Comparison of homemade mask designs based on calculated infection risk, using actual COVID-19 infection scenarios

During pandemics such as COVID-19, shortages of approved respirators necessitate the use of alternative masks, including homemade designs. The effectiveness of the masks is often quantified in terms of the ability to filter particles. However, to formulate public policy the efficacy of the mask in r...

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Main Authors: Shayna Berman, Gavin D'Souza, Jenna Osborn, Matthew Myers
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2023-07-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2023663?viewType=HTML
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author Shayna Berman
Gavin D'Souza
Jenna Osborn
Matthew Myers
author_facet Shayna Berman
Gavin D'Souza
Jenna Osborn
Matthew Myers
author_sort Shayna Berman
collection DOAJ
description During pandemics such as COVID-19, shortages of approved respirators necessitate the use of alternative masks, including homemade designs. The effectiveness of the masks is often quantified in terms of the ability to filter particles. However, to formulate public policy the efficacy of the mask in reducing the risk of infection for a given population is considerably more useful than its filtration efficiency (FE). The effect of the mask on the infection profile is complicated to estimate as it depends strongly upon the behavior of the affected population. A recently introduced tool known as the dynamic-spread model is well suited for performing population-specific risk assessment. The dynamic-spread model was used to simulate the performance of a variety of mask designs (all used for source control only) in different COVID-19 scenarios. The efficacy of different masks was found to be highly scenario dependent. Switching from a cotton T-shirt of 8% FE to a 3-layer cotton-gauze-cotton mask of 44% FE resulted in a decrease in number of new infections of about 30% in the New York State scenario and 60% in the Harris County, Texas scenario. The results are valuable to policy makers for quantifying the impact upon the infection rate for different intervention strategies, e.g., investing resources to provide the community with higher-filtration masks.
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spelling doaj.art-405631566620431f8bfba26b9d2815f72023-08-09T01:12:08ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182023-07-01208178111482610.3934/mbe.2023663Comparison of homemade mask designs based on calculated infection risk, using actual COVID-19 infection scenariosShayna Berman 0Gavin D'Souza1Jenna Osborn 2Matthew Myers3Division of Applied Mechanics, U. S. FDA/CDRH, 10903 New Hampshire Avenue, Silver Spring 20993, MD, USADivision of Applied Mechanics, U. S. FDA/CDRH, 10903 New Hampshire Avenue, Silver Spring 20993, MD, USADivision of Applied Mechanics, U. S. FDA/CDRH, 10903 New Hampshire Avenue, Silver Spring 20993, MD, USADivision of Applied Mechanics, U. S. FDA/CDRH, 10903 New Hampshire Avenue, Silver Spring 20993, MD, USADuring pandemics such as COVID-19, shortages of approved respirators necessitate the use of alternative masks, including homemade designs. The effectiveness of the masks is often quantified in terms of the ability to filter particles. However, to formulate public policy the efficacy of the mask in reducing the risk of infection for a given population is considerably more useful than its filtration efficiency (FE). The effect of the mask on the infection profile is complicated to estimate as it depends strongly upon the behavior of the affected population. A recently introduced tool known as the dynamic-spread model is well suited for performing population-specific risk assessment. The dynamic-spread model was used to simulate the performance of a variety of mask designs (all used for source control only) in different COVID-19 scenarios. The efficacy of different masks was found to be highly scenario dependent. Switching from a cotton T-shirt of 8% FE to a 3-layer cotton-gauze-cotton mask of 44% FE resulted in a decrease in number of new infections of about 30% in the New York State scenario and 60% in the Harris County, Texas scenario. The results are valuable to policy makers for quantifying the impact upon the infection rate for different intervention strategies, e.g., investing resources to provide the community with higher-filtration masks.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2023663?viewType=HTMLcovid-19sir modelinfection-spread modelfacemaskdynamic-spread model
spellingShingle Shayna Berman
Gavin D'Souza
Jenna Osborn
Matthew Myers
Comparison of homemade mask designs based on calculated infection risk, using actual COVID-19 infection scenarios
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
covid-19
sir model
infection-spread model
facemask
dynamic-spread model
title Comparison of homemade mask designs based on calculated infection risk, using actual COVID-19 infection scenarios
title_full Comparison of homemade mask designs based on calculated infection risk, using actual COVID-19 infection scenarios
title_fullStr Comparison of homemade mask designs based on calculated infection risk, using actual COVID-19 infection scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Comparison of homemade mask designs based on calculated infection risk, using actual COVID-19 infection scenarios
title_short Comparison of homemade mask designs based on calculated infection risk, using actual COVID-19 infection scenarios
title_sort comparison of homemade mask designs based on calculated infection risk using actual covid 19 infection scenarios
topic covid-19
sir model
infection-spread model
facemask
dynamic-spread model
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2023663?viewType=HTML
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AT jennaosborn comparisonofhomemademaskdesignsbasedoncalculatedinfectionriskusingactualcovid19infectionscenarios
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