Multi-institutional prognostic modeling of survival outcomes in NSCLC patients treated with first-line immunotherapy using radiomics

Abstract Background Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have emerged as one of the most promising first-line therapeutics in the management of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, only a subset of these patients responds to ICIs, highlighting the clinical need to develop better predictive an...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sevinj Yolchuyeva, Leyla Ebrahimpour, Marion Tonneau, Fabien Lamaze, Michele Orain, François Coulombe, Julie Malo, Wiam Belkaid, Bertrand Routy, Philippe Joubert, Venkata SK. Manem
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2024-01-01
Series:Journal of Translational Medicine
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-024-04854-z
_version_ 1827381992192212992
author Sevinj Yolchuyeva
Leyla Ebrahimpour
Marion Tonneau
Fabien Lamaze
Michele Orain
François Coulombe
Julie Malo
Wiam Belkaid
Bertrand Routy
Philippe Joubert
Venkata SK. Manem
author_facet Sevinj Yolchuyeva
Leyla Ebrahimpour
Marion Tonneau
Fabien Lamaze
Michele Orain
François Coulombe
Julie Malo
Wiam Belkaid
Bertrand Routy
Philippe Joubert
Venkata SK. Manem
author_sort Sevinj Yolchuyeva
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have emerged as one of the most promising first-line therapeutics in the management of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, only a subset of these patients responds to ICIs, highlighting the clinical need to develop better predictive and prognostic biomarkers. This study will leverage pre-treatment imaging profiles to develop survival risk models for NSCLC patients treated with first-line immunotherapy. Methods Advanced NSCLC patients (n = 149) were retrospectively identified from two institutions who were treated with first-line ICIs. Radiomics features extracted from pretreatment imaging scans were used to build the predictive models for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). A compendium of five feature selection methods and seven machine learning approaches were utilized to build the survival risk models. The concordance index (C-index) was used to evaluate model performance. Results From our results, we found several combinations of machine learning algorithms and feature selection methods to achieve similar performance. K-nearest neighbourhood (KNN) with ReliefF (RL) feature selection was the best-performing model to predict PFS (C-index = 0.61 and 0.604 in discovery and validation cohorts), while XGBoost with Mutual Information (MI) feature selection was the best-performing model for OS (C-index = 0.7 and 0.655 in discovery and validation cohorts). Conclusion The results of this study highlight the importance of implementing an appropriate feature selection method coupled with a machine learning strategy to develop robust survival models. With further validation of these models on external cohorts when available, this can have the potential to improve clinical decisions by systematically analyzing routine medical images.
first_indexed 2024-03-08T14:13:01Z
format Article
id doaj.art-402d9860876a4dd9abb12bb7bde2e5fb
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1479-5876
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-08T14:13:01Z
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher BMC
record_format Article
series Journal of Translational Medicine
spelling doaj.art-402d9860876a4dd9abb12bb7bde2e5fb2024-01-14T12:34:36ZengBMCJournal of Translational Medicine1479-58762024-01-012211910.1186/s12967-024-04854-zMulti-institutional prognostic modeling of survival outcomes in NSCLC patients treated with first-line immunotherapy using radiomicsSevinj Yolchuyeva0Leyla Ebrahimpour1Marion Tonneau2Fabien Lamaze3Michele Orain4François Coulombe5Julie Malo6Wiam Belkaid7Bertrand Routy8Philippe Joubert9Venkata SK. Manem10Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Université du Québec à Trois RivièresQuebec Heart & Lung Institute Research CenterCentre de Recherche du Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de MontréalQuebec Heart & Lung Institute Research CenterQuebec Heart & Lung Institute Research CenterQuebec Heart & Lung Institute Research CenterCentre de Recherche du Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de MontréalCentre de Recherche du Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de MontréalCentre de Recherche du Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de MontréalQuebec Heart & Lung Institute Research CenterDepartment of Mathematics and Computer Science, Université du Québec à Trois RivièresAbstract