Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling – Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests
Forests regulate climate, as carbon, water and nutrient fluxes are modified by physiological processes of vegetation and soil. Forests also provide renewable raw material, food, and recreational possibilities. Rapid climate warming projected for the boreal zone may change the provision of these ecos...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2019-03-01
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| Series: | Frontiers in Plant Science |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpls.2019.00343/full |
| _version_ | 1819291294318460928 |
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| author | Maria Holmberg Tuula Aalto Anu Akujärvi Ali Nadir Arslan Irina Bergström Kristin Böttcher Ismo Lahtinen Annikki Mäkelä Tiina Markkanen Francesco Minunno Mikko Peltoniemi Katri Rankinen Petteri Vihervaara Martin Forsius |
| author_facet | Maria Holmberg Tuula Aalto Anu Akujärvi Ali Nadir Arslan Irina Bergström Kristin Böttcher Ismo Lahtinen Annikki Mäkelä Tiina Markkanen Francesco Minunno Mikko Peltoniemi Katri Rankinen Petteri Vihervaara Martin Forsius |
| author_sort | Maria Holmberg |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Forests regulate climate, as carbon, water and nutrient fluxes are modified by physiological processes of vegetation and soil. Forests also provide renewable raw material, food, and recreational possibilities. Rapid climate warming projected for the boreal zone may change the provision of these ecosystem services. We demonstrate model based estimates of present and future ecosystem services related to carbon cycling of boreal forests. The services were derived from biophysical variables calculated by two dynamic models. Future changes in the biophysical variables were driven by climate change scenarios obtained as results of a sample of global climate models downscaled for Finland, assuming three future pathways of radiative forcing. We introduce continuous monitoring on phenology to be used in model parametrization through a webcam network with automated image processing features. In our analysis, climate change impacts on key boreal forest ecosystem services are both beneficial and detrimental. Our results indicate an increase in annual forest growth of about 60% and an increase in annual carbon sink of roughly 40% from the reference period (1981–2010) to the end of the century. The vegetation active period was projected to start about 3 weeks earlier and end ten days later by the end of the century compared to currently. We found a risk for increasing drought, and a decrease in the number of soil frost days. Our results show a considerable uncertainty in future provision of boreal forest ecosystem services. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-24T03:36:21Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-402476cbab2f483c90a86058e2bdc290 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1664-462X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-24T03:36:21Z |
| publishDate | 2019-03-01 |
| publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Frontiers in Plant Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-402476cbab2f483c90a86058e2bdc2902022-12-21T17:17:02ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Plant Science1664-462X2019-03-011010.3389/fpls.2019.00343429503Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling – Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal ForestsMaria Holmberg0Tuula Aalto1Anu Akujärvi2Ali Nadir Arslan3Irina Bergström4Kristin Böttcher5Ismo Lahtinen6Annikki Mäkelä7Tiina Markkanen8Francesco Minunno9Mikko Peltoniemi10Katri Rankinen11Petteri Vihervaara12Martin Forsius13Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Helsinki, FinlandFinnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Helsinki, FinlandFinnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Helsinki, FinlandFinnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Helsinki, FinlandFinnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Helsinki, FinlandFinnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Helsinki, FinlandFinnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Helsinki, FinlandDepartment of Forest Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, FinlandFinnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Helsinki, FinlandDepartment of Forest Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, FinlandNational Resources Institute (LUKE), Helsinki, FinlandFinnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Helsinki, FinlandFinnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Helsinki, FinlandFinnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Helsinki, FinlandForests regulate climate, as carbon, water and nutrient fluxes are modified by physiological processes of vegetation and soil. Forests also provide renewable raw material, food, and recreational possibilities. Rapid climate warming projected for the boreal zone may change the provision of these ecosystem services. We demonstrate model based estimates of present and future ecosystem services related to carbon cycling of boreal forests. The services were derived from biophysical variables calculated by two dynamic models. Future changes in the biophysical variables were driven by climate change scenarios obtained as results of a sample of global climate models downscaled for Finland, assuming three future pathways of radiative forcing. We introduce continuous monitoring on phenology to be used in model parametrization through a webcam network with automated image processing features. In our analysis, climate change impacts on key boreal forest ecosystem services are both beneficial and detrimental. Our results indicate an increase in annual forest growth of about 60% and an increase in annual carbon sink of roughly 40% from the reference period (1981–2010) to the end of the century. The vegetation active period was projected to start about 3 weeks earlier and end ten days later by the end of the century compared to currently. We found a risk for increasing drought, and a decrease in the number of soil frost days. Our results show a considerable uncertainty in future provision of boreal forest ecosystem services.https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpls.2019.00343/fullforest growthcarbon sinkvegetation active periodJSBACHPREBASmodel |
| spellingShingle | Maria Holmberg Tuula Aalto Anu Akujärvi Ali Nadir Arslan Irina Bergström Kristin Böttcher Ismo Lahtinen Annikki Mäkelä Tiina Markkanen Francesco Minunno Mikko Peltoniemi Katri Rankinen Petteri Vihervaara Martin Forsius Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling – Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests Frontiers in Plant Science forest growth carbon sink vegetation active period JSBACH PREBAS model |
| title | Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling – Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests |
| title_full | Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling – Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests |
| title_fullStr | Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling – Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests |
| title_full_unstemmed | Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling – Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests |
| title_short | Ecosystem Services Related to Carbon Cycling – Modeling Present and Future Impacts in Boreal Forests |
| title_sort | ecosystem services related to carbon cycling modeling present and future impacts in boreal forests |
| topic | forest growth carbon sink vegetation active period JSBACH PREBAS model |
| url | https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpls.2019.00343/full |
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