The role of capital in bank failures across EU-15 countries: backward LR approach

Resolving the puzzle which financial indicators persistently indicate severe disruptions in the business of banking, is of the utmost importance for prudential authorities. Thus, the intent of this paper is to outline microeconomic determinants of bankruptcies within the banking sectors of the EU-15...

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Main Author: Ana Kundid Novokmet
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Croatian Operational Research Society 2021-01-01
Series:Croatian Operational Research Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/388973
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author Ana Kundid Novokmet
author_facet Ana Kundid Novokmet
author_sort Ana Kundid Novokmet
collection DOAJ
description Resolving the puzzle which financial indicators persistently indicate severe disruptions in the business of banking, is of the utmost importance for prudential authorities. Thus, the intent of this paper is to outline microeconomic determinants of bankruptcies within the banking sectors of the EU-15 countries and to clarify the role of bank capital in it. Namely, the bank capital regulation is designed as both, ex-ante (bankruptcy prevention) and ex-post (bankruptcy costs reducer) regulatory instrument. Backward stepwise logistic regression was applied on the Bankscope data sample of around 60 commercial banks in the period that preceded the global financial crisis. Estimations were obtained for the year in which a certain bank bankrupted as well as for each year over the five-year period prior to the bankruptcy. Research findings confirm that a number of financial indicators, such as asset quality and liquidity indicators could serve as early warning signals of bank failures even five years before the bankruptcy. The results for bank capital ratios were non-persistent regarding their sign and significance in the year preceding the bankruptcy and several years prior to bankruptcy. Finally, the most convincing results speak in favor of the too-big-to-fail phenomenon, as bank size explains the most of its survival odds.
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spelling doaj.art-4246cbedfe5c4c52accf9d357a75cf7b2024-04-15T17:23:49ZengCroatian Operational Research SocietyCroatian Operational Research Review1848-02251848-99312021-01-0112217518710.17535/crorr.2021.0015The role of capital in bank failures across EU-15 countries: backward LR approachAna Kundid Novokmet0Faculty of Economics, Business and Tourism, University of SplitResolving the puzzle which financial indicators persistently indicate severe disruptions in the business of banking, is of the utmost importance for prudential authorities. Thus, the intent of this paper is to outline microeconomic determinants of bankruptcies within the banking sectors of the EU-15 countries and to clarify the role of bank capital in it. Namely, the bank capital regulation is designed as both, ex-ante (bankruptcy prevention) and ex-post (bankruptcy costs reducer) regulatory instrument. Backward stepwise logistic regression was applied on the Bankscope data sample of around 60 commercial banks in the period that preceded the global financial crisis. Estimations were obtained for the year in which a certain bank bankrupted as well as for each year over the five-year period prior to the bankruptcy. Research findings confirm that a number of financial indicators, such as asset quality and liquidity indicators could serve as early warning signals of bank failures even five years before the bankruptcy. The results for bank capital ratios were non-persistent regarding their sign and significance in the year preceding the bankruptcy and several years prior to bankruptcy. Finally, the most convincing results speak in favor of the too-big-to-fail phenomenon, as bank size explains the most of its survival odds.https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/388973backward stepwise logistic regressionbank failurescapital regulationcommercial banks, EU-15
spellingShingle Ana Kundid Novokmet
The role of capital in bank failures across EU-15 countries: backward LR approach
Croatian Operational Research Review
backward stepwise logistic regression
bank failures
capital regulation
commercial banks, EU-15
title The role of capital in bank failures across EU-15 countries: backward LR approach
title_full The role of capital in bank failures across EU-15 countries: backward LR approach
title_fullStr The role of capital in bank failures across EU-15 countries: backward LR approach
title_full_unstemmed The role of capital in bank failures across EU-15 countries: backward LR approach
title_short The role of capital in bank failures across EU-15 countries: backward LR approach
title_sort role of capital in bank failures across eu 15 countries backward lr approach
topic backward stepwise logistic regression
bank failures
capital regulation
commercial banks, EU-15
url https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/388973
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