Tip dating with fossil sites and stratigraphic sequences

Tip dating, a method of phylogenetic analysis in which fossils are included as terminals and assigned an age, is becoming increasingly widely used in evolutionary studies. Current implementations of tip dating allow fossil ages to be assigned as a point estimate, or incorporate uncertainty through t...

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Main Authors: Benedict King, Martin Rücklin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: PeerJ Inc. 2020-06-01
Series:PeerJ
Subjects:
Online Access:https://peerj.com/articles/9368.pdf
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author Benedict King
Martin Rücklin
author_facet Benedict King
Martin Rücklin
author_sort Benedict King
collection DOAJ
description Tip dating, a method of phylogenetic analysis in which fossils are included as terminals and assigned an age, is becoming increasingly widely used in evolutionary studies. Current implementations of tip dating allow fossil ages to be assigned as a point estimate, or incorporate uncertainty through the use of uniform tip age priors. However, the use of tip age priors has the unwanted effect of decoupling the ages of fossils from the same fossil site. Here we introduce a new Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) proposal, which allows fossils from the same site to have linked ages, while still incorporating uncertainty in the age of the fossil site itself. We also include an extension, allowing fossil sites to be ordered in a stratigraphic column with age bounds applied only to the top and bottom of the sequence. These MCMC proposals are implemented in a new open-source BEAST2 package, palaeo. We test these new proposals on a dataset of early vertebrate fossils, concentrating on the effects on two sites with multiple acanthodian fossil taxa but wide age uncertainty, the Man On The Hill (MOTH) site from northern Canada, and the Turin Hill site from Scotland, both of Lochkovian (Early Devonian) age. The results show an increased precision of age estimates when fossils have linked tip ages compared to when ages are unlinked, and in this example leads to support for a younger age for the MOTH site compared with the Turin Hill site. There is also a minor effect on the tree topology of acanthodians. These new MCMC proposals should be widely applicable to studies that employ tip dating, particularly when the terminals are coded as individual specimens.
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spelling doaj.art-3fb09e43d7294a6aa9de5a920a24fc9d2023-12-03T10:31:13ZengPeerJ Inc.PeerJ2167-83592020-06-018e936810.7717/peerj.9368Tip dating with fossil sites and stratigraphic sequencesBenedict King0Martin Rücklin1Naturalis Biodiversity Center, Leiden, NetherlandsNaturalis Biodiversity Center, Leiden, NetherlandsTip dating, a method of phylogenetic analysis in which fossils are included as terminals and assigned an age, is becoming increasingly widely used in evolutionary studies. Current implementations of tip dating allow fossil ages to be assigned as a point estimate, or incorporate uncertainty through the use of uniform tip age priors. However, the use of tip age priors has the unwanted effect of decoupling the ages of fossils from the same fossil site. Here we introduce a new Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) proposal, which allows fossils from the same site to have linked ages, while still incorporating uncertainty in the age of the fossil site itself. We also include an extension, allowing fossil sites to be ordered in a stratigraphic column with age bounds applied only to the top and bottom of the sequence. These MCMC proposals are implemented in a new open-source BEAST2 package, palaeo. We test these new proposals on a dataset of early vertebrate fossils, concentrating on the effects on two sites with multiple acanthodian fossil taxa but wide age uncertainty, the Man On The Hill (MOTH) site from northern Canada, and the Turin Hill site from Scotland, both of Lochkovian (Early Devonian) age. The results show an increased precision of age estimates when fossils have linked tip ages compared to when ages are unlinked, and in this example leads to support for a younger age for the MOTH site compared with the Turin Hill site. There is also a minor effect on the tree topology of acanthodians. These new MCMC proposals should be widely applicable to studies that employ tip dating, particularly when the terminals are coded as individual specimens.https://peerj.com/articles/9368.pdfTip-datingFossilsStratigraphyPriorAcanthodiansMOTH
spellingShingle Benedict King
Martin Rücklin
Tip dating with fossil sites and stratigraphic sequences
PeerJ
Tip-dating
Fossils
Stratigraphy
Prior
Acanthodians
MOTH
title Tip dating with fossil sites and stratigraphic sequences
title_full Tip dating with fossil sites and stratigraphic sequences
title_fullStr Tip dating with fossil sites and stratigraphic sequences
title_full_unstemmed Tip dating with fossil sites and stratigraphic sequences
title_short Tip dating with fossil sites and stratigraphic sequences
title_sort tip dating with fossil sites and stratigraphic sequences
topic Tip-dating
Fossils
Stratigraphy
Prior
Acanthodians
MOTH
url https://peerj.com/articles/9368.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT benedictking tipdatingwithfossilsitesandstratigraphicsequences
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