INVESTMENT POLICY, GEOPOLITICAL RISK AND THE ROLE OF INSTITUTIONS: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE

In today’s world, given the increasing importance of geopolitical risk (GPR), this study investigates the impact of GPR on corporate investment, or capital expenditure, of nonfinancial firms considering institutional settings. Utilising data on 337,399 firm-years from 42 countries for the period 199...

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Main Author: Hasan Tekin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Bank Indonesia 2024-09-01
Series:Journal of Central Banking Law and Institutions
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jcli-bi.org/index.php/jcli/article/view/165
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author Hasan Tekin
author_facet Hasan Tekin
author_sort Hasan Tekin
collection DOAJ
description In today’s world, given the increasing importance of geopolitical risk (GPR), this study investigates the impact of GPR on corporate investment, or capital expenditure, of nonfinancial firms considering institutional settings. Utilising data on 337,399 firm-years from 42 countries for the period 1996-2021 (retrieved from Datastream), empirical findings show that firms in higher GPR countries present fewer investment opportunities. Namely, firms use capital expenditures as a substitute for GPR. Next, the negative impact of governance on capital expenditures across the whole sample remains for the firms in civil law countries. However, it reverts to positive for those in common law countries. In other words, capital expenditures are a substitute for (outcome of) governance in civil (common) law countries.Overall, investors should be concerned about the level of GPR, governance, and legal system when determining where to invest. Policymakers should consider GPR and institutional quality to attract foreign investors.
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spelling doaj.art-429d3f4621e74bdbb3af56b58928225c2025-02-25T10:25:24ZengBank IndonesiaJournal of Central Banking Law and Institutions2827-77752809-98852024-09-013352354610.21098/jcli.v3i3.165165INVESTMENT POLICY, GEOPOLITICAL RISK AND THE ROLE OF INSTITUTIONS: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCEHasan Tekin0University in Karabük, TürkiyeIn today’s world, given the increasing importance of geopolitical risk (GPR), this study investigates the impact of GPR on corporate investment, or capital expenditure, of nonfinancial firms considering institutional settings. Utilising data on 337,399 firm-years from 42 countries for the period 1996-2021 (retrieved from Datastream), empirical findings show that firms in higher GPR countries present fewer investment opportunities. Namely, firms use capital expenditures as a substitute for GPR. Next, the negative impact of governance on capital expenditures across the whole sample remains for the firms in civil law countries. However, it reverts to positive for those in common law countries. In other words, capital expenditures are a substitute for (outcome of) governance in civil (common) law countries.Overall, investors should be concerned about the level of GPR, governance, and legal system when determining where to invest. Policymakers should consider GPR and institutional quality to attract foreign investors.https://jcli-bi.org/index.php/jcli/article/view/165geopolitical riskgovernanceinvestmentlegal system
spellingShingle Hasan Tekin
INVESTMENT POLICY, GEOPOLITICAL RISK AND THE ROLE OF INSTITUTIONS: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE
Journal of Central Banking Law and Institutions
geopolitical risk
governance
investment
legal system
title INVESTMENT POLICY, GEOPOLITICAL RISK AND THE ROLE OF INSTITUTIONS: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE
title_full INVESTMENT POLICY, GEOPOLITICAL RISK AND THE ROLE OF INSTITUTIONS: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE
title_fullStr INVESTMENT POLICY, GEOPOLITICAL RISK AND THE ROLE OF INSTITUTIONS: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE
title_full_unstemmed INVESTMENT POLICY, GEOPOLITICAL RISK AND THE ROLE OF INSTITUTIONS: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE
title_short INVESTMENT POLICY, GEOPOLITICAL RISK AND THE ROLE OF INSTITUTIONS: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE
title_sort investment policy geopolitical risk and the role of institutions international evidence
topic geopolitical risk
governance
investment
legal system
url https://jcli-bi.org/index.php/jcli/article/view/165
work_keys_str_mv AT hasantekin investmentpolicygeopoliticalriskandtheroleofinstitutionsinternationalevidence