The demise of the INF Treaty: a path dependence analysis

Abstract This article explains changes in strategic stability through a path dependence framework, discussing its antecedent conditions, increasing returns, cleavages, critical junctures, reactive sequences, and legacy. We identify the leading causes of its formation, reproduction, modification, and...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Augusto C. Dall’Agnol, Marco Cepik
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Instituto Brasileiro de Relações Internacionais 2021-06-01
Series:Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-73292021000200202&tlng=en
Description
Summary:Abstract This article explains changes in strategic stability through a path dependence framework, discussing its antecedent conditions, increasing returns, cleavages, critical junctures, reactive sequences, and legacy. We identify the leading causes of its formation, reproduction, modification, and, eventually, its end. Such an analysis is relevant as far as we observe significant changes in cornerstone’s aspects of strategic stability after the abrogation of the ABM Treaty and the INF Treaty. We argue that strategic stability as an institution passes through radical modifications produced by reactive sequences breaking the causal loop that allowed its reproduction since its formation.
ISSN:1983-3121