Convergence effect of the Belt and Road Initiative on income disparity: evidence from China

Abstract The international economic effects of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) have received much attention, but few studies have focused on the impact of the BRI on domestic regional income disparities. Here, a theoretical framework is proposed based on the logic of public policy analysis in eco...

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Main Authors: Bo Qin, Dongmei Zeng, Angang Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Nature 2022-09-01
Series:Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-022-01315-0
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author Bo Qin
Dongmei Zeng
Angang Gao
author_facet Bo Qin
Dongmei Zeng
Angang Gao
author_sort Bo Qin
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The international economic effects of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) have received much attention, but few studies have focused on the impact of the BRI on domestic regional income disparities. Here, a theoretical framework is proposed based on the logic of public policy analysis in economic geography aiming at studying the impact of the BRI on the convergence of inter-city income disparities in China. Specifically, taking the BRI as a quasi-natural experiment, the impact of the BRI on the convergence of inter-city income disparities in 26 provinces of China is studied empirically using the difference-in-differences method. We find that the BRI has indeed contributed to the convergence of regional income disparities, and this convergence effect is continuously dynamic in its nature. The effects of trade opening and industrial structure transformation are the paths through which the BRI contributes to the convergence of income disparities. Furthermore, we find that there is significant heterogeneity in the effects of the BRI on the convergence of income disparities among cities in different provinces in China. The convergence effect of the BRI on the income disparities among cities in East China is small and insignificant, whereas it can significantly reduce the income disparities among cities in Central and West China. The research in this article has important application value for exploration of the regional income distribution effect of the BRI.
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spelling doaj.art-4324547704764a549b1db57f9819fc082022-12-22T04:30:22ZengSpringer NatureHumanities & Social Sciences Communications2662-99922022-09-019111610.1057/s41599-022-01315-0Convergence effect of the Belt and Road Initiative on income disparity: evidence from ChinaBo Qin0Dongmei Zeng1Angang Gao2School of Economics, Guangxi UniversitySchool of Economics, Guangxi UniversitySchool of Economics and Management, Guangxi University of Science and TechnologyAbstract The international economic effects of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) have received much attention, but few studies have focused on the impact of the BRI on domestic regional income disparities. Here, a theoretical framework is proposed based on the logic of public policy analysis in economic geography aiming at studying the impact of the BRI on the convergence of inter-city income disparities in China. Specifically, taking the BRI as a quasi-natural experiment, the impact of the BRI on the convergence of inter-city income disparities in 26 provinces of China is studied empirically using the difference-in-differences method. We find that the BRI has indeed contributed to the convergence of regional income disparities, and this convergence effect is continuously dynamic in its nature. The effects of trade opening and industrial structure transformation are the paths through which the BRI contributes to the convergence of income disparities. Furthermore, we find that there is significant heterogeneity in the effects of the BRI on the convergence of income disparities among cities in different provinces in China. The convergence effect of the BRI on the income disparities among cities in East China is small and insignificant, whereas it can significantly reduce the income disparities among cities in Central and West China. The research in this article has important application value for exploration of the regional income distribution effect of the BRI.https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-022-01315-0
spellingShingle Bo Qin
Dongmei Zeng
Angang Gao
Convergence effect of the Belt and Road Initiative on income disparity: evidence from China
Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
title Convergence effect of the Belt and Road Initiative on income disparity: evidence from China
title_full Convergence effect of the Belt and Road Initiative on income disparity: evidence from China
title_fullStr Convergence effect of the Belt and Road Initiative on income disparity: evidence from China
title_full_unstemmed Convergence effect of the Belt and Road Initiative on income disparity: evidence from China
title_short Convergence effect of the Belt and Road Initiative on income disparity: evidence from China
title_sort convergence effect of the belt and road initiative on income disparity evidence from china
url https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-022-01315-0
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