Background Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have emerged as one of the most promising first-line therapeutics in the management of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, only a subset of these patients responds to ICIs, highlighting the clinical need to develop better predictive and prognostic biomarkers. This study will leverage pre-treatment imaging profiles to develop survival risk models for NSCLC patients treated with first-line immunotherapy. Methods Advanced NSCLC patients (n = 149) were retrospectively identified from two institutions who were treated with first-line ICIs. Radiomics features extracted from pretreatment imaging scans were used to build the predictive models for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). A compendium of five feature selection methods and seven machine learning approaches were utilized to build the survival risk models. The concordance index (C-index) was used to evaluate model performance. Results From our results, we found several combinations of machine learning algorithms and feature selection methods to achieve similar performance. K-nearest neighbourhood (KNN) with ReliefF (RL) feature selection was the best-performing model to predict PFS (C-index = 0.61 and 0.604 in discovery and validation cohorts), while XGBoost with Mutual Information (MI) feature selection was the best-performing model for OS (C-index = 0.7 and 0.655 in discovery and validation cohorts). Conclusion The results of this study highlight the importance of implementing an appropriate feature selection method coupled with a machine learning strategy to develop robust survival models. With further validation of these models on external cohorts when available, this can have the potential to improve clinical decisions by systematically analyzing routine medical images.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-024-04854-z
spellingShingle Sevinj Yolchuyeva
Leyla Ebrahimpour
Marion Tonneau
Fabien Lamaze
Michele Orain
François Coulombe
Julie Malo
Wiam Belkaid
Bertrand Routy
Philippe Joubert
Venkata SK. Manem
Multi-institutional prognostic modeling of survival outcomes in NSCLC patients treated with first-line immunotherapy using radiomics
Journal of Translational Medicine
title Multi-institutional prognostic modeling of survival outcomes in NSCLC patients treated with first-line immunotherapy using radiomics
title_full Multi-institutional prognostic modeling of survival outcomes in NSCLC patients treated with first-line immunotherapy using radiomics
title_fullStr Multi-institutional prognostic modeling of survival outcomes in NSCLC patients treated with first-line immunotherapy using radiomics
title_full_unstemmed Multi-institutional prognostic modeling of survival outcomes in NSCLC patients treated with first-line immunotherapy using radiomics
title_short Multi-institutional prognostic modeling of survival outcomes in NSCLC patients treated with first-line immunotherapy using radiomics
title_sort multi institutional prognostic modeling of survival outcomes in nsclc patients treated with first line immunotherapy using radiomics
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-024-04854-z
work_keys_str_mv AT sevinjyolchuyeva multiinstitutionalprognosticmodelingofsurvivaloutcomesinnsclcpatientstreatedwithfirstlineimmunotherapyusingradiomics
AT leylaebrahimpour multiinstitutionalprognosticmodelingofsurvivaloutcomesinnsclcpatientstreatedwithfirstlineimmunotherapyusingradiomics
AT mariontonneau multiinstitutionalprognosticmodelingofsurvivaloutcomesinnsclcpatientstreatedwithfirstlineimmunotherapyusingradiomics
AT fabienlamaze multiinstitutionalprognosticmodelingofsurvivaloutcomesinnsclcpatientstreatedwithfirstlineimmunotherapyusingradiomics
AT micheleorain multiinstitutionalprognosticmodelingofsurvivaloutcomesinnsclcpatientstreatedwithfirstlineimmunotherapyusingradiomics
AT francoiscoulombe multiinstitutionalprognosticmodelingofsurvivaloutcomesinnsclcpatientstreatedwithfirstlineimmunotherapyusingradiomics
AT juliemalo multiinstitutionalprognosticmodelingofsurvivaloutcomesinnsclcpatientstreatedwithfirstlineimmunotherapyusingradiomics
AT wiambelkaid multiinstitutionalprognosticmodelingofsurvivaloutcomesinnsclcpatientstreatedwithfirstlineimmunotherapyusingradiomics
AT bertrandrouty multiinstitutionalprognosticmodelingofsurvivaloutcomesinnsclcpatientstreatedwithfirstlineimmunotherapyusingradiomics
AT philippejoubert multiinstitutionalprognosticmodelingofsurvivaloutcomesinnsclcpatientstreatedwithfirstlineimmunotherapyusingradiomics
AT venkataskmanem multiinstitutionalprognosticmodelingofsurvivaloutcomesinnsclcpatientstreatedwithfirstlineimmunotherapyusingradiomics