A3T-GCN: Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Forecasting

Accurate real-time traffic forecasting is a core technological problem against the implementation of the intelligent transportation system. However, it remains challenging considering the complex spatial and temporal dependencies among traffic flows. In the spatial dimension, due to the connectivity...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jiandong Bai, Jiawei Zhu, Yujiao Song, Ling Zhao, Zhixiang Hou, Ronghua Du, Haifeng Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-07-01
Series:ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/10/7/485
_version_ 1797527025520476160
author Jiandong Bai
Jiawei Zhu
Yujiao Song
Ling Zhao
Zhixiang Hou
Ronghua Du
Haifeng Li
author_facet Jiandong Bai
Jiawei Zhu
Yujiao Song
Ling Zhao
Zhixiang Hou
Ronghua Du
Haifeng Li
author_sort Jiandong Bai
collection DOAJ
description Accurate real-time traffic forecasting is a core technological problem against the implementation of the intelligent transportation system. However, it remains challenging considering the complex spatial and temporal dependencies among traffic flows. In the spatial dimension, due to the connectivity of the road network, the traffic flows between linked roads are closely related. In the temporal dimension, although there exists a tendency among adjacent time points, the importance of distant time points is not necessarily less than that of recent ones, since traffic flows are also affected by external factors. In this study, an attention temporal graph convolutional network (A3T-GCN) was proposed to simultaneously capture global temporal dynamics and spatial correlations in traffic flows. The A3T-GCN model learns the short-term trend by using the gated recurrent units and learns the spatial dependence based on the topology of the road network through the graph convolutional network. Moreover, the attention mechanism was introduced to adjust the importance of different time points and assemble global temporal information to improve prediction accuracy. Experimental results in real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed A3T-GCN. We observe the improvements in RMSE of 2.51–46.15% and 2.45–49.32% over baselines for the SZ-taxi and Los-loop, respectively. Meanwhile, the Accuracies are 0.95–89.91% and 0.26–10.37% higher than the baselines for the SZ-taxi and Los-loop, respectively.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T09:38:04Z
format Article
id doaj.art-42a1d0d2797a41f2b0ee95de92e21b9c
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2220-9964
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T09:38:04Z
publishDate 2021-07-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
spelling doaj.art-42a1d0d2797a41f2b0ee95de92e21b9c2023-11-22T03:55:14ZengMDPI AGISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2220-99642021-07-0110748510.3390/ijgi10070485A3T-GCN: Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic ForecastingJiandong Bai0Jiawei Zhu1Yujiao Song2Ling Zhao3Zhixiang Hou4Ronghua Du5Haifeng Li6Beijing Institute of Tracking and Telecommunication Technology, Beijing 100094, ChinaSchool of Geosciences and Info-Physics, Central South University, Changsha 410083, ChinaHuawei Technologies Co., Ltd., Shenzhen 518129, ChinaSchool of Geosciences and Info-Physics, Central South University, Changsha 410083, ChinaCollege of Automotive and Mechanical Engineering, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410114, ChinaCollege of Automotive and Mechanical Engineering, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410114, ChinaSchool of Geosciences and Info-Physics, Central South University, Changsha 410083, ChinaAccurate real-time traffic forecasting is a core technological problem against the implementation of the intelligent transportation system. However, it remains challenging considering the complex spatial and temporal dependencies among traffic flows. In the spatial dimension, due to the connectivity of the road network, the traffic flows between linked roads are closely related. In the temporal dimension, although there exists a tendency among adjacent time points, the importance of distant time points is not necessarily less than that of recent ones, since traffic flows are also affected by external factors. In this study, an attention temporal graph convolutional network (A3T-GCN) was proposed to simultaneously capture global temporal dynamics and spatial correlations in traffic flows. The A3T-GCN model learns the short-term trend by using the gated recurrent units and learns the spatial dependence based on the topology of the road network through the graph convolutional network. Moreover, the attention mechanism was introduced to adjust the importance of different time points and assemble global temporal information to improve prediction accuracy. Experimental results in real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed A3T-GCN. We observe the improvements in RMSE of 2.51–46.15% and 2.45–49.32% over baselines for the SZ-taxi and Los-loop, respectively. Meanwhile, the Accuracies are 0.95–89.91% and 0.26–10.37% higher than the baselines for the SZ-taxi and Los-loop, respectively.https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/10/7/485traffic forecastingattention temporal graph convolutional networkspatial dependencetemporal dependence
spellingShingle Jiandong Bai
Jiawei Zhu
Yujiao Song
Ling Zhao
Zhixiang Hou
Ronghua Du
Haifeng Li
A3T-GCN: Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Forecasting
ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
traffic forecasting
attention temporal graph convolutional network
spatial dependence
temporal dependence
title A3T-GCN: Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Forecasting
title_full A3T-GCN: Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Forecasting
title_fullStr A3T-GCN: Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed A3T-GCN: Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Forecasting
title_short A3T-GCN: Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Forecasting
title_sort a3t gcn attention temporal graph convolutional network for traffic forecasting
topic traffic forecasting
attention temporal graph convolutional network
spatial dependence
temporal dependence
url https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/10/7/485
work_keys_str_mv AT jiandongbai a3tgcnattentiontemporalgraphconvolutionalnetworkfortrafficforecasting
AT jiaweizhu a3tgcnattentiontemporalgraphconvolutionalnetworkfortrafficforecasting
AT yujiaosong a3tgcnattentiontemporalgraphconvolutionalnetworkfortrafficforecasting
AT lingzhao a3tgcnattentiontemporalgraphconvolutionalnetworkfortrafficforecasting
AT zhixianghou a3tgcnattentiontemporalgraphconvolutionalnetworkfortrafficforecasting
AT ronghuadu a3tgcnattentiontemporalgraphconvolutionalnetworkfortrafficforecasting
AT haifengli a3tgcnattentiontemporalgraphconvolutionalnetworkfortrafficforecasting