An investigation of a measles outbreak in Japan and Taiwan, China, March–May 2018

Objective: To investigate a measles outbreak that spread to Japan and Taiwan, China during March–May 2018, exploring the characteristics of the super-spreading event. Methods: A contact investigation of the index case and reconstruction of the epidemiological dynamics of measles transmission were c...

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Main Authors: Kazuki Shimizu, Ryo Kinoshita, Keita Yoshii, Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov, Sungmok Jung, Hyojung Lee, Hiroshi Nishiura
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: World Health Organization Regional Office for the Western Pacific 2018-08-01
Series:Western Pacific Surveillance and Response
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ojs.wpro.who.int/ojs/index.php/wpsar/article/view/634/837
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author Kazuki Shimizu
Ryo Kinoshita
Keita Yoshii
Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov
Sungmok Jung
Hyojung Lee
Hiroshi Nishiura
author_facet Kazuki Shimizu
Ryo Kinoshita
Keita Yoshii
Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov
Sungmok Jung
Hyojung Lee
Hiroshi Nishiura
author_sort Kazuki Shimizu
collection DOAJ
description Objective: To investigate a measles outbreak that spread to Japan and Taiwan, China during March–May 2018, exploring the characteristics of the super-spreading event. Methods: A contact investigation of the index case and reconstruction of the epidemiological dynamics of measles transmission were conducted. Employing a mathematical model, the effective reproduction number was estimated for each generation of cases. Results and discussion: A single index case gave rise to a total of 38 secondary cases, 33 in Japan and five in Taiwan, China. Subsequent chains of transmission were observed in highly vaccinated populations in both Japan and Taiwan, China. The effective reproduction number of the second generation was >1 for both Japan and Taiwan, China. In Japan, the reproduction number was estimated to be <1 during the third generation. Vaccination of susceptible individuals is essential to prevent secondary and tertiary transmission events.
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spelling doaj.art-3fe730528fc347e9a36f649d296c039a2022-12-21T19:57:59ZengWorld Health Organization Regional Office for the Western PacificWestern Pacific Surveillance and Response2094-73212094-73132018-08-0193253110.5365/wpsar.2018.9.2.005An investigation of a measles outbreak in Japan and Taiwan, China, March–May 2018Kazuki Shimizu0Ryo Kinoshita1Keita Yoshii2Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov3Sungmok Jung4Hyojung Lee5Hiroshi Nishiura6Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University.Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University.Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University.Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University.Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University.Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University.Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University.Objective: To investigate a measles outbreak that spread to Japan and Taiwan, China during March–May 2018, exploring the characteristics of the super-spreading event. Methods: A contact investigation of the index case and reconstruction of the epidemiological dynamics of measles transmission were conducted. Employing a mathematical model, the effective reproduction number was estimated for each generation of cases. Results and discussion: A single index case gave rise to a total of 38 secondary cases, 33 in Japan and five in Taiwan, China. Subsequent chains of transmission were observed in highly vaccinated populations in both Japan and Taiwan, China. The effective reproduction number of the second generation was >1 for both Japan and Taiwan, China. In Japan, the reproduction number was estimated to be <1 during the third generation. Vaccination of susceptible individuals is essential to prevent secondary and tertiary transmission events.https://ojs.wpro.who.int/ojs/index.php/wpsar/article/view/634/837outbreak investigationepidemicMorbillivirusbasic reproduction numberimportationsuperspreader
spellingShingle Kazuki Shimizu
Ryo Kinoshita
Keita Yoshii
Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov
Sungmok Jung
Hyojung Lee
Hiroshi Nishiura
An investigation of a measles outbreak in Japan and Taiwan, China, March–May 2018
Western Pacific Surveillance and Response
outbreak investigation
epidemic
Morbillivirus
basic reproduction number
importation
superspreader
title An investigation of a measles outbreak in Japan and Taiwan, China, March–May 2018
title_full An investigation of a measles outbreak in Japan and Taiwan, China, March–May 2018
title_fullStr An investigation of a measles outbreak in Japan and Taiwan, China, March–May 2018
title_full_unstemmed An investigation of a measles outbreak in Japan and Taiwan, China, March–May 2018
title_short An investigation of a measles outbreak in Japan and Taiwan, China, March–May 2018
title_sort investigation of a measles outbreak in japan and taiwan china march may 2018
topic outbreak investigation
epidemic
Morbillivirus
basic reproduction number
importation
superspreader
url https://ojs.wpro.who.int/ojs/index.php/wpsar/article/view/634/837
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