Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia
Several different strategies for control and eradication of classical swine fever (CSF) were compared using a Monte Carlo method-based simulation model. The control strategy analysed in this paper, in addition to other CSF control measures, includes application of biosecurity measures on pig farms a...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences
2015-10-01
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| Series: | Veterinární Medicína |
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| Online Access: | https://vetmed.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/vet-201510-0004_simulation-of-a-classical-swine-fever-outbreak-in-rural-areas-of-the-republic-of-serbia.php |
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| author | S. Stanojevic M. Valcic S. Stanojevic S. Radojicic S. Avramov Z. Tambur |
| author_facet | S. Stanojevic M. Valcic S. Stanojevic S. Radojicic S. Avramov Z. Tambur |
| author_sort | S. Stanojevic |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Several different strategies for control and eradication of classical swine fever (CSF) were compared using a Monte Carlo method-based simulation model. The control strategy analysed in this paper, in addition to other CSF control measures, includes application of biosecurity measures on pig farms and rural backyard holdings. Elements of the control strategy are based on applicable regulations and include the simulation of detection of the disease, setting up the protected and surveillance zones, standstill of pig movements and restricted movement of animals, vehicles, equipment, and people with strong control measures in protection and surveillance zones, euthanasia of susceptible pigs, protective vaccination of pigs, compensation etc. During the simulation, different output parameters were compared such as: duration of epidemic of a disease, number of affected holdings and animals, direct costs such as those for dead or culled animals, costs of surveillance, disposal of infectious materials, cleaning and disinfection. Depopulation of affected animals with early diagnostics and vaccination in the protection and surveillance zone proved to be the most effective measures to stop the spread and for the eradication of the disease. Moreover, during the simulation, systematic implementation of biosecurity measures in all pig production clusters was demonstrated to be an appropriate strategy for sustainable control of CSF and the establishment of a stable epidemiological situation. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T07:59:31Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-42cb9347847b4bcd889487415decf876 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 0375-8427 1805-9392 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T07:59:31Z |
| publishDate | 2015-10-01 |
| publisher | Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Veterinární Medicína |
| spelling | doaj.art-42cb9347847b4bcd889487415decf8762023-02-23T03:50:24ZengCzech Academy of Agricultural SciencesVeterinární Medicína0375-84271805-93922015-10-01601055356610.17221/8494-VETMEDvet-201510-0004Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of SerbiaS. Stanojevic0M. Valcic1S. Stanojevic2S. Radojicic3S. Avramov4Z. Tambur5Ministry of Agriculture and Environmental Protection-Directorate for National Reference Laboratories, Belgrade, SerbiaFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, SerbiaScientific Veterinary Institute of Serbia, Belgrade, SerbiaFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, SerbiaInstitute for Biological Research, Belgrade, SerbiaMilitary Medical Academy, Belgrade, SerbiaSeveral different strategies for control and eradication of classical swine fever (CSF) were compared using a Monte Carlo method-based simulation model. The control strategy analysed in this paper, in addition to other CSF control measures, includes application of biosecurity measures on pig farms and rural backyard holdings. Elements of the control strategy are based on applicable regulations and include the simulation of detection of the disease, setting up the protected and surveillance zones, standstill of pig movements and restricted movement of animals, vehicles, equipment, and people with strong control measures in protection and surveillance zones, euthanasia of susceptible pigs, protective vaccination of pigs, compensation etc. During the simulation, different output parameters were compared such as: duration of epidemic of a disease, number of affected holdings and animals, direct costs such as those for dead or culled animals, costs of surveillance, disposal of infectious materials, cleaning and disinfection. Depopulation of affected animals with early diagnostics and vaccination in the protection and surveillance zone proved to be the most effective measures to stop the spread and for the eradication of the disease. Moreover, during the simulation, systematic implementation of biosecurity measures in all pig production clusters was demonstrated to be an appropriate strategy for sustainable control of CSF and the establishment of a stable epidemiological situation.https://vetmed.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/vet-201510-0004_simulation-of-a-classical-swine-fever-outbreak-in-rural-areas-of-the-republic-of-serbia.phpmonte carlo simulationclassical swine feverbiosecurity measurescontrol strategy |
| spellingShingle | S. Stanojevic M. Valcic S. Stanojevic S. Radojicic S. Avramov Z. Tambur Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia Veterinární Medicína monte carlo simulation classical swine fever biosecurity measures control strategy |
| title | Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia |
| title_full | Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia |
| title_fullStr | Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia |
| title_short | Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia |
| title_sort | simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the republic of serbia |
| topic | monte carlo simulation classical swine fever biosecurity measures control strategy |
| url | https://vetmed.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/vet-201510-0004_simulation-of-a-classical-swine-fever-outbreak-in-rural-areas-of-the-republic-of-serbia.php |
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