Analysis of close approach and collision probability between operational satellites and/ or space debris

In recent years, the number of space debris has increased significantly, which can threaten the safety of operational satellites. In this paper we developed an accurate model for active satellite protection from collision in order to determine close approaches between two objects (satellites and /or...

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Main Authors: M. G. HALAWA, Yehia ABDEL-AZIZ, M. YOUSSEF
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: National Institute for Aerospace Research “Elie Carafoli” - INCAS 2020-09-01
Series:INCAS Bulletin
Subjects:
Online Access:https://bulletin.incas.ro/files/halawa__abdel-aziz__youssef__vol_12_iss_3.pdf
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author M. G. HALAWA
Yehia ABDEL-AZIZ
M. YOUSSEF
author_facet M. G. HALAWA
Yehia ABDEL-AZIZ
M. YOUSSEF
author_sort M. G. HALAWA
collection DOAJ
description In recent years, the number of space debris has increased significantly, which can threaten the safety of operational satellites. In this paper we developed an accurate model for active satellite protection from collision in order to determine close approaches between two objects (satellites and /or debris) using the Hoot's method and the time of close approach. We calculate the minimum relative distance considering J2 and atmospheric drag perturbations, and compared it to the close approach distance. The Collision probability between two closed objects is calculated using Chan model and analyzed in a given time-scale to avoid any dangerous collision. We applied our models on the cataloged debris (more than 1000) resulted from the crash between Iridium 33 and Cosmos 2251; in addition, ten satellites from the Iridium satellites list at the same altitudes of the debris crowdie region are considered. The numerical results have shown one real case of close approach with high probability of collision that may threaten one of those active satellites.
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spelling doaj.art-40aec4b25d664dbca878c53af44c9be82022-12-21T23:07:54ZengNational Institute for Aerospace Research “Elie Carafoli” - INCASINCAS Bulletin2066-82012247-45282020-09-0112311312710.13111/2066-8201.2020.12.3.9Analysis of close approach and collision probability between operational satellites and/ or space debrisM. G. HALAWA0Yehia ABDEL-AZIZ1M. YOUSSEF2National Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics (NRIAG), 11421-Helwan, Cairo, Egypt, meirnagamal@nriag.sci.egNational Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics (NRIAG), 11421-Helwan, Cairo, Egypt, yehia@nriag.sci.egFaculty of Science, Helwan University, Cairo, Egypt, myousef7174@gmail.comIn recent years, the number of space debris has increased significantly, which can threaten the safety of operational satellites. In this paper we developed an accurate model for active satellite protection from collision in order to determine close approaches between two objects (satellites and /or debris) using the Hoot's method and the time of close approach. We calculate the minimum relative distance considering J2 and atmospheric drag perturbations, and compared it to the close approach distance. The Collision probability between two closed objects is calculated using Chan model and analyzed in a given time-scale to avoid any dangerous collision. We applied our models on the cataloged debris (more than 1000) resulted from the crash between Iridium 33 and Cosmos 2251; in addition, ten satellites from the Iridium satellites list at the same altitudes of the debris crowdie region are considered. The numerical results have shown one real case of close approach with high probability of collision that may threaten one of those active satellites.https://bulletin.incas.ro/files/halawa__abdel-aziz__youssef__vol_12_iss_3.pdfclose approachcollision probabilityspace debrisrelative motion
spellingShingle M. G. HALAWA
Yehia ABDEL-AZIZ
M. YOUSSEF
Analysis of close approach and collision probability between operational satellites and/ or space debris
INCAS Bulletin
close approach
collision probability
space debris
relative motion
title Analysis of close approach and collision probability between operational satellites and/ or space debris
title_full Analysis of close approach and collision probability between operational satellites and/ or space debris
title_fullStr Analysis of close approach and collision probability between operational satellites and/ or space debris
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of close approach and collision probability between operational satellites and/ or space debris
title_short Analysis of close approach and collision probability between operational satellites and/ or space debris
title_sort analysis of close approach and collision probability between operational satellites and or space debris
topic close approach
collision probability
space debris
relative motion
url https://bulletin.incas.ro/files/halawa__abdel-aziz__youssef__vol_12_iss_3.pdf
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AT myoussef analysisofcloseapproachandcollisionprobabilitybetweenoperationalsatellitesandorspacedebris