Prediction of Neurological Deterioration After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The SIGNALS Score

Background Intracerebral hemorrhage is the most disabling and lethal form of stroke. We aimed to develop a novel clinical score for neurological deterioration during hospitalization after intracerebral hemorrhage. Methods and Results We analyzed data from the CHERRY (Chinese Cerebral Hemorrhage: Mec...

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Main Authors: Quanwei He, Hongxiu Guo, Rentang Bi, Shaoli Chen, Jing Shen, Chunnan Long, Man Li, Yuanpeng Xia, Lei Zhang, Zhou Sun, Xiaolu Chen, Zhaowei Wang, Daokai Gong, Jingwen Xu, Dondya Zhu, Yan Wan, Bo Hu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-08-01
Series:Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.122.026379
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author Quanwei He
Hongxiu Guo
Rentang Bi
Shaoli Chen
Jing Shen
Chunnan Long
Man Li
Yuanpeng Xia
Lei Zhang
Zhou Sun
Xiaolu Chen
Zhaowei Wang
Daokai Gong
Jingwen Xu
Dondya Zhu
Yan Wan
Bo Hu
author_facet Quanwei He
Hongxiu Guo
Rentang Bi
Shaoli Chen
Jing Shen
Chunnan Long
Man Li
Yuanpeng Xia
Lei Zhang
Zhou Sun
Xiaolu Chen
Zhaowei Wang
Daokai Gong
Jingwen Xu
Dondya Zhu
Yan Wan
Bo Hu
author_sort Quanwei He
collection DOAJ
description Background Intracerebral hemorrhage is the most disabling and lethal form of stroke. We aimed to develop a novel clinical score for neurological deterioration during hospitalization after intracerebral hemorrhage. Methods and Results We analyzed data from the CHERRY (Chinese Cerebral Hemorrhage: Mechanism and Intervention) study. Two‐thirds of eligible patients were randomly allocated into the training cohort (n=1027) and one‐third into the validation cohort (n=515). Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with neurological deterioration (an increase in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale of ≥4 or death) within 15 days after symptom onset. A prediction score was developed based on regression coefficients derived from the logistic model. The site, size, gender, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, age, leukocyte, sugar (SIGNALS) score was developed as a sum of individual points (0–8) based on site (1 point for infratentorial location), size (3 points for >20 mL of supratentorial hematoma volume or 2 points for >10 mL of infratentorial hematoma volume), sex (1 point for male sex), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (1 point for >10), age (1 point for ≥70 years), white blood cell (1 point for>9.0×109/L), and fasting blood glucose (1 point>7.0 mmol/L). The proportion of patients who suffered from neurological deterioration increased with higher SIGNALS score, showing good discrimination and good calibration in the training cohort (C statistic, 0.821; Hosmer‐Lemeshow test, P=0.687) and in the validation cohort (C statistic, 0.848; Hosmer‐Lemeshow test, P=0.592), respectively. Conclusions The SIGNALS score reliably predicts the risk of in‐hospital neurological deterioration of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage.
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spelling doaj.art-429d531f9e1645debe0d29c0870b1fe42023-03-21T11:37:26ZengWileyJournal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease2047-99802022-08-01111510.1161/JAHA.122.026379Prediction of Neurological Deterioration After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The SIGNALS ScoreQuanwei He0Hongxiu Guo1Rentang Bi2Shaoli Chen3Jing Shen4Chunnan Long5Man Li6Yuanpeng Xia7Lei Zhang8Zhou Sun9Xiaolu Chen10Zhaowei Wang11Daokai Gong12Jingwen Xu13Dondya Zhu14Yan Wan15Bo Hu16Department of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology Qianjiang Central Hospital Qianjiang Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology Jingzhou Central Hospital Jingzhou Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology Honghu People’s Hospital Honghu Hubei Province ChinaSchool of Pharmacy Nanjing Medical University Nanjing Jiangsu Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province ChinaBackground Intracerebral hemorrhage is the most disabling and lethal form of stroke. We aimed to develop a novel clinical score for neurological deterioration during hospitalization after intracerebral hemorrhage. Methods and Results We analyzed data from the CHERRY (Chinese Cerebral Hemorrhage: Mechanism and Intervention) study. Two‐thirds of eligible patients were randomly allocated into the training cohort (n=1027) and one‐third into the validation cohort (n=515). Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with neurological deterioration (an increase in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale of ≥4 or death) within 15 days after symptom onset. A prediction score was developed based on regression coefficients derived from the logistic model. The site, size, gender, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, age, leukocyte, sugar (SIGNALS) score was developed as a sum of individual points (0–8) based on site (1 point for infratentorial location), size (3 points for >20 mL of supratentorial hematoma volume or 2 points for >10 mL of infratentorial hematoma volume), sex (1 point for male sex), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (1 point for >10), age (1 point for ≥70 years), white blood cell (1 point for>9.0×109/L), and fasting blood glucose (1 point>7.0 mmol/L). The proportion of patients who suffered from neurological deterioration increased with higher SIGNALS score, showing good discrimination and good calibration in the training cohort (C statistic, 0.821; Hosmer‐Lemeshow test, P=0.687) and in the validation cohort (C statistic, 0.848; Hosmer‐Lemeshow test, P=0.592), respectively. Conclusions The SIGNALS score reliably predicts the risk of in‐hospital neurological deterioration of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage.https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.122.026379intracerebral hemorrhageneurological deteriorationprognosisSIGNALS score
spellingShingle Quanwei He
Hongxiu Guo
Rentang Bi
Shaoli Chen
Jing Shen
Chunnan Long
Man Li
Yuanpeng Xia
Lei Zhang
Zhou Sun
Xiaolu Chen
Zhaowei Wang
Daokai Gong
Jingwen Xu
Dondya Zhu
Yan Wan
Bo Hu
Prediction of Neurological Deterioration After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The SIGNALS Score
Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
intracerebral hemorrhage
neurological deterioration
prognosis
SIGNALS score
title Prediction of Neurological Deterioration After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The SIGNALS Score
title_full Prediction of Neurological Deterioration After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The SIGNALS Score
title_fullStr Prediction of Neurological Deterioration After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The SIGNALS Score
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Neurological Deterioration After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The SIGNALS Score
title_short Prediction of Neurological Deterioration After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The SIGNALS Score
title_sort prediction of neurological deterioration after intracerebral hemorrhage the signals score
topic intracerebral hemorrhage
neurological deterioration
prognosis
SIGNALS score
url https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.122.026379
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