Ayvazyan
Fabio Dell’Acqua
Machine Learning-Based Modeling of Air Temperature in the Complex Environment of Yerevan City, Armenia
Remote Sensing
urban air temperature
land surface temperature
multiple independent variables
urban heat
remote sensing data
machine learning (ML)
title Machine Learning-Based Modeling of Air Temperature in the Complex Environment of Yerevan City, Armenia
title_full Machine Learning-Based Modeling of Air Temperature in the Complex Environment of Yerevan City, Armenia
title_fullStr Machine Learning-Based Modeling of Air Temperature in the Complex Environment of Yerevan City, Armenia
title_full_unstemmed Machine Learning-Based Modeling of Air Temperature in the Complex Environment of Yerevan City, Armenia
title_short Machine Learning-Based Modeling of Air Temperature in the Complex Environment of Yerevan City, Armenia
title_sort machine learning based modeling of air temperature in the complex environment of yerevan city armenia
topic urban air temperature
land surface temperature
multiple independent variables
urban heat
remote sensing data
machine learning (ML)
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/11/2795
work_keys_str_mv AT garegintepanosyan machinelearningbasedmodelingofairtemperatureinthecomplexenvironmentofyerevancityarmenia
AT shushanikasmaryan machinelearningbasedmodelingofairtemperatureinthecomplexenvironmentofyerevancityarmenia
AT vahagnmuradyan machinelearningbasedmodelingofairtemperatureinthecomplexenvironmentofyerevancityarmenia
AT rimaavetisyan machinelearningbasedmodelingofairtemperatureinthecomplexenvironmentofyerevancityarmenia
AT azatuhihovsepyan machinelearningbasedmodelingofairtemperatureinthecomplexenvironmentofyerevancityarmenia
AT anahitkhlghatyan machinelearningbasedmodelingofairtemperatureinthecomplexenvironmentofyerevancityarmenia
AT grigorayvazyan machinelearningbasedmodelingofairtemperatureinthecomplexenvironmentofyerevancityarmenia
AT fabiodellacqua machinelearningbasedmodelingofairtemperatureinthecomplexenvironmentofyerevancityarmenia