The long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption: evidence from Lesotho

AbstractThe study examines the long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption in Lesotho for the period 1991-2019 using the Johansen cointegration technique and the Engle-Granger Residual Approach. Despite remittances in Lesotho representing over 20% of GDP which is highly signi...

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Main Author: Daniel Makina
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Cogent Economics & Finance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2024.2307098
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author Daniel Makina
author_facet Daniel Makina
author_sort Daniel Makina
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description AbstractThe study examines the long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption in Lesotho for the period 1991-2019 using the Johansen cointegration technique and the Engle-Granger Residual Approach. Despite remittances in Lesotho representing over 20% of GDP which is highly significant relative to other African countries, a long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption has not been conclusively established in prior literature. The results of this study, however, confirms a significant positive long-run equilibrium relationship between household consumption, remittances and GNI per capita. According to the results, there exist a negative but insignificant relationship between household consumption and real interest rate. However, in the short-run, remittances negatively affect household consumption. This implies that increase in remittances in Lesotho reduce household consumption initially. A possible explanation is the existence of household consumption adjustment phase when remittances are first received. This means that in the short-run consumption is mostly financed from other income sources which may be informal, as the case with many developing countries. However, in the long run this pattern subsides.
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spelling doaj.art-42a58e9ecddf4676ab9b717b2862ff642024-01-27T12:11:41ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Economics & Finance2332-20392024-12-0112110.1080/23322039.2024.2307098The long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption: evidence from LesothoDaniel Makina0Finance, Risk Management & Banking, University of South Africa, Pretoria, South AfricaAbstractThe study examines the long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption in Lesotho for the period 1991-2019 using the Johansen cointegration technique and the Engle-Granger Residual Approach. Despite remittances in Lesotho representing over 20% of GDP which is highly significant relative to other African countries, a long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption has not been conclusively established in prior literature. The results of this study, however, confirms a significant positive long-run equilibrium relationship between household consumption, remittances and GNI per capita. According to the results, there exist a negative but insignificant relationship between household consumption and real interest rate. However, in the short-run, remittances negatively affect household consumption. This implies that increase in remittances in Lesotho reduce household consumption initially. A possible explanation is the existence of household consumption adjustment phase when remittances are first received. This means that in the short-run consumption is mostly financed from other income sources which may be informal, as the case with many developing countries. However, in the long run this pattern subsides.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2024.2307098Remittancesmigrantshousehold consumptionJohansen cointegrationLesothoRobert Read, University of Lancaster, United Kingdom
spellingShingle Daniel Makina
The long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption: evidence from Lesotho
Cogent Economics & Finance
Remittances
migrants
household consumption
Johansen cointegration
Lesotho
Robert Read, University of Lancaster, United Kingdom
title The long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption: evidence from Lesotho
title_full The long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption: evidence from Lesotho
title_fullStr The long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption: evidence from Lesotho
title_full_unstemmed The long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption: evidence from Lesotho
title_short The long-run relationship between remittances and household consumption: evidence from Lesotho
title_sort long run relationship between remittances and household consumption evidence from lesotho
topic Remittances
migrants
household consumption
Johansen cointegration
Lesotho
Robert Read, University of Lancaster, United Kingdom
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2024.2307098
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