A New Lomax Extension: Properties, Risk Analysis, Censored and Complete Goodness-of-Fit Validation Testing under Left-Skewed Insurance, Reliability and Medical Data

The idea of symmetry, which is used to describe the shape of a probability distribution, is a key concept in the theory of probability. The use of symmetric and asymmetric distributions is common in statistical inference, decision-making, and probability calculations. This article introduces a novel...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Moustafa Salem, Walid Emam, Yusra Tashkandy, Mohamed Ibrahim, M. Masoom Ali, Hafida Goual, Haitham M. Yousof
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-07-01
Series:Symmetry
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-8994/15/7/1356
_version_ 1797587437145292800
author Moustafa Salem
Walid Emam
Yusra Tashkandy
Mohamed Ibrahim
M. Masoom Ali
Hafida Goual
Haitham M. Yousof
author_facet Moustafa Salem
Walid Emam
Yusra Tashkandy
Mohamed Ibrahim
M. Masoom Ali
Hafida Goual
Haitham M. Yousof
author_sort Moustafa Salem
collection DOAJ
description The idea of symmetry, which is used to describe the shape of a probability distribution, is a key concept in the theory of probability. The use of symmetric and asymmetric distributions is common in statistical inference, decision-making, and probability calculations. This article introduces a novel asymmetric model for assessing risks under a skewed claims dataset. The new distribution is also employed for both censored and uncensored validation testing. Four estimation methods, maximum likelihood, ordinary least squares, L-Moment, and Anderson Darling, were used for the risk assessment and analysis. To explain the exposure to risk within actuarial claims data, we introduced five crucial indicators, namely value-at-risk, tail-value-at-risk, tail variance, tail mean-variance, and mean excess losses. A numerical and graphical analysis is presented to assess the actuarial risk. Furthermore, the article discusses a newly developed Rao Robson Nikulin statistic for censored and uncensored validation testing. The validation testing also involved the insurance claims dataset.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T00:36:02Z
format Article
id doaj.art-40423d4a424d4f649c162465463a9a07
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2073-8994
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-11T00:36:02Z
publishDate 2023-07-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Symmetry
spelling doaj.art-40423d4a424d4f649c162465463a9a072023-11-18T21:33:56ZengMDPI AGSymmetry2073-89942023-07-01157135610.3390/sym15071356A New Lomax Extension: Properties, Risk Analysis, Censored and Complete Goodness-of-Fit Validation Testing under Left-Skewed Insurance, Reliability and Medical DataMoustafa Salem0Walid Emam1Yusra Tashkandy2Mohamed Ibrahim3M. Masoom Ali4Hafida Goual5Haitham M. Yousof6Department of Applied Statistics, Damanhour University, Damanhour 22511, EgyptDepartment of Statistics and Operations Research, Faculty of Science, King Saud University, P.O. Box 2455, Riyadh 11451, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Statistics and Operations Research, Faculty of Science, King Saud University, P.O. Box 2455, Riyadh 11451, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Applied, Mathematical and Actuarial Statistics, Faculty of Commerce, Damietta University, Damietta 34517, EgyptDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Ball State University, Muncie, IN 47306, USALaboratory of Probability and Statistics LaPS, Department of Mathematics, Badji Mokhtar Annaba University, Annaba 23000, AlgeriaDepartment of Statistics, Mathematics and Insurance, Benha University, Benha 13511, EgyptThe idea of symmetry, which is used to describe the shape of a probability distribution, is a key concept in the theory of probability. The use of symmetric and asymmetric distributions is common in statistical inference, decision-making, and probability calculations. This article introduces a novel asymmetric model for assessing risks under a skewed claims dataset. The new distribution is also employed for both censored and uncensored validation testing. Four estimation methods, maximum likelihood, ordinary least squares, L-Moment, and Anderson Darling, were used for the risk assessment and analysis. To explain the exposure to risk within actuarial claims data, we introduced five crucial indicators, namely value-at-risk, tail-value-at-risk, tail variance, tail mean-variance, and mean excess losses. A numerical and graphical analysis is presented to assess the actuarial risk. Furthermore, the article discusses a newly developed Rao Robson Nikulin statistic for censored and uncensored validation testing. The validation testing also involved the insurance claims dataset.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-8994/15/7/1356skewed claim dataCullen–FreyL-momentLomax distributionrisk indicatorsrisk analysis
spellingShingle Moustafa Salem
Walid Emam
Yusra Tashkandy
Mohamed Ibrahim
M. Masoom Ali
Hafida Goual
Haitham M. Yousof
A New Lomax Extension: Properties, Risk Analysis, Censored and Complete Goodness-of-Fit Validation Testing under Left-Skewed Insurance, Reliability and Medical Data
Symmetry
skewed claim data
Cullen–Frey
L-moment
Lomax distribution
risk indicators
risk analysis
title A New Lomax Extension: Properties, Risk Analysis, Censored and Complete Goodness-of-Fit Validation Testing under Left-Skewed Insurance, Reliability and Medical Data
title_full A New Lomax Extension: Properties, Risk Analysis, Censored and Complete Goodness-of-Fit Validation Testing under Left-Skewed Insurance, Reliability and Medical Data
title_fullStr A New Lomax Extension: Properties, Risk Analysis, Censored and Complete Goodness-of-Fit Validation Testing under Left-Skewed Insurance, Reliability and Medical Data
title_full_unstemmed A New Lomax Extension: Properties, Risk Analysis, Censored and Complete Goodness-of-Fit Validation Testing under Left-Skewed Insurance, Reliability and Medical Data
title_short A New Lomax Extension: Properties, Risk Analysis, Censored and Complete Goodness-of-Fit Validation Testing under Left-Skewed Insurance, Reliability and Medical Data
title_sort new lomax extension properties risk analysis censored and complete goodness of fit validation testing under left skewed insurance reliability and medical data
topic skewed claim data
Cullen–Frey
L-moment
Lomax distribution
risk indicators
risk analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-8994/15/7/1356
work_keys_str_mv AT moustafasalem anewlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT walidemam anewlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT yusratashkandy anewlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT mohamedibrahim anewlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT mmasoomali anewlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT hafidagoual anewlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT haithammyousof anewlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT moustafasalem newlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT walidemam newlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT yusratashkandy newlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT mohamedibrahim newlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT mmasoomali newlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT hafidagoual newlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata
AT haithammyousof newlomaxextensionpropertiesriskanalysiscensoredandcompletegoodnessoffitvalidationtestingunderleftskewedinsurancereliabilityandmedicaldata