Volcanic contribution to the 1990s North Pacific climate shift in winter

Abstract It is debatable whether external forcing can change the state of the climate. By investigating decadal changes with and without including the 1990s stratospheric volcanic aerosols, we explored the volcanic eruptions contribution to decadal climate regime shifts occurring in boreal winter ov...

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Main Authors: Chi-Hua Wu, Shih-Yu Lee, I-Chun Tsai, Chein-Jung Shiu, Yi-Ying Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-04-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-32956-z
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author Chi-Hua Wu
Shih-Yu Lee
I-Chun Tsai
Chein-Jung Shiu
Yi-Ying Chen
author_facet Chi-Hua Wu
Shih-Yu Lee
I-Chun Tsai
Chein-Jung Shiu
Yi-Ying Chen
author_sort Chi-Hua Wu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract It is debatable whether external forcing can change the state of the climate. By investigating decadal changes with and without including the 1990s stratospheric volcanic aerosols, we explored the volcanic eruptions contribution to decadal climate regime shifts occurring in boreal winter over the North Pacific. The volcanic eruptions contribution can be characterized as a series of rapid changes, including the strengthening and poleward shift of the midlatitude westerly jet stream. In addition to the short-lived radiative effects primarily induced by the 1991 Mount Pinatubo eruption, the volcanically driven decadal change can be observed in the mid-to-late 1990s, suggesting a time-lagged characteristic of the volcanic climate impact. Compared with the decadal change irrelevant to volcanic eruption, the decadal state more dramatically enters into the next phase when volcanic forcing is included. The climate oscillation-related pattern shifts that occurred across the 1990s can provide insights into volcanically induced changes in decadal atmospheric circulation.
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spelling doaj.art-424396a15de24b89bdf70f7a88f9b87f2023-04-09T11:17:02ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222023-04-011311910.1038/s41598-023-32956-zVolcanic contribution to the 1990s North Pacific climate shift in winterChi-Hua Wu0Shih-Yu Lee1I-Chun Tsai2Chein-Jung Shiu3Yi-Ying Chen4Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia SinicaResearch Center for Environmental Changes, Academia SinicaResearch Center for Environmental Changes, Academia SinicaResearch Center for Environmental Changes, Academia SinicaResearch Center for Environmental Changes, Academia SinicaAbstract It is debatable whether external forcing can change the state of the climate. By investigating decadal changes with and without including the 1990s stratospheric volcanic aerosols, we explored the volcanic eruptions contribution to decadal climate regime shifts occurring in boreal winter over the North Pacific. The volcanic eruptions contribution can be characterized as a series of rapid changes, including the strengthening and poleward shift of the midlatitude westerly jet stream. In addition to the short-lived radiative effects primarily induced by the 1991 Mount Pinatubo eruption, the volcanically driven decadal change can be observed in the mid-to-late 1990s, suggesting a time-lagged characteristic of the volcanic climate impact. Compared with the decadal change irrelevant to volcanic eruption, the decadal state more dramatically enters into the next phase when volcanic forcing is included. The climate oscillation-related pattern shifts that occurred across the 1990s can provide insights into volcanically induced changes in decadal atmospheric circulation.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-32956-z
spellingShingle Chi-Hua Wu
Shih-Yu Lee
I-Chun Tsai
Chein-Jung Shiu
Yi-Ying Chen
Volcanic contribution to the 1990s North Pacific climate shift in winter
Scientific Reports
title Volcanic contribution to the 1990s North Pacific climate shift in winter
title_full Volcanic contribution to the 1990s North Pacific climate shift in winter
title_fullStr Volcanic contribution to the 1990s North Pacific climate shift in winter
title_full_unstemmed Volcanic contribution to the 1990s North Pacific climate shift in winter
title_short Volcanic contribution to the 1990s North Pacific climate shift in winter
title_sort volcanic contribution to the 1990s north pacific climate shift in winter
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-32956-z
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