100% Renewable Energy Scenarios for North America—Spatial Distribution and Network Constraints

The urgency to combat climate change and the widely distributed, increasingly competitive renewable resources in North America are strong arguments to explore scenarios for a renewable energy supply in the region. While the current power system of North America is heavily dependent on fossil fuels,...

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Main Authors: Elmar Zozmann, Leonard Göke, Mario Kendziorski, Citlali Rodriguez del Angel, Christian von Hirschhausen, Johanna Winkler
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-01-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/3/658
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author Elmar Zozmann
Leonard Göke
Mario Kendziorski
Citlali Rodriguez del Angel
Christian von Hirschhausen
Johanna Winkler
author_facet Elmar Zozmann
Leonard Göke
Mario Kendziorski
Citlali Rodriguez del Angel
Christian von Hirschhausen
Johanna Winkler
author_sort Elmar Zozmann
collection DOAJ
description The urgency to combat climate change and the widely distributed, increasingly competitive renewable resources in North America are strong arguments to explore scenarios for a renewable energy supply in the region. While the current power system of North America is heavily dependent on fossil fuels, namely natural gas, coal and oil, and some nuclear power plants, some current policies at the state level, and future federal policies are likely to push the share of different renewable sources available in Mexico, the U.S., and Canada. This paper explores three scenarios for a renewable energy supply, using a bottom-up energy system model with a high level of spatial and time granularity. The scenarios span the extremes with respect to connecting infrastructure: while one scenario only looks at state-level supply and demand, without interconnections, the other extreme scenario allows cross-continental network investments. The model results indicate that the North American continent (a) has sufficient renewable potential to satisfy its energy demand with renewables, independent of the underlying grid assumption, (b) solar generation dominates the generation mix as the least-cost option under given renewable resource availability and (c) simultaneous planning of generation and transmission capacity expansion does not result in high grid investments, but the necessary flexibility to integrate intermittent renewable generation is rather provided by the existing grid in combination with short-term and seasonal storages.
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spelling doaj.art-41c12bf60d9d4904a9977207c41f1a772023-12-03T15:01:04ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732021-01-0114365810.3390/en14030658100% Renewable Energy Scenarios for North America—Spatial Distribution and Network ConstraintsElmar Zozmann0Leonard Göke1Mario Kendziorski2Citlali Rodriguez del Angel3Christian von Hirschhausen4Johanna Winkler5Workgroup for Infrastructure Policy, Technical University of Berlin, 10623 Berlin, GermanyWorkgroup for Infrastructure Policy, Technical University of Berlin, 10623 Berlin, GermanyWorkgroup for Infrastructure Policy, Technical University of Berlin, 10623 Berlin, GermanyWorkgroup for Infrastructure Policy, Technical University of Berlin, 10623 Berlin, GermanyWorkgroup for Infrastructure Policy, Technical University of Berlin, 10623 Berlin, GermanyWorkgroup for Infrastructure Policy, Technical University of Berlin, 10623 Berlin, GermanyThe urgency to combat climate change and the widely distributed, increasingly competitive renewable resources in North America are strong arguments to explore scenarios for a renewable energy supply in the region. While the current power system of North America is heavily dependent on fossil fuels, namely natural gas, coal and oil, and some nuclear power plants, some current policies at the state level, and future federal policies are likely to push the share of different renewable sources available in Mexico, the U.S., and Canada. This paper explores three scenarios for a renewable energy supply, using a bottom-up energy system model with a high level of spatial and time granularity. The scenarios span the extremes with respect to connecting infrastructure: while one scenario only looks at state-level supply and demand, without interconnections, the other extreme scenario allows cross-continental network investments. The model results indicate that the North American continent (a) has sufficient renewable potential to satisfy its energy demand with renewables, independent of the underlying grid assumption, (b) solar generation dominates the generation mix as the least-cost option under given renewable resource availability and (c) simultaneous planning of generation and transmission capacity expansion does not result in high grid investments, but the necessary flexibility to integrate intermittent renewable generation is rather provided by the existing grid in combination with short-term and seasonal storages.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/3/658100 percent renewable energiescapacity expansion modelingelectricity market integration
spellingShingle Elmar Zozmann
Leonard Göke
Mario Kendziorski
Citlali Rodriguez del Angel
Christian von Hirschhausen
Johanna Winkler
100% Renewable Energy Scenarios for North America—Spatial Distribution and Network Constraints
Energies
100 percent renewable energies
capacity expansion modeling
electricity market integration
title 100% Renewable Energy Scenarios for North America—Spatial Distribution and Network Constraints
title_full 100% Renewable Energy Scenarios for North America—Spatial Distribution and Network Constraints
title_fullStr 100% Renewable Energy Scenarios for North America—Spatial Distribution and Network Constraints
title_full_unstemmed 100% Renewable Energy Scenarios for North America—Spatial Distribution and Network Constraints
title_short 100% Renewable Energy Scenarios for North America—Spatial Distribution and Network Constraints
title_sort 100 renewable energy scenarios for north america spatial distribution and network constraints
topic 100 percent renewable energies
capacity expansion modeling
electricity market integration
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/3/658
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