Survival modelling of teenage childbirth among Nigerian women

Childbearing is an essential event in woman’s life when she neglects her education and career for motherhood. The main cause of population growth in Nigeria is teenage childbearing as reported by many researchers with no significant intervention to reduce this menace. This work is designed to compar...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: O. M. Oladuti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Ruhuna 2020-12-01
Series:Ruhuna Journal of Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://rjs.ruh.ac.lk/index.php/rjs/article/view/275/285
_version_ 1819294277050564608
author O. M. Oladuti
author_facet O. M. Oladuti
author_sort O. M. Oladuti
collection DOAJ
description Childbearing is an essential event in woman’s life when she neglects her education and career for motherhood. The main cause of population growth in Nigeria is teenage childbearing as reported by many researchers with no significant intervention to reduce this menace. This work is designed to compare the results of Cox, Gompertz and Weibull models with a view to determine the model that best fits the data. To evaluate the effect of some risk factors on the hazard of teenage childbirth among Nigerian women, data obtained from National Demographic Health Survey 2013 was analysed. Results of the analysis showed that having a child at teen age depends on geopolitical zone, location, educational level, circumcision, household wealth index, religion belief, use of contraceptive, whether had a terminated pregnancy, forced sexual acts, awareness of HIV/AIDS, STI and the age of first sexual acts. Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) was employed to evaluate performances of the three models. Weibull regression model has the minimum AIC value compared to both Gompertz and Cox regression models. This shows that Weibull regression model provides best fit to the data.
first_indexed 2024-12-24T04:23:45Z
format Article
id doaj.art-4081af690d3245f699bfbb2f57ab3961
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2536-8400
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-24T04:23:45Z
publishDate 2020-12-01
publisher University of Ruhuna
record_format Article
series Ruhuna Journal of Science
spelling doaj.art-4081af690d3245f699bfbb2f57ab39612022-12-21T17:15:42ZengUniversity of RuhunaRuhuna Journal of Science2536-84002020-12-0111214315610.4038/rjs.v11i2.93Survival modelling of teenage childbirth among Nigerian womenO. M. Oladuti 0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9852-2066Department of Statistics, The Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria Childbearing is an essential event in woman’s life when she neglects her education and career for motherhood. The main cause of population growth in Nigeria is teenage childbearing as reported by many researchers with no significant intervention to reduce this menace. This work is designed to compare the results of Cox, Gompertz and Weibull models with a view to determine the model that best fits the data. To evaluate the effect of some risk factors on the hazard of teenage childbirth among Nigerian women, data obtained from National Demographic Health Survey 2013 was analysed. Results of the analysis showed that having a child at teen age depends on geopolitical zone, location, educational level, circumcision, household wealth index, religion belief, use of contraceptive, whether had a terminated pregnancy, forced sexual acts, awareness of HIV/AIDS, STI and the age of first sexual acts. Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) was employed to evaluate performances of the three models. Weibull regression model has the minimum AIC value compared to both Gompertz and Cox regression models. This shows that Weibull regression model provides best fit to the data.https://rjs.ruh.ac.lk/index.php/rjs/article/view/275/285cox proportional hazard modelrisk factorssurvival timeteenage childbirth
spellingShingle O. M. Oladuti
Survival modelling of teenage childbirth among Nigerian women
Ruhuna Journal of Science
cox proportional hazard model
risk factors
survival time
teenage childbirth
title Survival modelling of teenage childbirth among Nigerian women
title_full Survival modelling of teenage childbirth among Nigerian women
title_fullStr Survival modelling of teenage childbirth among Nigerian women
title_full_unstemmed Survival modelling of teenage childbirth among Nigerian women
title_short Survival modelling of teenage childbirth among Nigerian women
title_sort survival modelling of teenage childbirth among nigerian women
topic cox proportional hazard model
risk factors
survival time
teenage childbirth
url https://rjs.ruh.ac.lk/index.php/rjs/article/view/275/285
work_keys_str_mv AT omoladuti survivalmodellingofteenagechildbirthamongnigerianwomen