Data-Driven Assisted Decision Making for Surgical Procedure of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Resection and Prognostic Prediction: Development and Validation of Machine Learning Models

Background<b>:</b> Currently, surgical decisions for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) resection are difficult and not sufficiently personalized. We aimed to develop and validate data driven prediction models to assist surgeons in selecting the optimal surgical procedure for patients. Metho...

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Main Authors: Liyang Wang, Danjun Song, Wentao Wang, Chengquan Li, Yiming Zhou, Jiaping Zheng, Shengxiang Rao, Xiaoying Wang, Guoliang Shao, Jiabin Cai, Shizhong Yang, Jiahong Dong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-03-01
Series:Cancers
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/15/6/1784
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author Liyang Wang
Danjun Song
Wentao Wang
Chengquan Li
Yiming Zhou
Jiaping Zheng
Shengxiang Rao
Xiaoying Wang
Guoliang Shao
Jiabin Cai
Shizhong Yang
Jiahong Dong
author_facet Liyang Wang
Danjun Song
Wentao Wang
Chengquan Li
Yiming Zhou
Jiaping Zheng
Shengxiang Rao
Xiaoying Wang
Guoliang Shao
Jiabin Cai
Shizhong Yang
Jiahong Dong
author_sort Liyang Wang
collection DOAJ
description Background<b>:</b> Currently, surgical decisions for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) resection are difficult and not sufficiently personalized. We aimed to develop and validate data driven prediction models to assist surgeons in selecting the optimal surgical procedure for patients. Methods<b>:</b> Retrospective data from 361 HCC patients who underwent radical resection in two institutions were included. End-to-end deep learning models were built to automatically segment lesions from the arterial phase (AP) of preoperative dynamic contrast enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI). Clinical baseline characteristics and radiomic features were rigorously screened. The effectiveness of radiomic features and radiomic-clinical features was also compared. Three ensemble learning models were proposed to perform the surgical procedure decision and the overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) predictions after taking different solutions, respectively. Results<b>:</b> SegFormer performed best in terms of automatic segmentation, achieving a Mean Intersection over Union (mIoU) of 0.8860. The five-fold cross-validation results showed that inputting radiomic-clinical features outperformed using only radiomic features. The proposed models all outperformed the other mainstream ensemble models. On the external test set, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the proposed decision model was 0.7731, and the performance of the prognostic prediction models was also relatively excellent. The application web server based on automatic lesion segmentation was deployed and is available online. Conclusions<b>:</b> In this study, we developed and externally validated the surgical decision-making procedures and prognostic prediction models for HCC for the first time, and the results demonstrated relatively accurate predictions and strong generalizations, which are expected to help clinicians optimize surgical procedures.
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spelling doaj.art-432f87bce64d4f69b2712d8d12f0ea5a2023-11-17T10:07:09ZengMDPI AGCancers2072-66942023-03-01156178410.3390/cancers15061784Data-Driven Assisted Decision Making for Surgical Procedure of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Resection and Prognostic Prediction: Development and Validation of Machine Learning ModelsLiyang Wang0Danjun Song1Wentao Wang2Chengquan Li3Yiming Zhou4Jiaping Zheng5Shengxiang Rao6Xiaoying Wang7Guoliang Shao8Jiabin Cai9Shizhong Yang10Jiahong Dong11School of Clinical Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaDepartment of Interventional Therapy, The Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital), Institute of Basic Medicine and Cancer (IBMC), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou 310022, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, ChinaSchool of Clinical Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital), Institute of Basic Medicine and Cancer (IBMC), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou 310022, ChinaDepartment of Interventional Therapy, The Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital), Institute of Basic Medicine and Cancer (IBMC), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou 310022, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, ChinaDepartment of Liver Surgery, Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Cancer Invasion of Ministry of Education, Liver Cancer Institute, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, ChinaDepartment of Interventional Therapy, The Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital), Institute of Basic Medicine and Cancer (IBMC), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou 310022, ChinaDepartment of Liver Surgery, Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Cancer Invasion of Ministry of Education, Liver Cancer Institute, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, ChinaHepato-Pancreato-Biliary Center, Beijing Tsinghua Changgung Hospital, School of Clinical Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing 102218, ChinaSchool of Clinical Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaBackground<b>:</b> Currently, surgical decisions for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) resection are difficult and not sufficiently personalized. We aimed to develop and validate data driven prediction models to assist surgeons in selecting the optimal surgical procedure for patients. Methods<b>:</b> Retrospective data from 361 HCC patients who underwent radical resection in two institutions were included. End-to-end deep learning models were built to automatically segment lesions from the arterial phase (AP) of preoperative dynamic contrast enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI). Clinical baseline characteristics and radiomic features were rigorously screened. The effectiveness of radiomic features and radiomic-clinical features was also compared. Three ensemble learning models were proposed to perform the surgical procedure decision and the overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) predictions after taking different solutions, respectively. Results<b>:</b> SegFormer performed best in terms of automatic segmentation, achieving a Mean Intersection over Union (mIoU) of 0.8860. The five-fold cross-validation results showed that inputting radiomic-clinical features outperformed using only radiomic features. The proposed models all outperformed the other mainstream ensemble models. On the external test set, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the proposed decision model was 0.7731, and the performance of the prognostic prediction models was also relatively excellent. The application web server based on automatic lesion segmentation was deployed and is available online. Conclusions<b>:</b> In this study, we developed and externally validated the surgical decision-making procedures and prognostic prediction models for HCC for the first time, and the results demonstrated relatively accurate predictions and strong generalizations, which are expected to help clinicians optimize surgical procedures.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/15/6/1784surgical proceduredecision-makingprognostic predictiondeep learningensemble learning
spellingShingle Liyang Wang
Danjun Song
Wentao Wang
Chengquan Li
Yiming Zhou
Jiaping Zheng
Shengxiang Rao
Xiaoying Wang
Guoliang Shao
Jiabin Cai
Shizhong Yang
Jiahong Dong
Data-Driven Assisted Decision Making for Surgical Procedure of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Resection and Prognostic Prediction: Development and Validation of Machine Learning Models
Cancers
surgical procedure
decision-making
prognostic prediction
deep learning
ensemble learning
title Data-Driven Assisted Decision Making for Surgical Procedure of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Resection and Prognostic Prediction: Development and Validation of Machine Learning Models
title_full Data-Driven Assisted Decision Making for Surgical Procedure of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Resection and Prognostic Prediction: Development and Validation of Machine Learning Models
title_fullStr Data-Driven Assisted Decision Making for Surgical Procedure of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Resection and Prognostic Prediction: Development and Validation of Machine Learning Models
title_full_unstemmed Data-Driven Assisted Decision Making for Surgical Procedure of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Resection and Prognostic Prediction: Development and Validation of Machine Learning Models
title_short Data-Driven Assisted Decision Making for Surgical Procedure of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Resection and Prognostic Prediction: Development and Validation of Machine Learning Models
title_sort data driven assisted decision making for surgical procedure of hepatocellular carcinoma resection and prognostic prediction development and validation of machine learning models
topic surgical procedure
decision-making
prognostic prediction
deep learning
ensemble learning
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/15/6/1784
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