Scenarios for Ecosystem Services: An Overview
The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) scenarios address changes in ecosystem services and their implications for human well-being. Ecological changes pose special challenges for long-term thinking, because of the possibility of regime shifts that occur rapidly yet alter the availability of ecosys...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Resilience Alliance
2006-06-01
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| Series: | Ecology and Society |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol11/iss1/art29/ |
| _version_ | 1819006199870259200 |
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| author | Stephen R. Carpenter Elena M. Bennett Garry D. Peterson |
| author_facet | Stephen R. Carpenter Elena M. Bennett Garry D. Peterson |
| author_sort | Stephen R. Carpenter |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) scenarios address changes in ecosystem services and their implications for human well-being. Ecological changes pose special challenges for long-term thinking, because of the possibility of regime shifts that occur rapidly yet alter the availability of ecosystem services for generations. Moreover, ecological feedbacks can intensify human modification of ecosystems, creating a spiral of poverty and ecosystem degradation. Such complex dynamics were evaluated by a mixture of qualitative and quantitative analyses in the MA scenarios. Collectively, the scenarios explore problems such as the connections of poverty reduction and ecosystem services, and trade-offs among ecosystem services. Several promising approaches are considered by the scenarios, including uses of biodiversity to build resilience of ecosystem services, actively adaptive management, and green technology. Although the scenarios do not prescribe an optimal path, they illuminate the consequences of different policies toward ecosystem services. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-21T00:04:54Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-428c85b7c4a04d36974cf57ef799886d |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1708-3087 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-21T00:04:54Z |
| publishDate | 2006-06-01 |
| publisher | Resilience Alliance |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecology and Society |
| spelling | doaj.art-428c85b7c4a04d36974cf57ef799886d2022-12-21T19:22:30ZengResilience AllianceEcology and Society1708-30872006-06-011112910.5751/ES-01610-1101291610Scenarios for Ecosystem Services: An OverviewStephen R. Carpenter0Elena M. Bennett1Garry D. Peterson2University of Wisconsin-MadisonUniversity of Wisconsin-MadisonMcGill UniversityThe Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) scenarios address changes in ecosystem services and their implications for human well-being. Ecological changes pose special challenges for long-term thinking, because of the possibility of regime shifts that occur rapidly yet alter the availability of ecosystem services for generations. Moreover, ecological feedbacks can intensify human modification of ecosystems, creating a spiral of poverty and ecosystem degradation. Such complex dynamics were evaluated by a mixture of qualitative and quantitative analyses in the MA scenarios. Collectively, the scenarios explore problems such as the connections of poverty reduction and ecosystem services, and trade-offs among ecosystem services. Several promising approaches are considered by the scenarios, including uses of biodiversity to build resilience of ecosystem services, actively adaptive management, and green technology. Although the scenarios do not prescribe an optimal path, they illuminate the consequences of different policies toward ecosystem services.http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol11/iss1/art29/adaptive governanceambiguityecological changeecosystem servicespoverty reductionregime shiftresilienceresponse diversityscenariosuncertainty |
| spellingShingle | Stephen R. Carpenter Elena M. Bennett Garry D. Peterson Scenarios for Ecosystem Services: An Overview Ecology and Society adaptive governance ambiguity ecological change ecosystem services poverty reduction regime shift resilience response diversity scenarios uncertainty |
| title | Scenarios for Ecosystem Services: An Overview |
| title_full | Scenarios for Ecosystem Services: An Overview |
| title_fullStr | Scenarios for Ecosystem Services: An Overview |
| title_full_unstemmed | Scenarios for Ecosystem Services: An Overview |
| title_short | Scenarios for Ecosystem Services: An Overview |
| title_sort | scenarios for ecosystem services an overview |
| topic | adaptive governance ambiguity ecological change ecosystem services poverty reduction regime shift resilience response diversity scenarios uncertainty |
| url | http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol11/iss1/art29/ |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT stephenrcarpenter scenariosforecosystemservicesanoverview AT elenambennett scenariosforecosystemservicesanoverview AT garrydpeterson scenariosforecosystemservicesanoverview |