Identifying the determinants that cause the value movements of currencies Denar, Kuna and Dinar

This paper aims to evaluate the relationship of real exchange rates of domestic currencies with macroeconomic variables in Macedonia, Croatia and Serbia by using econometric approaches. Macedonia is characterized by the regime of a fixed exchange rate, Croatia is characterized by a managed floating...

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Main Authors: Bucevska Vesna, Mojanoski Goran
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2018-11-01
Series:Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0015
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author Bucevska Vesna
Mojanoski Goran
author_facet Bucevska Vesna
Mojanoski Goran
author_sort Bucevska Vesna
collection DOAJ
description This paper aims to evaluate the relationship of real exchange rates of domestic currencies with macroeconomic variables in Macedonia, Croatia and Serbia by using econometric approaches. Macedonia is characterized by the regime of a fixed exchange rate, Croatia is characterized by a managed floating exchange rate, while Serbia is characterized by the regime of a floating exchange rate. The choice of an exchange rate regime is an important aspect of economic management, in order to ensure competitiveness, macroeconomic stability and development. Evaluation of the relationship of Croatian, Macedonian and Serbian real exchange rates is performed by employing the consistent methodology of vector error correction modelling (VECM). According to the results of the analyses of the real exchange rates on the long run, the selected independent variables have long-run causality in case of the real exchange rate of Croatian Kuna. In case of Macedonian Denar and Serbian Dinar the VECM is inappropriate.
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spelling doaj.art-410acb9d6a924a04ac5aa5994fcd0ea92024-02-03T00:53:28ZengSciendoCroatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics2459-56162018-11-0142788510.2478/crebss-2018-0015Identifying the determinants that cause the value movements of currencies Denar, Kuna and DinarBucevska Vesna0Mojanoski Goran1Faculty of Economics, Ss. Cyril and Methodius University, Republic of MacedoniaAssociation of Young Analysts and Researchers, Republic of MacedoniaThis paper aims to evaluate the relationship of real exchange rates of domestic currencies with macroeconomic variables in Macedonia, Croatia and Serbia by using econometric approaches. Macedonia is characterized by the regime of a fixed exchange rate, Croatia is characterized by a managed floating exchange rate, while Serbia is characterized by the regime of a floating exchange rate. The choice of an exchange rate regime is an important aspect of economic management, in order to ensure competitiveness, macroeconomic stability and development. Evaluation of the relationship of Croatian, Macedonian and Serbian real exchange rates is performed by employing the consistent methodology of vector error correction modelling (VECM). According to the results of the analyses of the real exchange rates on the long run, the selected independent variables have long-run causality in case of the real exchange rate of Croatian Kuna. In case of Macedonian Denar and Serbian Dinar the VECM is inappropriate.https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0015fiat currencyexchange ratereal exchange ratevector error correction modelc01e41
spellingShingle Bucevska Vesna
Mojanoski Goran
Identifying the determinants that cause the value movements of currencies Denar, Kuna and Dinar
Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics
fiat currency
exchange rate
real exchange rate
vector error correction model
c01
e41
title Identifying the determinants that cause the value movements of currencies Denar, Kuna and Dinar
title_full Identifying the determinants that cause the value movements of currencies Denar, Kuna and Dinar
title_fullStr Identifying the determinants that cause the value movements of currencies Denar, Kuna and Dinar
title_full_unstemmed Identifying the determinants that cause the value movements of currencies Denar, Kuna and Dinar
title_short Identifying the determinants that cause the value movements of currencies Denar, Kuna and Dinar
title_sort identifying the determinants that cause the value movements of currencies denar kuna and dinar
topic fiat currency
exchange rate
real exchange rate
vector error correction model
c01
e41
url https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0015
work_keys_str_mv AT bucevskavesna identifyingthedeterminantsthatcausethevaluemovementsofcurrenciesdenarkunaanddinar
AT mojanoskigoran identifyingthedeterminantsthatcausethevaluemovementsofcurrenciesdenarkunaanddinar