On the Value of Alert Systems and Gentle Rule Enforcement in Addressing Pandemics

The COVID-19 pandemic poses a major challenge to policy makers on how to encourage compliance to social distancing and personal protection rules. This paper compares the effectiveness of two policies that aim to increase the frequency of responsible health behavior using smartphone-tracking applicat...

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Main Authors: Yefim Roth, Ori Plonsky, Edith Shalev, Ido Erev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Psychology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.577743/full
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author Yefim Roth
Ori Plonsky
Edith Shalev
Ido Erev
author_facet Yefim Roth
Ori Plonsky
Edith Shalev
Ido Erev
author_sort Yefim Roth
collection DOAJ
description The COVID-19 pandemic poses a major challenge to policy makers on how to encourage compliance to social distancing and personal protection rules. This paper compares the effectiveness of two policies that aim to increase the frequency of responsible health behavior using smartphone-tracking applications. The first involves enhanced alert capabilities, which remove social externalities and protect the users from others’ reckless behavior. The second adds a rule enforcement mechanism that reduces the users’ benefit from reckless behavior. Both strategies should be effective if agents are expected-value maximizers, risk averse, and behave in accordance with cumulative prospect theory (Tversky and Kahneman, 1992) or in accordance with the Cognitive Hierarchy model (Camerer et al., 2004). A multi-player trust-game experiment was designed to compare the effectiveness of the two policies. The results reveal a substantial advantage to the enforcement application, even one with occasional misses. The enhanced-alert strategy was completely ineffective. The findings align with the small samples hypothesis, suggesting that decision makers tend to select the options that lead to the best payoff in a small sample of similar past experiences. In the current context, the tendency to rely on a small sample appears to be more consequential than other deviations from rational choice.
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spelling doaj.art-3f94876e143144b6b34183cc2603b0172022-12-21T22:08:51ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Psychology1664-10782020-11-011110.3389/fpsyg.2020.577743577743On the Value of Alert Systems and Gentle Rule Enforcement in Addressing PandemicsYefim Roth0Ori Plonsky1Edith Shalev2Ido Erev3Faculty of Social Welfare and Health Sciences, Department of Human Services, University of Haifa, Haifa, IsraelTechnion – Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, IsraelThe Interdisciplinary Center (IDC), Herzliya, IsraelTechnion – Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, IsraelThe COVID-19 pandemic poses a major challenge to policy makers on how to encourage compliance to social distancing and personal protection rules. This paper compares the effectiveness of two policies that aim to increase the frequency of responsible health behavior using smartphone-tracking applications. The first involves enhanced alert capabilities, which remove social externalities and protect the users from others’ reckless behavior. The second adds a rule enforcement mechanism that reduces the users’ benefit from reckless behavior. Both strategies should be effective if agents are expected-value maximizers, risk averse, and behave in accordance with cumulative prospect theory (Tversky and Kahneman, 1992) or in accordance with the Cognitive Hierarchy model (Camerer et al., 2004). A multi-player trust-game experiment was designed to compare the effectiveness of the two policies. The results reveal a substantial advantage to the enforcement application, even one with occasional misses. The enhanced-alert strategy was completely ineffective. The findings align with the small samples hypothesis, suggesting that decision makers tend to select the options that lead to the best payoff in a small sample of similar past experiences. In the current context, the tendency to rely on a small sample appears to be more consequential than other deviations from rational choice.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.577743/fulldecisions from experiencerare-eventssocial networkslevels or reasoningtrust game
spellingShingle Yefim Roth
Ori Plonsky
Edith Shalev
Ido Erev
On the Value of Alert Systems and Gentle Rule Enforcement in Addressing Pandemics
Frontiers in Psychology
decisions from experience
rare-events
social networks
levels or reasoning
trust game
title On the Value of Alert Systems and Gentle Rule Enforcement in Addressing Pandemics
title_full On the Value of Alert Systems and Gentle Rule Enforcement in Addressing Pandemics
title_fullStr On the Value of Alert Systems and Gentle Rule Enforcement in Addressing Pandemics
title_full_unstemmed On the Value of Alert Systems and Gentle Rule Enforcement in Addressing Pandemics
title_short On the Value of Alert Systems and Gentle Rule Enforcement in Addressing Pandemics
title_sort on the value of alert systems and gentle rule enforcement in addressing pandemics
topic decisions from experience
rare-events
social networks
levels or reasoning
trust game
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.577743/full
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