The Study Of Fiscal Sustainability For The Case Of Overindebted European Countries

This study aims in analysing the fiscal sustainability for the case of European countries most affected by the economic downturn and sovereign debt: Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain. For that purpose, we apply fiscal reaction function which indicates the speed and the size of government re...

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Main Author: Andreea STOIAN
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: “Victor Slăvescu” Centre for Financial and Monetary Research 2012-12-01
Series:Financial Studies
Online Access:ftp://www.ipe.ro/RePEc/vls/vls_pdf/vol16i4p43-62.pdf
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author Andreea STOIAN
author_facet Andreea STOIAN
author_sort Andreea STOIAN
collection DOAJ
description This study aims in analysing the fiscal sustainability for the case of European countries most affected by the economic downturn and sovereign debt: Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain. For that purpose, we apply fiscal reaction function which indicates the speed and the size of government response to shocks on public debt. We use annual data ranged on 1995-2013. The results show that only for the cases of Italy and Portugal governments managed to fulfil the conditions for a sustainable fiscal policy. For these countries, the response is positive and immediate. On contrary, for Ireland we detect a negative reaction in the sense of a decreasing primary surplus to the increase of public debt by 1 p.p.. For the cases of Greece and Spain, the results are not statistically significant and we cannot conclude whether fiscal policy is sustainable or not. But we can emphasize a positive reaction to the increase of public debt cost in the case of Spain.
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spelling doaj.art-41aa3c6c1dcb43b2a1cc18d2f86a227b2023-08-02T06:48:17Zeng“Victor Slăvescu” Centre for Financial and Monetary ResearchFinancial Studies2066-60712066-60712012-12-011644362The Study Of Fiscal Sustainability For The Case Of Overindebted European CountriesAndreea STOIAN0Department of Finance and CEFIMO, Bucharest University of Economic StudiesThis study aims in analysing the fiscal sustainability for the case of European countries most affected by the economic downturn and sovereign debt: Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain. For that purpose, we apply fiscal reaction function which indicates the speed and the size of government response to shocks on public debt. We use annual data ranged on 1995-2013. The results show that only for the cases of Italy and Portugal governments managed to fulfil the conditions for a sustainable fiscal policy. For these countries, the response is positive and immediate. On contrary, for Ireland we detect a negative reaction in the sense of a decreasing primary surplus to the increase of public debt by 1 p.p.. For the cases of Greece and Spain, the results are not statistically significant and we cannot conclude whether fiscal policy is sustainable or not. But we can emphasize a positive reaction to the increase of public debt cost in the case of Spain.ftp://www.ipe.ro/RePEc/vls/vls_pdf/vol16i4p43-62.pdf
spellingShingle Andreea STOIAN
The Study Of Fiscal Sustainability For The Case Of Overindebted European Countries
Financial Studies
title The Study Of Fiscal Sustainability For The Case Of Overindebted European Countries
title_full The Study Of Fiscal Sustainability For The Case Of Overindebted European Countries
title_fullStr The Study Of Fiscal Sustainability For The Case Of Overindebted European Countries
title_full_unstemmed The Study Of Fiscal Sustainability For The Case Of Overindebted European Countries
title_short The Study Of Fiscal Sustainability For The Case Of Overindebted European Countries
title_sort study of fiscal sustainability for the case of overindebted european countries
url ftp://www.ipe.ro/RePEc/vls/vls_pdf/vol16i4p43-62.pdf
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