Discrete epidemic models with two time scales

Abstract The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could represent movements between spatial locations, chang...

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Main Authors: Rafael Bravo de la Parra, Luis Sanz-Lorenzo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2021-10-01
Series:Advances in Difference Equations
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0
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author Rafael Bravo de la Parra
Luis Sanz-Lorenzo
author_facet Rafael Bravo de la Parra
Luis Sanz-Lorenzo
author_sort Rafael Bravo de la Parra
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could represent movements between spatial locations, changes of individual activities or behaviors, or others. To include a sufficiently general disease model, we first build up from first principles a discrete-time susceptible–exposed–infectious–recovered–susceptible (SEIRS) model and characterize the eradication or endemicity of the disease with the help of its basic reproduction number R 0 $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ . Then, we propose a general full model that includes sequentially the two processes at different time scales and proceed to its analysis through a reduced model. The basic reproduction number R ‾ 0 $\overline{\mathcal{R}}_{0}$ of the reduced system gives a good approximation of R 0 $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ of the full model since it serves at analyzing its asymptotic behavior. As an illustration of the proposed general framework, it is shown that there exist conditions under which a locally endemic disease, considering isolated patches in a metapopulation, can be eradicated globally by establishing the appropriate movements between patches.
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spelling doaj.art-406dc9ddfadf4f9ca1bc31c8fdfec4bd2022-12-21T21:28:41ZengSpringerOpenAdvances in Difference Equations1687-18472021-10-012021112410.1186/s13662-021-03633-0Discrete epidemic models with two time scalesRafael Bravo de la Parra0Luis Sanz-Lorenzo1U.D. Matemáticas, Universidad de AlcaláDpto. Matemática Aplicada, ETSI Industriales, Universidad Politécnica de MadridAbstract The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could represent movements between spatial locations, changes of individual activities or behaviors, or others. To include a sufficiently general disease model, we first build up from first principles a discrete-time susceptible–exposed–infectious–recovered–susceptible (SEIRS) model and characterize the eradication or endemicity of the disease with the help of its basic reproduction number R 0 $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ . Then, we propose a general full model that includes sequentially the two processes at different time scales and proceed to its analysis through a reduced model. The basic reproduction number R ‾ 0 $\overline{\mathcal{R}}_{0}$ of the reduced system gives a good approximation of R 0 $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ of the full model since it serves at analyzing its asymptotic behavior. As an illustration of the proposed general framework, it is shown that there exist conditions under which a locally endemic disease, considering isolated patches in a metapopulation, can be eradicated globally by establishing the appropriate movements between patches.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0Discrete-time epidemic modelTime scalesDisease eradication or persistence
spellingShingle Rafael Bravo de la Parra
Luis Sanz-Lorenzo
Discrete epidemic models with two time scales
Advances in Difference Equations
Discrete-time epidemic model
Time scales
Disease eradication or persistence
title Discrete epidemic models with two time scales
title_full Discrete epidemic models with two time scales
title_fullStr Discrete epidemic models with two time scales
title_full_unstemmed Discrete epidemic models with two time scales
title_short Discrete epidemic models with two time scales
title_sort discrete epidemic models with two time scales
topic Discrete-time epidemic model
Time scales
Disease eradication or persistence
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0
work_keys_str_mv AT rafaelbravodelaparra discreteepidemicmodelswithtwotimescales
AT luissanzlorenzo discreteepidemicmodelswithtwotimescales