A cholera mathematical model with vaccination and the biggest outbreak of world’s history

We propose and analyse a mathematical model for cholera considering vaccination. Weshow that the model is epidemiologically and mathematically well posed and prove the existenceand uniqueness of disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. The basic reproduction number isdetermined and the local asy...

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Main Authors: Ana P. Lemos-Paião, Cristiana J. Silva, Delfim F. M. Torres
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2018-10-01
Series:AIMS Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.aimspress.com/article/10.3934/Math.2018.4.448/fulltext.html
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author Ana P. Lemos-Paião
Cristiana J. Silva
Delfim F. M. Torres
author_facet Ana P. Lemos-Paião
Cristiana J. Silva
Delfim F. M. Torres
author_sort Ana P. Lemos-Paião
collection DOAJ
description We propose and analyse a mathematical model for cholera considering vaccination. Weshow that the model is epidemiologically and mathematically well posed and prove the existenceand uniqueness of disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. The basic reproduction number isdetermined and the local asymptotic stability of equilibria is studied. The biggest cholera outbreak ofworld’s history began on 27<sup>th</sup> April 2017, in Yemen. Between 27<sup>th</sup> April 2017 and 15th April 2018there were 2 275 deaths due to this epidemic. A vaccination campaign began on 6<sup>th</sup> May 2018 andended on 15<sup>th</sup> May 2018. We show that our model is able to describe well this outbreak. Moreover, weprove that the number of infected individuals would have been much lower provided the vaccinationcampaign had begun earlier.
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spelling doaj.art-4141b857cfc240349c457c85f249119e2022-12-22T02:52:31ZengAIMS PressAIMS Mathematics2473-69882018-10-013444846310.3934/Math.2018.4.448A cholera mathematical model with vaccination and the biggest outbreak of world’s historyAna P. Lemos-Paião0Cristiana J. Silva1Delfim F. M. Torres2Center for Research and Development in Mathematics and Applications (CIDMA), Department ofMathematics, University of Aveiro, 3810-193 Aveiro, PortugalCenter for Research and Development in Mathematics and Applications (CIDMA), Department ofMathematics, University of Aveiro, 3810-193 Aveiro, PortugalCenter for Research and Development in Mathematics and Applications (CIDMA), Department ofMathematics, University of Aveiro, 3810-193 Aveiro, PortugalWe propose and analyse a mathematical model for cholera considering vaccination. Weshow that the model is epidemiologically and mathematically well posed and prove the existenceand uniqueness of disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. The basic reproduction number isdetermined and the local asymptotic stability of equilibria is studied. The biggest cholera outbreak ofworld’s history began on 27<sup>th</sup> April 2017, in Yemen. Between 27<sup>th</sup> April 2017 and 15th April 2018there were 2 275 deaths due to this epidemic. A vaccination campaign began on 6<sup>th</sup> May 2018 andended on 15<sup>th</sup> May 2018. We show that our model is able to describe well this outbreak. Moreover, weprove that the number of infected individuals would have been much lower provided the vaccinationcampaign had begun earlier.http://www.aimspress.com/article/10.3934/Math.2018.4.448/fulltext.htmlmathematical modeling| SITRVB cholera model| local asymptotic stability| vaccinationtreatment| Yemen cholera outbreak
spellingShingle Ana P. Lemos-Paião
Cristiana J. Silva
Delfim F. M. Torres
A cholera mathematical model with vaccination and the biggest outbreak of world’s history
AIMS Mathematics
mathematical modeling| SITRVB cholera model| local asymptotic stability| vaccinationtreatment| Yemen cholera outbreak
title A cholera mathematical model with vaccination and the biggest outbreak of world’s history
title_full A cholera mathematical model with vaccination and the biggest outbreak of world’s history
title_fullStr A cholera mathematical model with vaccination and the biggest outbreak of world’s history
title_full_unstemmed A cholera mathematical model with vaccination and the biggest outbreak of world’s history
title_short A cholera mathematical model with vaccination and the biggest outbreak of world’s history
title_sort cholera mathematical model with vaccination and the biggest outbreak of world s history
topic mathematical modeling| SITRVB cholera model| local asymptotic stability| vaccinationtreatment| Yemen cholera outbreak
url http://www.aimspress.com/article/10.3934/Math.2018.4.448/fulltext.html
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