Constructing of predictive model for the surgical effect of patients with cleft lip and palate.

<h4>Objective</h4>To explore effective factors of surgical effect for patients with cleft lip and palate, and to construct the predictive model of surgical effect, which provide reference for improving the effect of cleft lip and palate surgery.<h4>Methods</h4>This study has...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Na Liu, Jingyuan Yang, Fang Tan, Haijian Zhu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2023-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0286976
_version_ 1827909191486930944
author Na Liu
Jingyuan Yang
Fang Tan
Haijian Zhu
author_facet Na Liu
Jingyuan Yang
Fang Tan
Haijian Zhu
author_sort Na Liu
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Objective</h4>To explore effective factors of surgical effect for patients with cleft lip and palate, and to construct the predictive model of surgical effect, which provide reference for improving the effect of cleft lip and palate surgery.<h4>Methods</h4>This study has been ethically reviewed and approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Guiyang Stomatological Hospital before the study began.A total of 997 cases of cleft lip and palate surgical treatment in Guiyang Stomatological Hospital from 2015 to 2020 were collected. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the factors influencing the surgical outcome, and a score system was established by assigning values to the influencing factors using the nomogram. Data of 110 patients were verified, and decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the predicted results.<h4>Results</h4>Logistic regression analysis showed that the number of surgeries, surgical methods, breast milk, prenatal examination, nutrition during pregnancy and labor intensity during pregnancy were independent risk factors for poor surgical results (all P<0.05). The predictive model was built by including the number of surgeries, surgical methods, breast milk, prenatal examination, nutrition and labor intensity during pregnancy into the predictive scoring system. The critical value was 273, the area under ROC curve (AUC) was 0.733(95%CI:0.704~0.76), the sensitivity was 89.57%, and the specificity was 48.14%.When the external validation data of 110 patients were brought into the score, the AUC of poor diagnostic value reached 74.5%, P<0.05, which was close to the modeling accuracy of 73.3%.<h4>Conclusion</h4>This study constructed a predictive model of surgical effect for patients with cleft lip and palate, which can be used for the clinical prediction of cleft lip and palate patients in Guizhou Province.
first_indexed 2024-03-13T01:33:45Z
format Article
id doaj.art-4235a2ed32784f18aefc31c6be1422e9
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1932-6203
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-13T01:33:45Z
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS ONE
spelling doaj.art-4235a2ed32784f18aefc31c6be1422e92023-07-04T05:31:55ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032023-01-01186e028697610.1371/journal.pone.0286976Constructing of predictive model for the surgical effect of patients with cleft lip and palate.Na LiuJingyuan YangFang TanHaijian Zhu<h4>Objective</h4>To explore effective factors of surgical effect for patients with cleft lip and palate, and to construct the predictive model of surgical effect, which provide reference for improving the effect of cleft lip and palate surgery.<h4>Methods</h4>This study has been ethically reviewed and approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Guiyang Stomatological Hospital before the study began.A total of 997 cases of cleft lip and palate surgical treatment in Guiyang Stomatological Hospital from 2015 to 2020 were collected. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the factors influencing the surgical outcome, and a score system was established by assigning values to the influencing factors using the nomogram. Data of 110 patients were verified, and decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the predicted results.<h4>Results</h4>Logistic regression analysis showed that the number of surgeries, surgical methods, breast milk, prenatal examination, nutrition during pregnancy and labor intensity during pregnancy were independent risk factors for poor surgical results (all P<0.05). The predictive model was built by including the number of surgeries, surgical methods, breast milk, prenatal examination, nutrition and labor intensity during pregnancy into the predictive scoring system. The critical value was 273, the area under ROC curve (AUC) was 0.733(95%CI:0.704~0.76), the sensitivity was 89.57%, and the specificity was 48.14%.When the external validation data of 110 patients were brought into the score, the AUC of poor diagnostic value reached 74.5%, P<0.05, which was close to the modeling accuracy of 73.3%.<h4>Conclusion</h4>This study constructed a predictive model of surgical effect for patients with cleft lip and palate, which can be used for the clinical prediction of cleft lip and palate patients in Guizhou Province.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0286976
spellingShingle Na Liu
Jingyuan Yang
Fang Tan
Haijian Zhu
Constructing of predictive model for the surgical effect of patients with cleft lip and palate.
PLoS ONE
title Constructing of predictive model for the surgical effect of patients with cleft lip and palate.
title_full Constructing of predictive model for the surgical effect of patients with cleft lip and palate.
title_fullStr Constructing of predictive model for the surgical effect of patients with cleft lip and palate.
title_full_unstemmed Constructing of predictive model for the surgical effect of patients with cleft lip and palate.
title_short Constructing of predictive model for the surgical effect of patients with cleft lip and palate.
title_sort constructing of predictive model for the surgical effect of patients with cleft lip and palate
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0286976
work_keys_str_mv AT naliu constructingofpredictivemodelforthesurgicaleffectofpatientswithcleftlipandpalate
AT jingyuanyang constructingofpredictivemodelforthesurgicaleffectofpatientswithcleftlipandpalate
AT fangtan constructingofpredictivemodelforthesurgicaleffectofpatientswithcleftlipandpalate
AT haijianzhu constructingofpredictivemodelforthesurgicaleffectofpatientswithcleftlipandpalate