Characteristic Magnitude and Spatiotemporal Relationships of Aftershocks and Background Earthquakes

Aftershocks, background earthquakes, and their spatiotemporal parameters have been studied for decades for the purpose of hazard assessment and forecasting. Methods for determining these parameters or seismic attributes are becoming increasingly sophisticated and varied; some optimize the results to...

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Main Author: Yi-Hsuan Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-07-01
Series:Geosciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/12/8/288
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author Yi-Hsuan Wu
author_facet Yi-Hsuan Wu
author_sort Yi-Hsuan Wu
collection DOAJ
description Aftershocks, background earthquakes, and their spatiotemporal parameters have been studied for decades for the purpose of hazard assessment and forecasting. Methods for determining these parameters or seismic attributes are becoming increasingly sophisticated and varied; some optimize the results to fit observations using trial and error, while others do the same by giving prescriptions for a limited region. Here, we propose a method that is potentially useful in general hazard assessment and forecasting applications. We categorized the earthquakes into two groups, aftershocks (triggered events) and background earthquakes, by introducing the network distance, i.e., the shortest distance between two events of equal magnitude within a modified interevent time, into the k-means clustering, which couples the modified interevent time and magnitude hierarchically. Our results show a bimodal distribution consisting of a power law at shorter network distances and a lognormal distribution at longer network distances, implying that earthquakes of magnitudes larger than the characteristic magnitude, found to be 4.5 for Taiwan and 4.3 for California, may be only weakly linked to other same magnitude earthquakes and hence are hard to be triggered even by events of larger size.
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spelling doaj.art-4041f0fa5a55430ab54787df5696ca1c2023-12-03T13:43:34ZengMDPI AGGeosciences2076-32632022-07-0112828810.3390/geosciences12080288Characteristic Magnitude and Spatiotemporal Relationships of Aftershocks and Background EarthquakesYi-Hsuan Wu0Institute of Earth Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei 11529, TaiwanAftershocks, background earthquakes, and their spatiotemporal parameters have been studied for decades for the purpose of hazard assessment and forecasting. Methods for determining these parameters or seismic attributes are becoming increasingly sophisticated and varied; some optimize the results to fit observations using trial and error, while others do the same by giving prescriptions for a limited region. Here, we propose a method that is potentially useful in general hazard assessment and forecasting applications. We categorized the earthquakes into two groups, aftershocks (triggered events) and background earthquakes, by introducing the network distance, i.e., the shortest distance between two events of equal magnitude within a modified interevent time, into the k-means clustering, which couples the modified interevent time and magnitude hierarchically. Our results show a bimodal distribution consisting of a power law at shorter network distances and a lognormal distribution at longer network distances, implying that earthquakes of magnitudes larger than the characteristic magnitude, found to be 4.5 for Taiwan and 4.3 for California, may be only weakly linked to other same magnitude earthquakes and hence are hard to be triggered even by events of larger size.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/12/8/288k-means clusteringclusteringdeclusteringbimodal distributionpower lawlognormal distribution
spellingShingle Yi-Hsuan Wu
Characteristic Magnitude and Spatiotemporal Relationships of Aftershocks and Background Earthquakes
Geosciences
k-means clustering
clustering
declustering
bimodal distribution
power law
lognormal distribution
title Characteristic Magnitude and Spatiotemporal Relationships of Aftershocks and Background Earthquakes
title_full Characteristic Magnitude and Spatiotemporal Relationships of Aftershocks and Background Earthquakes
title_fullStr Characteristic Magnitude and Spatiotemporal Relationships of Aftershocks and Background Earthquakes
title_full_unstemmed Characteristic Magnitude and Spatiotemporal Relationships of Aftershocks and Background Earthquakes
title_short Characteristic Magnitude and Spatiotemporal Relationships of Aftershocks and Background Earthquakes
title_sort characteristic magnitude and spatiotemporal relationships of aftershocks and background earthquakes
topic k-means clustering
clustering
declustering
bimodal distribution
power law
lognormal distribution
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/12/8/288
work_keys_str_mv AT yihsuanwu characteristicmagnitudeandspatiotemporalrelationshipsofaftershocksandbackgroundearthquakes