Runoff Modeling in Ungauged Catchments Using Machine Learning Algorithm-Based Model Parameters Regionalization Methodology

Model parameters estimation is a pivotal issue for runoff modeling in ungauged catchments. The nonlinear relationship between model parameters and catchment descriptors is a major obstacle for parameter regionalization, which is the most widely used approach. Runoff modeling was studied in 38 catchm...

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Main Authors: Houfa Wu, Jianyun Zhang, Zhenxin Bao, Guoqing Wang, Wensheng Wang, Yanqing Yang, Jie Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-09-01
Series:Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095809922000613
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author Houfa Wu
Jianyun Zhang
Zhenxin Bao
Guoqing Wang
Wensheng Wang
Yanqing Yang
Jie Wang
author_facet Houfa Wu
Jianyun Zhang
Zhenxin Bao
Guoqing Wang
Wensheng Wang
Yanqing Yang
Jie Wang
author_sort Houfa Wu
collection DOAJ
description Model parameters estimation is a pivotal issue for runoff modeling in ungauged catchments. The nonlinear relationship between model parameters and catchment descriptors is a major obstacle for parameter regionalization, which is the most widely used approach. Runoff modeling was studied in 38 catchments located in the Yellow–Huai–Hai River Basin (YHHRB). The values of the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE), coefficient of determination (R2), and percent bias (PBIAS) indicated the acceptable performance of the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model in the YHHRB. Nine descriptors belonging to the categories of climate, soil, vegetation, and topography were used to express the catchment characteristics related to the hydrological processes. The quantitative relationships between the parameters of the SWAT model and the catchment descriptors were analyzed by six regression-based models, including linear regression (LR) equations, support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), k-nearest neighbor (kNN), decision tree (DT), and radial basis function (RBF). Each of the 38 catchments was assumed to be an ungauged catchment in turn. Then, the parameters in each target catchment were estimated by the constructed regression models based on the remaining 37 donor catchments. Furthermore, the similarity-based regionalization scheme was used for comparison with the regression-based approach. The results indicated that the runoff with the highest accuracy was modeled by the SVR-based scheme in ungauged catchments. Compared with the traditional LR-based approach, the accuracy of the runoff modeling in ungauged catchments was improved by the machine learning algorithms because of the outstanding capability to deal with nonlinear relationships. The performances of different approaches were similar in humid regions, while the advantages of the machine learning techniques were more evident in arid regions. When the study area contained nested catchments, the best result was calculated with the similarity-based parameter regionalization scheme because of the high catchment density and short spatial distance. The new findings could improve flood forecasting and water resources planning in regions that lack observed data.
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spelling doaj.art-4238a92ae71e4bc7ab4f4eece1c2021d2023-12-17T06:38:14ZengElsevierEngineering2095-80992023-09-012893104Runoff Modeling in Ungauged Catchments Using Machine Learning Algorithm-Based Model Parameters Regionalization MethodologyHoufa Wu0Jianyun Zhang1Zhenxin Bao2Guoqing Wang3Wensheng Wang4Yanqing Yang5Jie Wang6State Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering, College of Water Resource and Hydropower, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China; State Key Laboratory of Hydrology−Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China; Research Center for Climate Change, Ministry of Water Resources, Nanjing 210029, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydrology−Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China; Research Center for Climate Change, Ministry of Water Resources, Nanjing 210029, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydrology−Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China; Research Center for Climate Change, Ministry of Water Resources, Nanjing 210029, China; Corresponding author.State Key Laboratory of Hydrology−Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China; Research Center for Climate Change, Ministry of Water Resources, Nanjing 210029, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering, College of Water Resource and Hydropower, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydraulics and Mountain River Engineering, College of Water Resource and Hydropower, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China; State Key Laboratory of Hydrology−Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China; Research Center for Climate Change, Ministry of Water Resources, Nanjing 210029, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydrology−Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China; Research Center for Climate Change, Ministry of Water Resources, Nanjing 210029, ChinaModel parameters estimation is a pivotal issue for runoff modeling in ungauged catchments. The nonlinear relationship between model parameters and catchment descriptors is a major obstacle for parameter regionalization, which is the most widely used approach. Runoff modeling was studied in 38 catchments located in the Yellow–Huai–Hai River Basin (YHHRB). The values of the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE), coefficient of determination (R2), and percent bias (PBIAS) indicated the acceptable performance of the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model in the YHHRB. Nine descriptors belonging to the categories of climate, soil, vegetation, and topography were used to express the catchment characteristics related to the hydrological processes. The quantitative relationships between the parameters of the SWAT model and the catchment descriptors were analyzed by six regression-based models, including linear regression (LR) equations, support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), k-nearest neighbor (kNN), decision tree (DT), and radial basis function (RBF). Each of the 38 catchments was assumed to be an ungauged catchment in turn. Then, the parameters in each target catchment were estimated by the constructed regression models based on the remaining 37 donor catchments. Furthermore, the similarity-based regionalization scheme was used for comparison with the regression-based approach. The results indicated that the runoff with the highest accuracy was modeled by the SVR-based scheme in ungauged catchments. Compared with the traditional LR-based approach, the accuracy of the runoff modeling in ungauged catchments was improved by the machine learning algorithms because of the outstanding capability to deal with nonlinear relationships. The performances of different approaches were similar in humid regions, while the advantages of the machine learning techniques were more evident in arid regions. When the study area contained nested catchments, the best result was calculated with the similarity-based parameter regionalization scheme because of the high catchment density and short spatial distance. The new findings could improve flood forecasting and water resources planning in regions that lack observed data.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095809922000613Parameters estimationUngauged catchmentsRegionalization schemeMachine learning algorithmsSoil and water assessment tool model
spellingShingle Houfa Wu
Jianyun Zhang
Zhenxin Bao
Guoqing Wang
Wensheng Wang
Yanqing Yang
Jie Wang
Runoff Modeling in Ungauged Catchments Using Machine Learning Algorithm-Based Model Parameters Regionalization Methodology
Engineering
Parameters estimation
Ungauged catchments
Regionalization scheme
Machine learning algorithms
Soil and water assessment tool model
title Runoff Modeling in Ungauged Catchments Using Machine Learning Algorithm-Based Model Parameters Regionalization Methodology
title_full Runoff Modeling in Ungauged Catchments Using Machine Learning Algorithm-Based Model Parameters Regionalization Methodology
title_fullStr Runoff Modeling in Ungauged Catchments Using Machine Learning Algorithm-Based Model Parameters Regionalization Methodology
title_full_unstemmed Runoff Modeling in Ungauged Catchments Using Machine Learning Algorithm-Based Model Parameters Regionalization Methodology
title_short Runoff Modeling in Ungauged Catchments Using Machine Learning Algorithm-Based Model Parameters Regionalization Methodology
title_sort runoff modeling in ungauged catchments using machine learning algorithm based model parameters regionalization methodology
topic Parameters estimation
Ungauged catchments
Regionalization scheme
Machine learning algorithms
Soil and water assessment tool model
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095809922000613
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