Estimand-Agnostic Causal Query Estimation With Deep Causal Graphs

Causal Queries are usually estimated by means of an estimand, a formula consisting of observational terms that can be computed using passive data. Each query results in a different formula, which makes estimand-based methods extremely ad-hoc. In this work, we propose an estimand-agnostic framework c...

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Main Authors: Alvaro Parafita, Jordi Vitria
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2022-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9815055/
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author Alvaro Parafita
Jordi Vitria
author_facet Alvaro Parafita
Jordi Vitria
author_sort Alvaro Parafita
collection DOAJ
description Causal Queries are usually estimated by means of an estimand, a formula consisting of observational terms that can be computed using passive data. Each query results in a different formula, which makes estimand-based methods extremely ad-hoc. In this work, we propose an estimand-agnostic framework capable of computing any identifiable causal query on an arbitrary Causal Graph (even in the presence of latent confounders) with only one general model. We provide multiple implementations of this general framework that leverage the expressive power of Neural Networks and Normalizing Flows to model complex distributions, and we derive estimation procedures for all kinds of observational, interventional and counterfactual queries, valid for any kind of graph for which the query is identifiable. Finally, we test our techniques in a modelling setting and an estimation benchmark to show how, despite being a query-agnostic framework, it can compete with query-specific models. Our proposal includes an open-source library that allows easy application and extension of our techniques for researchers and practitioners alike.
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spelling doaj.art-4247e21a3a78469e9f137675254876012022-12-22T01:24:16ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362022-01-0110713707138610.1109/ACCESS.2022.31883959815055Estimand-Agnostic Causal Query Estimation With Deep Causal GraphsAlvaro Parafita0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5446-3612Jordi Vitria1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1484-539XDepartament de Matemàtica i Informàtica, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, SpainDepartament de Matemàtica i Informàtica, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, SpainCausal Queries are usually estimated by means of an estimand, a formula consisting of observational terms that can be computed using passive data. Each query results in a different formula, which makes estimand-based methods extremely ad-hoc. In this work, we propose an estimand-agnostic framework capable of computing any identifiable causal query on an arbitrary Causal Graph (even in the presence of latent confounders) with only one general model. We provide multiple implementations of this general framework that leverage the expressive power of Neural Networks and Normalizing Flows to model complex distributions, and we derive estimation procedures for all kinds of observational, interventional and counterfactual queries, valid for any kind of graph for which the query is identifiable. Finally, we test our techniques in a modelling setting and an estimation benchmark to show how, despite being a query-agnostic framework, it can compete with query-specific models. Our proposal includes an open-source library that allows easy application and extension of our techniques for researchers and practitioners alike.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9815055/Causalitystructural causal modelcausal query estimationcounterfactuals
spellingShingle Alvaro Parafita
Jordi Vitria
Estimand-Agnostic Causal Query Estimation With Deep Causal Graphs
IEEE Access
Causality
structural causal model
causal query estimation
counterfactuals
title Estimand-Agnostic Causal Query Estimation With Deep Causal Graphs
title_full Estimand-Agnostic Causal Query Estimation With Deep Causal Graphs
title_fullStr Estimand-Agnostic Causal Query Estimation With Deep Causal Graphs
title_full_unstemmed Estimand-Agnostic Causal Query Estimation With Deep Causal Graphs
title_short Estimand-Agnostic Causal Query Estimation With Deep Causal Graphs
title_sort estimand agnostic causal query estimation with deep causal graphs
topic Causality
structural causal model
causal query estimation
counterfactuals
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9815055/
work_keys_str_mv AT alvaroparafita estimandagnosticcausalqueryestimationwithdeepcausalgraphs
AT jordivitria estimandagnosticcausalqueryestimationwithdeepcausalgraphs