Regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the Netherlands
The summer of 2018 was characterized by high temperatures and low precipitation values in the Netherlands. The drought negatively impacted different sectors, resulting in an estimated damage of 450 to 2080 million Euros. Strong regional differences were observed in the precipitation shortfall across...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
IOP Publishing
2020-01-01
|
| Series: | Environmental Research Letters |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab97ca |
| _version_ | 1797747447881007104 |
|---|---|
| author | Sjoukje Y Philip Sarah F Kew Karin van der Wiel Niko Wanders Geert Jan van Oldenborgh |
| author_facet | Sjoukje Y Philip Sarah F Kew Karin van der Wiel Niko Wanders Geert Jan van Oldenborgh |
| author_sort | Sjoukje Y Philip |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The summer of 2018 was characterized by high temperatures and low precipitation values in the Netherlands. The drought negatively impacted different sectors, resulting in an estimated damage of 450 to 2080 million Euros. Strong regional differences were observed in the precipitation shortfall across the country, with highest deficits in the southern and eastern regions. This raised two questions: (i) have increasing global temperatures contributed to changes in meteorological and agricultural droughts as severe or worse as in 2018? And (ii) are trends in these types of droughts different for coastal and inland regions? In this paper we show that there is no trend in summer drought (Apr-Sep) near the coast. However, a trend in agricultural drought is observed for the inland region where water supply is mainly dependent on local precipitation. This trend is driven by strong trends in temperature and global radiation rather than a trend in precipitation, resulting in an overall trend in potential evapotranspiration. Climate model analyses confirm that this trend in agricultural drought can at least in part be attributed to global climate change. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T15:50:45Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-41b13a3771cf4725b8643212e9307866 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1748-9326 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T15:50:45Z |
| publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
| publisher | IOP Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Environmental Research Letters |
| spelling | doaj.art-41b13a3771cf4725b8643212e93078662023-08-09T15:08:41ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262020-01-0115909408110.1088/1748-9326/ab97caRegional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the NetherlandsSjoukje Y Philip0Sarah F Kew1Karin van der Wiel2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9365-5759Niko Wanders3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6898-9535Geert Jan van Oldenborgh4Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute , De Bilt, The Netherlands; Author to whom any correspondence should be addressed.Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute , De Bilt, The NetherlandsRoyal Netherlands Meteorological Institute , De Bilt, The NetherlandsDepartment of Physical Geography, Utrecht University , Utrecht, The NetherlandsRoyal Netherlands Meteorological Institute , De Bilt, The NetherlandsThe summer of 2018 was characterized by high temperatures and low precipitation values in the Netherlands. The drought negatively impacted different sectors, resulting in an estimated damage of 450 to 2080 million Euros. Strong regional differences were observed in the precipitation shortfall across the country, with highest deficits in the southern and eastern regions. This raised two questions: (i) have increasing global temperatures contributed to changes in meteorological and agricultural droughts as severe or worse as in 2018? And (ii) are trends in these types of droughts different for coastal and inland regions? In this paper we show that there is no trend in summer drought (Apr-Sep) near the coast. However, a trend in agricultural drought is observed for the inland region where water supply is mainly dependent on local precipitation. This trend is driven by strong trends in temperature and global radiation rather than a trend in precipitation, resulting in an overall trend in potential evapotranspiration. Climate model analyses confirm that this trend in agricultural drought can at least in part be attributed to global climate change.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab97caclimate change; droughtattributionthe Netherlands |
| spellingShingle | Sjoukje Y Philip Sarah F Kew Karin van der Wiel Niko Wanders Geert Jan van Oldenborgh Regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the Netherlands Environmental Research Letters climate change; drought attribution the Netherlands |
| title | Regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the Netherlands |
| title_full | Regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the Netherlands |
| title_fullStr | Regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the Netherlands |
| title_full_unstemmed | Regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the Netherlands |
| title_short | Regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the Netherlands |
| title_sort | regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the netherlands |
| topic | climate change; drought attribution the Netherlands |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab97ca |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT sjoukjeyphilip regionaldifferentiationinclimatechangeinduceddroughttrendsinthenetherlands AT sarahfkew regionaldifferentiationinclimatechangeinduceddroughttrendsinthenetherlands AT karinvanderwiel regionaldifferentiationinclimatechangeinduceddroughttrendsinthenetherlands AT nikowanders regionaldifferentiationinclimatechangeinduceddroughttrendsinthenetherlands AT geertjanvanoldenborgh regionaldifferentiationinclimatechangeinduceddroughttrendsinthenetherlands |