Persuading climate skeptics with facts: Effects of causal evidence vs. consensus messaging

Communicating the “97%’’ scientific consensus has been the centerpiece of the effort to persuade climate skeptics. Still, this strategy may not work well for those who mistrust climate scientists, to begin with. We examine how the American public—Republicans in particular—respond when provided with...

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Main Authors: Jin Woo Kim, Ruijun Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2024-03-01
Series:Research & Politics
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/20531680241237311
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author Jin Woo Kim
Ruijun Liu
author_facet Jin Woo Kim
Ruijun Liu
author_sort Jin Woo Kim
collection DOAJ
description Communicating the “97%’’ scientific consensus has been the centerpiece of the effort to persuade climate skeptics. Still, this strategy may not work well for those who mistrust climate scientists, to begin with. We examine how the American public—Republicans in particular—respond when provided with a relatively detailed causal explanation summarizing why scientists have concluded that human activities are responsible for climate change. Based on a preregistered survey experiment ( N = 3007), we assessed the effectiveness of detailed causal evidence versus traditional consensus messaging. We found that both treatments had noticeable effects on belief in human-caused climate change, with the causal evidence being slightly more effective, though we did not observe equivalent patterns for changes in attitudes toward climate policies. We conclude that conveying scientific information serves more as a remedy than a cure, reducing but not eliminating misperceptions about climate change and opposition to climate policies.
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spelling doaj.art-410f7eda36ef49419ff8751bcfe525952024-03-12T09:03:31ZengSAGE PublishingResearch & Politics2053-16802024-03-011110.1177/20531680241237311Persuading climate skeptics with facts: Effects of causal evidence vs. consensus messagingJin Woo KimRuijun LiuCommunicating the “97%’’ scientific consensus has been the centerpiece of the effort to persuade climate skeptics. Still, this strategy may not work well for those who mistrust climate scientists, to begin with. We examine how the American public—Republicans in particular—respond when provided with a relatively detailed causal explanation summarizing why scientists have concluded that human activities are responsible for climate change. Based on a preregistered survey experiment ( N = 3007), we assessed the effectiveness of detailed causal evidence versus traditional consensus messaging. We found that both treatments had noticeable effects on belief in human-caused climate change, with the causal evidence being slightly more effective, though we did not observe equivalent patterns for changes in attitudes toward climate policies. We conclude that conveying scientific information serves more as a remedy than a cure, reducing but not eliminating misperceptions about climate change and opposition to climate policies.https://doi.org/10.1177/20531680241237311
spellingShingle Jin Woo Kim
Ruijun Liu
Persuading climate skeptics with facts: Effects of causal evidence vs. consensus messaging
Research & Politics
title Persuading climate skeptics with facts: Effects of causal evidence vs. consensus messaging
title_full Persuading climate skeptics with facts: Effects of causal evidence vs. consensus messaging
title_fullStr Persuading climate skeptics with facts: Effects of causal evidence vs. consensus messaging
title_full_unstemmed Persuading climate skeptics with facts: Effects of causal evidence vs. consensus messaging
title_short Persuading climate skeptics with facts: Effects of causal evidence vs. consensus messaging
title_sort persuading climate skeptics with facts effects of causal evidence vs consensus messaging
url https://doi.org/10.1177/20531680241237311
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