Responses of land evapotranspiration to Earth’s greening in CMIP5 Earth System Models

Satellite-observed Earth’s greening has been reproduced by the latest generation of Earth System Models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Land evapotranspiration (ET) is expected to rise with increasing leaf area index (LAI, Earth’s greening). The res...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zhenzhong Zeng, Zaichun Zhu, Xu Lian, Laurent Z X Li, Anping Chen, Xiaogang He, Shilong Piao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2016-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/104006
_version_ 1797748684377554944
author Zhenzhong Zeng
Zaichun Zhu
Xu Lian
Laurent Z X Li
Anping Chen
Xiaogang He
Shilong Piao
author_facet Zhenzhong Zeng
Zaichun Zhu
Xu Lian
Laurent Z X Li
Anping Chen
Xiaogang He
Shilong Piao
author_sort Zhenzhong Zeng
collection DOAJ
description Satellite-observed Earth’s greening has been reproduced by the latest generation of Earth System Models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Land evapotranspiration (ET) is expected to rise with increasing leaf area index (LAI, Earth’s greening). The responses of ET play a key role in the land–climate interaction, but they have not been evaluated previously. Here, we assessed the responses of ET to Earth’s greening in these CMIP5 ESMs. We verified a significant and positive response of ET to the modeled greening in each model. However, the responses were not comparable across the ESMs because of an inherent bias in the sensitivity of ET to LAI $(\partial {\rm{E}}{\rm{T}}/\partial {\rm{L}}{\rm{A}}{\rm{I}})$ in the models: $\partial {\rm{E}}{\rm{T}}/\partial {\rm{L}}{\rm{A}}{\rm{I}}$ is precisely and inversely proportional to the trend of LAI $(\partial {\rm{L}}{\rm{A}}{\rm{I}}/\partial t)$ across the ESMs. Constrained by this inversely proportional relationship with the satellite-observed $\partial {\rm{L}}{\rm{A}}{\rm{I}}/\partial t,$ the Earth’s $\partial {\rm{E}}{\rm{T}}/\partial {\rm{\text{LAI}}}$ is 0.26 (0.21–0.34) mm d ^−1 per m ^2 m ^−2 , equaling the independent estimates from satellite-derived reconstructions of ET and LAI. Thus, the Earth’s greening-induced acceleration of ET is about 11.4 mm yr ^−1 , accounting for more than 50% of the observed increase in land ET over the last 30 years. To better model the land–climate interaction, $\partial {\rm{E}}{\rm{T}}/\partial {\rm{L}}{\rm{A}}{\rm{I}}$ in these ESMs should be calibrated. A feasible means is to improve the representation of the magnitude of LAI in these CMIP5 ESMs.
first_indexed 2024-03-12T16:08:19Z
format Article
id doaj.art-40b36cc48efa4a9c9dcbe4a745d7d67d
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1748-9326
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-12T16:08:19Z
publishDate 2016-01-01
publisher IOP Publishing
record_format Article
series Environmental Research Letters
spelling doaj.art-40b36cc48efa4a9c9dcbe4a745d7d67d2023-08-09T14:14:34ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262016-01-01111010400610.1088/1748-9326/11/10/104006Responses of land evapotranspiration to Earth’s greening in CMIP5 Earth System ModelsZhenzhong Zeng0Zaichun Zhu1Xu Lian2Laurent Z X Li3Anping Chen4Xiaogang He5https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7428-0269Shilong Piao6Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University , Beijing 100871, People’s Republic of ChinaSino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University , Beijing 100871, People’s Republic of ChinaSino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University , Beijing 100871, People’s Republic of ChinaLaboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Université Pierre et Marie Curie-Paris 6 , F-75252 Paris, FranceThe Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, MA 02540, USADepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University , NJ 08544, USASino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University , Beijing 100871, People’s Republic of China; Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, People’s Republic of ChinaSatellite-observed Earth’s greening has been reproduced by the latest generation of Earth System Models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Land evapotranspiration (ET) is expected to rise with increasing leaf area index (LAI, Earth’s greening). The responses of ET play a key role in the land–climate interaction, but they have not been evaluated previously. Here, we assessed the responses of ET to Earth’s greening in these CMIP5 ESMs. We verified a significant and positive response of ET to the modeled greening in each model. However, the responses were not comparable across the ESMs because of an inherent bias in the sensitivity of ET to LAI $(\partial {\rm{E}}{\rm{T}}/\partial {\rm{L}}{\rm{A}}{\rm{I}})$ in the models: $\partial {\rm{E}}{\rm{T}}/\partial {\rm{L}}{\rm{A}}{\rm{I}}$ is precisely and inversely proportional to the trend of LAI $(\partial {\rm{L}}{\rm{A}}{\rm{I}}/\partial t)$ across the ESMs. Constrained by this inversely proportional relationship with the satellite-observed $\partial {\rm{L}}{\rm{A}}{\rm{I}}/\partial t,$ the Earth’s $\partial {\rm{E}}{\rm{T}}/\partial {\rm{\text{LAI}}}$ is 0.26 (0.21–0.34) mm d ^−1 per m ^2 m ^−2 , equaling the independent estimates from satellite-derived reconstructions of ET and LAI. Thus, the Earth’s greening-induced acceleration of ET is about 11.4 mm yr ^−1 , accounting for more than 50% of the observed increase in land ET over the last 30 years. To better model the land–climate interaction, $\partial {\rm{E}}{\rm{T}}/\partial {\rm{L}}{\rm{A}}{\rm{I}}$ in these ESMs should be calibrated. A feasible means is to improve the representation of the magnitude of LAI in these CMIP5 ESMs.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/104006evapotranspiration sensitivity to greeningEarth greeningleaf area indexland–climate interactionEarth System Modelling
spellingShingle Zhenzhong Zeng
Zaichun Zhu
Xu Lian
Laurent Z X Li
Anping Chen
Xiaogang He
Shilong Piao
Responses of land evapotranspiration to Earth’s greening in CMIP5 Earth System Models
Environmental Research Letters
evapotranspiration sensitivity to greening
Earth greening
leaf area index
land–climate interaction
Earth System Modelling
title Responses of land evapotranspiration to Earth’s greening in CMIP5 Earth System Models
title_full Responses of land evapotranspiration to Earth’s greening in CMIP5 Earth System Models
title_fullStr Responses of land evapotranspiration to Earth’s greening in CMIP5 Earth System Models
title_full_unstemmed Responses of land evapotranspiration to Earth’s greening in CMIP5 Earth System Models
title_short Responses of land evapotranspiration to Earth’s greening in CMIP5 Earth System Models
title_sort responses of land evapotranspiration to earth s greening in cmip5 earth system models
topic evapotranspiration sensitivity to greening
Earth greening
leaf area index
land–climate interaction
Earth System Modelling
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/104006
work_keys_str_mv AT zhenzhongzeng responsesoflandevapotranspirationtoearthsgreeningincmip5earthsystemmodels
AT zaichunzhu responsesoflandevapotranspirationtoearthsgreeningincmip5earthsystemmodels
AT xulian responsesoflandevapotranspirationtoearthsgreeningincmip5earthsystemmodels
AT laurentzxli responsesoflandevapotranspirationtoearthsgreeningincmip5earthsystemmodels
AT anpingchen responsesoflandevapotranspirationtoearthsgreeningincmip5earthsystemmodels
AT xiaoganghe responsesoflandevapotranspirationtoearthsgreeningincmip5earthsystemmodels
AT shilongpiao responsesoflandevapotranspirationtoearthsgreeningincmip5earthsystemmodels