Most eastern boundary upwelling regions represent thermal refugia in the age of climate change

Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS) are regions where wind-driven coastal upwelling brings deep cold, nutrient-rich water to the surface and may be characterized by a coastal ‘footprint’ of sea surface temperature (SST) cooler than their surroundings. Previous studies have shown that EBUS coas...

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Main Authors: Marisol García-Reyes, Gammon Koval, William J. Sydeman, Daniel Palacios, Luis Bedriñana-Romano, Kelly DeForest, Carlos Montenegro Silva, Maritza Sepúlveda, Ellen Hines
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-09-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1158472/full
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author Marisol García-Reyes
Gammon Koval
William J. Sydeman
Daniel Palacios
Luis Bedriñana-Romano
Kelly DeForest
Carlos Montenegro Silva
Maritza Sepúlveda
Ellen Hines
author_facet Marisol García-Reyes
Gammon Koval
William J. Sydeman
Daniel Palacios
Luis Bedriñana-Romano
Kelly DeForest
Carlos Montenegro Silva
Maritza Sepúlveda
Ellen Hines
author_sort Marisol García-Reyes
collection DOAJ
description Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS) are regions where wind-driven coastal upwelling brings deep cold, nutrient-rich water to the surface and may be characterized by a coastal ‘footprint’ of sea surface temperature (SST) cooler than their surroundings. Previous studies have shown that EBUS coastal temperatures are responding differently to global ocean warming, warming slowly or not at all. However, the spatial dynamics of coastal upwelling footprints have yet to be investigated. In this paper, we use 20 years of high-resolution SST data derived from satellites (MUR SST) to test the null hypothesis that the extent of coastal upwelling footprints have remained stable over the period 2002–2022, consistent with the idea that these regions are thermal refugia. We investigate linear trends at different time scales, finding that the Humboldt and Iberian/Canary EBUS show no contraction of this footprint on annual or seasonal scales. The Benguela EBUS shows no change in its central and poleward subregions, but it exhibits contraction of the footprint in the equatorward subregion in the austral winter and spring. The California EBUS behaves differently: on the annual scale only the equatorward subregion shows contraction of the SST footprint, while on the seasonal scale, the entire EBUS show contraction during the fall or summer/fall. Summarizing the last two decades, most coastal habitats of EBUS (>80% of the areas tested) are remaining cool and may be acting as regional refugia from global warming, but this is true for some regions only during certain seasons. However, the declines in areal extent of upwelling in subregions of the California and Benguela EBUS indicate potential consequences for marine life and may help to explain changes in abundance, productivity, and redistributions of populations in these regions.
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spelling doaj.art-431c9398d5cd44c2bf25ca1c4979d2832023-09-04T05:39:59ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452023-09-011010.3389/fmars.2023.11584721158472Most eastern boundary upwelling regions represent thermal refugia in the age of climate changeMarisol García-Reyes0Gammon Koval1William J. Sydeman2Daniel Palacios3Luis Bedriñana-Romano4Kelly DeForest5Carlos Montenegro Silva6Maritza Sepúlveda7Ellen Hines8Farallon Institute, Petaluma, CA, United StatesFarallon Institute, Petaluma, CA, United StatesFarallon Institute, Petaluma, CA, United StatesMarine Mammal Institute, Oregon State University, Newport, OR, United StatesCentro de Investigación Oceanográfica en el Pacífico Sur-Oriental (COPAS) Coastal, Universidad de Concepción, Concepción, ChileEstuary and Ocean Science Center, San Francisco State University, Tiburon, CA, United StatesDepartamento Evaluación de Pesquerías, Instituto de Fomento Pesquero (IFOP), Valparaíso, ChileCentro de Investigación y Gestión de Recursos Naturales (CIGREN), Instituto de Biología, Universidad de Valparaíso, Valparaíso, ChileEstuary and Ocean Science Center, San Francisco State University, Tiburon, CA, United StatesEastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS) are regions where wind-driven coastal upwelling brings deep cold, nutrient-rich water to the surface and may be characterized by a coastal ‘footprint’ of sea surface temperature (SST) cooler than their surroundings. Previous studies have shown that EBUS coastal temperatures are responding differently to global ocean warming, warming slowly or not at all. However, the spatial dynamics of coastal upwelling footprints have yet to be investigated. In this paper, we use 20 years of high-resolution SST data derived from satellites (MUR SST) to test the null hypothesis that the extent of coastal upwelling footprints have remained stable over the period 2002–2022, consistent with the idea that these regions are thermal refugia. We investigate linear trends at different time scales, finding that the Humboldt and Iberian/Canary EBUS show no contraction of this footprint on annual or seasonal scales. The Benguela EBUS shows no change in its central and poleward subregions, but it exhibits contraction of the footprint in the equatorward subregion in the austral winter and spring. The California EBUS behaves differently: on the annual scale only the equatorward subregion shows contraction of the SST footprint, while on the seasonal scale, the entire EBUS show contraction during the fall or summer/fall. Summarizing the last two decades, most coastal habitats of EBUS (>80% of the areas tested) are remaining cool and may be acting as regional refugia from global warming, but this is true for some regions only during certain seasons. However, the declines in areal extent of upwelling in subregions of the California and Benguela EBUS indicate potential consequences for marine life and may help to explain changes in abundance, productivity, and redistributions of populations in these regions.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1158472/fullthermal refugiaspatial trendsMURSSTseasonal variationupwelling footprint
spellingShingle Marisol García-Reyes
Gammon Koval
William J. Sydeman
Daniel Palacios
Luis Bedriñana-Romano
Kelly DeForest
Carlos Montenegro Silva
Maritza Sepúlveda
Ellen Hines
Most eastern boundary upwelling regions represent thermal refugia in the age of climate change
Frontiers in Marine Science
thermal refugia
spatial trends
MURSST
seasonal variation
upwelling footprint
title Most eastern boundary upwelling regions represent thermal refugia in the age of climate change
title_full Most eastern boundary upwelling regions represent thermal refugia in the age of climate change
title_fullStr Most eastern boundary upwelling regions represent thermal refugia in the age of climate change
title_full_unstemmed Most eastern boundary upwelling regions represent thermal refugia in the age of climate change
title_short Most eastern boundary upwelling regions represent thermal refugia in the age of climate change
title_sort most eastern boundary upwelling regions represent thermal refugia in the age of climate change
topic thermal refugia
spatial trends
MURSST
seasonal variation
upwelling footprint
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1158472/full
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