Combination of XGBoost and PPLK method for improving the precipitation nowcasting

The Precipitation nowcasting can provide high-resolution forecasts of rainfall and hydrometeors in 2 hours and play an important role in risk management for flash flood and debris flow events, but it is a very challenge work. This study proposed a new method which combine of XGBoost method and the P...

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Main Authors: Mai Xiongfa, Zhong Haiyan, Li Ling
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2022-01-01
Series:MATEC Web of Conferences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.matec-conferences.org/articles/matecconf/pdf/2022/02/matecconf_icpcm2022_03039.pdf
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author Mai Xiongfa
Zhong Haiyan
Li Ling
author_facet Mai Xiongfa
Zhong Haiyan
Li Ling
author_sort Mai Xiongfa
collection DOAJ
description The Precipitation nowcasting can provide high-resolution forecasts of rainfall and hydrometeors in 2 hours and play an important role in risk management for flash flood and debris flow events, but it is a very challenge work. This study proposed a new method which combine of XGBoost method and the PPLK model for precipitation nowcasting (XGB-PPLK). The proposed method was assessed in four different types of storms, and the experimental results show that the XGB-PPLK can improve the probability of detection (POD), as while as reducing the normalized mean square error (NMSE), and maintain the basically equivalent false-alarm ratio (FAR).
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spelling doaj.art-3ffde9927a2040a6ad5f110ccac19fa52022-12-21T21:40:35ZengEDP SciencesMATEC Web of Conferences2261-236X2022-01-013550303910.1051/matecconf/202235503039matecconf_icpcm2022_03039Combination of XGBoost and PPLK method for improving the precipitation nowcastingMai Xiongfa0Zhong Haiyan1Li Ling2School of mathematics and statistics,Nanning Normal UniversityRuijin No.1 High SchoolKey Laboratory of Environment Change and Resources Use in Beibu Gulf of Ministry of Education, Nanning Normal UniversityThe Precipitation nowcasting can provide high-resolution forecasts of rainfall and hydrometeors in 2 hours and play an important role in risk management for flash flood and debris flow events, but it is a very challenge work. This study proposed a new method which combine of XGBoost method and the PPLK model for precipitation nowcasting (XGB-PPLK). The proposed method was assessed in four different types of storms, and the experimental results show that the XGB-PPLK can improve the probability of detection (POD), as while as reducing the normalized mean square error (NMSE), and maintain the basically equivalent false-alarm ratio (FAR).https://www.matec-conferences.org/articles/matecconf/pdf/2022/02/matecconf_icpcm2022_03039.pdfxgboostpplkprecipitation nowcasting
spellingShingle Mai Xiongfa
Zhong Haiyan
Li Ling
Combination of XGBoost and PPLK method for improving the precipitation nowcasting
MATEC Web of Conferences
xgboost
pplk
precipitation nowcasting
title Combination of XGBoost and PPLK method for improving the precipitation nowcasting
title_full Combination of XGBoost and PPLK method for improving the precipitation nowcasting
title_fullStr Combination of XGBoost and PPLK method for improving the precipitation nowcasting
title_full_unstemmed Combination of XGBoost and PPLK method for improving the precipitation nowcasting
title_short Combination of XGBoost and PPLK method for improving the precipitation nowcasting
title_sort combination of xgboost and pplk method for improving the precipitation nowcasting
topic xgboost
pplk
precipitation nowcasting
url https://www.matec-conferences.org/articles/matecconf/pdf/2022/02/matecconf_icpcm2022_03039.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT maixiongfa combinationofxgboostandpplkmethodforimprovingtheprecipitationnowcasting
AT zhonghaiyan combinationofxgboostandpplkmethodforimprovingtheprecipitationnowcasting
AT liling combinationofxgboostandpplkmethodforimprovingtheprecipitationnowcasting