Relating prostate‐specific antigen leakage with vascular tumor growth in a mathematical model of prostate cancer response to androgen deprivation

Abstract The use of prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) as a prognostic indicator for prostate cancer (PCa) patients is controversial, especially since it has been shown to correlate poorly with tumor burden. The poor quality of PSA as a biomarker could be explained by current guidelines not accounting...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Johnna P. Barnaby, Inmaculada C. Sorribes, Harsh Vardhan Jain
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-06-01
Series:Computational and Systems Oncology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/cso2.1014
_version_ 1818827804621406208
author Johnna P. Barnaby
Inmaculada C. Sorribes
Harsh Vardhan Jain
author_facet Johnna P. Barnaby
Inmaculada C. Sorribes
Harsh Vardhan Jain
author_sort Johnna P. Barnaby
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The use of prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) as a prognostic indicator for prostate cancer (PCa) patients is controversial, especially since it has been shown to correlate poorly with tumor burden. The poor quality of PSA as a biomarker could be explained by current guidelines not accounting for the mechanism by which it enters circulation. Given that mature blood vessels are relatively impermeable to it, we hypothesize that immature and leaky blood vessels, formed under angiogenic cues in a hypoxic tumor, facilitate PSA extravasation into circulation. To explore our hypothesis, we develop a nonlinear dynamical systems model describing the vascular growth of PCa, that explicitly links PSA leakage into circulation with changes in intra‐tumoral oxygen tension and vessel permeability. The model is calibrated versus serum PSA and tumor burden time‐courses from a mouse xenograft model of castration resistant PCa response to androgen deprivation. The model recapitulates the experimentally observed and – counterintuitive – phenomenon of increasing tumor burden despite decreasing serum PSA levels. The validated model is then extended to the human scale by incorporating patient‐specific parameters and fitting individual PSA time‐courses from patients with biochemically failing PCa. Our results highlight the limitations of using time to PSA failure as a clinical indicator of androgen deprivation efficacy. We propose an alternative indicator, namely a treatment efficacy index, for patients with castration resistant disease, to identify who would benefit most from enhanced androgen deprivation. A critical challenge in PCa therapeutics is quantifying the relationship between serum PSA and tumor burden. Our results underscore the potential of mathematical modeling in understanding the limitations of serum PSA as a prognostic indicator. Finally, we provide a means of augmenting PSA time‐courses in the diagnostic process, with changes in intra‐tumoral vascularity and vascular architecture.
first_indexed 2024-12-19T00:49:23Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3f9ba1777ff849c39efcb2b7523a4869
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2689-9655
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-19T00:49:23Z
publishDate 2021-06-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Computational and Systems Oncology
spelling doaj.art-3f9ba1777ff849c39efcb2b7523a48692022-12-21T20:44:06ZengWileyComputational and Systems Oncology2689-96552021-06-0112n/an/a10.1002/cso2.1014Relating prostate‐specific antigen leakage with vascular tumor growth in a mathematical model of prostate cancer response to androgen deprivationJohnna P. Barnaby0Inmaculada C. Sorribes1Harsh Vardhan Jain2Department of Mathematics Shippensberg University Shippensburg Pennsylvania USADepartment of Mathematics Duke University Durham North Carolina USADepartment of Mathematics and Statistics University of Minnesota Duluth Duluth Minnesota USAAbstract The use of prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) as a prognostic indicator for prostate cancer (PCa) patients is controversial, especially since it has been shown to correlate poorly with tumor burden. The poor quality of PSA as a biomarker could be explained by current guidelines not accounting for the mechanism by which it enters circulation. Given that mature blood vessels are relatively impermeable to it, we hypothesize that immature and leaky blood vessels, formed under angiogenic cues in a hypoxic tumor, facilitate PSA extravasation into circulation. To explore our hypothesis, we develop a nonlinear dynamical systems model describing the vascular growth of PCa, that explicitly links PSA leakage into circulation with changes in intra‐tumoral oxygen tension and vessel permeability. The model is calibrated versus serum PSA and tumor burden time‐courses from a mouse xenograft model of castration resistant PCa response to androgen deprivation. The model recapitulates the experimentally observed and – counterintuitive – phenomenon of increasing tumor burden despite decreasing serum PSA levels. The validated model is then extended to the human scale by incorporating patient‐specific parameters and fitting individual PSA time‐courses from patients with biochemically failing PCa. Our results highlight the limitations of using time to PSA failure as a clinical indicator of androgen deprivation efficacy. We propose an alternative indicator, namely a treatment efficacy index, for patients with castration resistant disease, to identify who would benefit most from enhanced androgen deprivation. A critical challenge in PCa therapeutics is quantifying the relationship between serum PSA and tumor burden. Our results underscore the potential of mathematical modeling in understanding the limitations of serum PSA as a prognostic indicator. Finally, we provide a means of augmenting PSA time‐courses in the diagnostic process, with changes in intra‐tumoral vascularity and vascular architecture.https://doi.org/10.1002/cso2.1014angiogenesismathematical modelprostate cancerPSAVEGF
spellingShingle Johnna P. Barnaby
Inmaculada C. Sorribes
Harsh Vardhan Jain
Relating prostate‐specific antigen leakage with vascular tumor growth in a mathematical model of prostate cancer response to androgen deprivation
Computational and Systems Oncology
angiogenesis
mathematical model
prostate cancer
PSA
VEGF
title Relating prostate‐specific antigen leakage with vascular tumor growth in a mathematical model of prostate cancer response to androgen deprivation
title_full Relating prostate‐specific antigen leakage with vascular tumor growth in a mathematical model of prostate cancer response to androgen deprivation
title_fullStr Relating prostate‐specific antigen leakage with vascular tumor growth in a mathematical model of prostate cancer response to androgen deprivation
title_full_unstemmed Relating prostate‐specific antigen leakage with vascular tumor growth in a mathematical model of prostate cancer response to androgen deprivation
title_short Relating prostate‐specific antigen leakage with vascular tumor growth in a mathematical model of prostate cancer response to androgen deprivation
title_sort relating prostate specific antigen leakage with vascular tumor growth in a mathematical model of prostate cancer response to androgen deprivation
topic angiogenesis
mathematical model
prostate cancer
PSA
VEGF
url https://doi.org/10.1002/cso2.1014
work_keys_str_mv AT johnnapbarnaby relatingprostatespecificantigenleakagewithvasculartumorgrowthinamathematicalmodelofprostatecancerresponsetoandrogendeprivation
AT inmaculadacsorribes relatingprostatespecificantigenleakagewithvasculartumorgrowthinamathematicalmodelofprostatecancerresponsetoandrogendeprivation
AT harshvardhanjain relatingprostatespecificantigenleakagewithvasculartumorgrowthinamathematicalmodelofprostatecancerresponsetoandrogendeprivation